Ryan McCrystal
@ryanmccrystal.bsky.social
College football & the NFL Draft @ Sharp Football Analysis | Previously: ESPN Stats & Info, Bleacher Report, numberFire
https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/author/ryan-mccrystal/
https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/author/ryan-mccrystal/
Pinned
Ryan McCrystal
@ryanmccrystal.bsky.social
· Nov 18
Spent some time building the ultimate college football starter pack (in spreadsheet to avoid 150 limit).
Everyone is organized by conference and school.
Now I need your help sharing this and filling in the blanks. Let me know who I need to add!
🔗 docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Everyone is organized by conference and school.
Now I need your help sharing this and filling in the blanks. Let me know who I need to add!
🔗 docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
LaNorris Sellers awareness is a problem. Very possibly a fatal flaw for him in the pros.
November 15, 2025 at 8:38 PM
LaNorris Sellers awareness is a problem. Very possibly a fatal flaw for him in the pros.
Mission accomplished. Even if they lose, they've done enough to not be punished too much
A&M better make this look somewhat competitive in the 2nd half or else they’re no longer a lock for the playoff.
Past committees have not forgiven blowout losses easily. If they were to lose today and to Texas to end up 10-2 with a horrendous blowout loss on the resume, CFP is not a guarantee.
Past committees have not forgiven blowout losses easily. If they were to lose today and to Texas to end up 10-2 with a horrendous blowout loss on the resume, CFP is not a guarantee.
November 15, 2025 at 7:45 PM
Mission accomplished. Even if they lose, they've done enough to not be punished too much
A&M better make this look somewhat competitive in the 2nd half or else they’re no longer a lock for the playoff.
Past committees have not forgiven blowout losses easily. If they were to lose today and to Texas to end up 10-2 with a horrendous blowout loss on the resume, CFP is not a guarantee.
Past committees have not forgiven blowout losses easily. If they were to lose today and to Texas to end up 10-2 with a horrendous blowout loss on the resume, CFP is not a guarantee.
November 15, 2025 at 6:48 PM
A&M better make this look somewhat competitive in the 2nd half or else they’re no longer a lock for the playoff.
Past committees have not forgiven blowout losses easily. If they were to lose today and to Texas to end up 10-2 with a horrendous blowout loss on the resume, CFP is not a guarantee.
Past committees have not forgiven blowout losses easily. If they were to lose today and to Texas to end up 10-2 with a horrendous blowout loss on the resume, CFP is not a guarantee.
Pitt loves to blitz, but that may not be the best strategy against C.J. Carr today.
Check out my full Notre Dame-Pitt matchup preview here:
🔗 www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/betting/best...
Check out my full Notre Dame-Pitt matchup preview here:
🔗 www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/betting/best...
November 15, 2025 at 4:19 PM
Pitt loves to blitz, but that may not be the best strategy against C.J. Carr today.
Check out my full Notre Dame-Pitt matchup preview here:
🔗 www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/betting/best...
Check out my full Notre Dame-Pitt matchup preview here:
🔗 www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/betting/best...
Arch Manning's success in the passing game will depend heavily on Sark's play calling.
For more on this Texas-Georgia showdown, check out my game preview here:
🔗 www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/betting/best...
For more on this Texas-Georgia showdown, check out my game preview here:
🔗 www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/betting/best...
November 15, 2025 at 4:02 PM
Arch Manning's success in the passing game will depend heavily on Sark's play calling.
For more on this Texas-Georgia showdown, check out my game preview here:
🔗 www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/betting/best...
For more on this Texas-Georgia showdown, check out my game preview here:
🔗 www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/betting/best...
If R Mason Thomas can't suit up for the Sooners today, it will be difficult for Oklahoma to disrupt the Alabama passing attack.
Check out my full Oklahoma-Alabama matchup preview here:
🔗 www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/betting/best...
Check out my full Oklahoma-Alabama matchup preview here:
🔗 www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/betting/best...
November 15, 2025 at 2:34 PM
If R Mason Thomas can't suit up for the Sooners today, it will be difficult for Oklahoma to disrupt the Alabama passing attack.
Check out my full Oklahoma-Alabama matchup preview here:
🔗 www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/betting/best...
Check out my full Oklahoma-Alabama matchup preview here:
🔗 www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/betting/best...
Reposted by Ryan McCrystal
Julian Sayin has completed 73% of his passes at 20+ yards downfield this year🚀
If that were just his overall completion percentage, he would be THIRD on the Big Ten's all-time single-season list!
🤯WHAT IN THE ACTUAL HELL IS THAT STAT?!?
If that were just his overall completion percentage, he would be THIRD on the Big Ten's all-time single-season list!
🤯WHAT IN THE ACTUAL HELL IS THAT STAT?!?
November 15, 2025 at 1:03 AM
Julian Sayin has completed 73% of his passes at 20+ yards downfield this year🚀
If that were just his overall completion percentage, he would be THIRD on the Big Ten's all-time single-season list!
🤯WHAT IN THE ACTUAL HELL IS THAT STAT?!?
If that were just his overall completion percentage, he would be THIRD on the Big Ten's all-time single-season list!
🤯WHAT IN THE ACTUAL HELL IS THAT STAT?!?
Julian Sayin has completed 73% of his passes at 20+ yards downfield this year🚀
If that were just his overall completion percentage, he would be THIRD on the Big Ten's all-time single-season list!
🤯WHAT IN THE ACTUAL HELL IS THAT STAT?!?
If that were just his overall completion percentage, he would be THIRD on the Big Ten's all-time single-season list!
🤯WHAT IN THE ACTUAL HELL IS THAT STAT?!?
November 15, 2025 at 1:03 AM
Julian Sayin has completed 73% of his passes at 20+ yards downfield this year🚀
If that were just his overall completion percentage, he would be THIRD on the Big Ten's all-time single-season list!
🤯WHAT IN THE ACTUAL HELL IS THAT STAT?!?
If that were just his overall completion percentage, he would be THIRD on the Big Ten's all-time single-season list!
🤯WHAT IN THE ACTUAL HELL IS THAT STAT?!?
Reposted by Ryan McCrystal
Clemson @ Louisville on Friday
🏈Clear edge for Louisville defense
🏈Clemson unlikely to get any pressure on Miller Moss
🏈Clear edge for Louisville defense
🏈Clemson unlikely to get any pressure on Miller Moss
November 14, 2025 at 1:53 AM
Clemson @ Louisville on Friday
🏈Clear edge for Louisville defense
🏈Clemson unlikely to get any pressure on Miller Moss
🏈Clear edge for Louisville defense
🏈Clemson unlikely to get any pressure on Miller Moss
Reposted by Ryan McCrystal
You'll ignore this, but every time you tweet angrily about crap like that Nuzzi piece you're confirming NYT editors' intuitions/incentivizing more of it. The entire intellectual/journo model here is, "Does this person get people angry? Yes? OK they're provocative/get talked about. Write about her."
November 14, 2025 at 5:58 PM
You'll ignore this, but every time you tweet angrily about crap like that Nuzzi piece you're confirming NYT editors' intuitions/incentivizing more of it. The entire intellectual/journo model here is, "Does this person get people angry? Yes? OK they're provocative/get talked about. Write about her."
Reposted by Ryan McCrystal
Week 12 matchup thread starting here 🧵
November 14, 2025 at 1:51 AM
Week 12 matchup thread starting here 🧵
Reposted by Ryan McCrystal
If you don't see any 13-9 signs at Pitt for GameDay, then Pat and the sign police took them away
November 14, 2025 at 4:20 PM
If you don't see any 13-9 signs at Pitt for GameDay, then Pat and the sign police took them away
Reposted by Ryan McCrystal
Georgia's pass rush hasn't been great, but it should be able to get to Arch Manning on Saturday.
Texas ranks 119th in opponent-adjusted pressure rate allowed.
If the Horns can't protect Arch, it could be a long night for Sark's squad in Athens.
Check out my full Texas/Georgia preview here:
Texas ranks 119th in opponent-adjusted pressure rate allowed.
If the Horns can't protect Arch, it could be a long night for Sark's squad in Athens.
Check out my full Texas/Georgia preview here:
Texas vs. Georgia: Week 12 Betting Pick & Prediction
We give you our college football prediction for Georgia vs. Texas when betting against the spread, breaking down Week 12 of the 2025 NCAA season.
www.sharpfootballanalysis.com
November 13, 2025 at 9:04 PM
Georgia's pass rush hasn't been great, but it should be able to get to Arch Manning on Saturday.
Texas ranks 119th in opponent-adjusted pressure rate allowed.
If the Horns can't protect Arch, it could be a long night for Sark's squad in Athens.
Check out my full Texas/Georgia preview here:
Texas ranks 119th in opponent-adjusted pressure rate allowed.
If the Horns can't protect Arch, it could be a long night for Sark's squad in Athens.
Check out my full Texas/Georgia preview here:
Week 12 matchup thread starting here 🧵
November 14, 2025 at 1:51 AM
Week 12 matchup thread starting here 🧵
I wonder if we’re starting to see what finally pushes Notre Dame into a conference.
Navy rested its QB vs them last week. Pitt is talking like it could treat the game similarly.
If no one takes ND’s late-season games seriously, it could influence how its resume is viewed.
Navy rested its QB vs them last week. Pitt is talking like it could treat the game similarly.
If no one takes ND’s late-season games seriously, it could influence how its resume is viewed.
November 14, 2025 at 1:19 AM
I wonder if we’re starting to see what finally pushes Notre Dame into a conference.
Navy rested its QB vs them last week. Pitt is talking like it could treat the game similarly.
If no one takes ND’s late-season games seriously, it could influence how its resume is viewed.
Navy rested its QB vs them last week. Pitt is talking like it could treat the game similarly.
If no one takes ND’s late-season games seriously, it could influence how its resume is viewed.
For the next 20 years Urban Meyer is gonna be that former coach you can always go to for completely unhinged opinions on whatever major story there is around college football.
Urban Meyer convinced Pat Narduzzi quote downplaying Notre Dame game must be AI
Urban Meyer is convinced that Pitt coach Pat Narduzzi's quote downplaying his team's game against Notre Dame must be AI.
awfulannouncing.com
November 14, 2025 at 1:15 AM
For the next 20 years Urban Meyer is gonna be that former coach you can always go to for completely unhinged opinions on whatever major story there is around college football.
Georgia's pass rush hasn't been great, but it should be able to get to Arch Manning on Saturday.
Texas ranks 119th in opponent-adjusted pressure rate allowed.
If the Horns can't protect Arch, it could be a long night for Sark's squad in Athens.
Check out my full Texas/Georgia preview here:
Texas ranks 119th in opponent-adjusted pressure rate allowed.
If the Horns can't protect Arch, it could be a long night for Sark's squad in Athens.
Check out my full Texas/Georgia preview here:
Texas vs. Georgia: Week 12 Betting Pick & Prediction
We give you our college football prediction for Georgia vs. Texas when betting against the spread, breaking down Week 12 of the 2025 NCAA season.
www.sharpfootballanalysis.com
November 13, 2025 at 9:04 PM
Georgia's pass rush hasn't been great, but it should be able to get to Arch Manning on Saturday.
Texas ranks 119th in opponent-adjusted pressure rate allowed.
If the Horns can't protect Arch, it could be a long night for Sark's squad in Athens.
Check out my full Texas/Georgia preview here:
Texas ranks 119th in opponent-adjusted pressure rate allowed.
If the Horns can't protect Arch, it could be a long night for Sark's squad in Athens.
Check out my full Texas/Georgia preview here:
Oklahoma's defense ranks 124th in ball-hawk rate
A surprising weakness of an otherwise strong defense
A surprising weakness of an otherwise strong defense
November 13, 2025 at 8:47 PM
Oklahoma's defense ranks 124th in ball-hawk rate
A surprising weakness of an otherwise strong defense
A surprising weakness of an otherwise strong defense
Reposted by Ryan McCrystal
Public records from one school's head coaching search committee accidentally revealed how they're planning to circumvent public records laws during their coaching search
You can probably guess the school from the art, but read it now in this week's FOIAball!
www.foiaball.com/p/virginia-t...
You can probably guess the school from the art, but read it now in this week's FOIAball!
www.foiaball.com/p/virginia-t...
Head coach search committees are dodging accountability
Public records reveal how schools circumvent public records. Oops!
www.foiaball.com
November 13, 2025 at 8:08 PM
Public records from one school's head coaching search committee accidentally revealed how they're planning to circumvent public records laws during their coaching search
You can probably guess the school from the art, but read it now in this week's FOIAball!
www.foiaball.com/p/virginia-t...
You can probably guess the school from the art, but read it now in this week's FOIAball!
www.foiaball.com/p/virginia-t...
Reposted by Ryan McCrystal
Pitt will be starting a true freshman quarterback with no pass protection against Notre Dame's defense.
Good luck!
Opponent-adjusted numbers:
Pitt - ranked 126th in pressure rate allowed
ND - ranked 9th in pressure rate generated
Check out the rest of my matchup preview here:
Good luck!
Opponent-adjusted numbers:
Pitt - ranked 126th in pressure rate allowed
ND - ranked 9th in pressure rate generated
Check out the rest of my matchup preview here:
Notre Dame vs. Pittsburgh: Week 12 Betting Pick & Prediction
We give you our college football prediction for Pittsburgh vs. Notre Dame when betting against the spread, breaking down Week 12 of the 2025 NCAA season.
www.sharpfootballanalysis.com
November 12, 2025 at 9:19 PM
Pitt will be starting a true freshman quarterback with no pass protection against Notre Dame's defense.
Good luck!
Opponent-adjusted numbers:
Pitt - ranked 126th in pressure rate allowed
ND - ranked 9th in pressure rate generated
Check out the rest of my matchup preview here:
Good luck!
Opponent-adjusted numbers:
Pitt - ranked 126th in pressure rate allowed
ND - ranked 9th in pressure rate generated
Check out the rest of my matchup preview here:
Pitt will be starting a true freshman quarterback with no pass protection against Notre Dame's defense.
Good luck!
Opponent-adjusted numbers:
Pitt - ranked 126th in pressure rate allowed
ND - ranked 9th in pressure rate generated
Check out the rest of my matchup preview here:
Good luck!
Opponent-adjusted numbers:
Pitt - ranked 126th in pressure rate allowed
ND - ranked 9th in pressure rate generated
Check out the rest of my matchup preview here:
Notre Dame vs. Pittsburgh: Week 12 Betting Pick & Prediction
We give you our college football prediction for Pittsburgh vs. Notre Dame when betting against the spread, breaking down Week 12 of the 2025 NCAA season.
www.sharpfootballanalysis.com
November 12, 2025 at 9:19 PM
Pitt will be starting a true freshman quarterback with no pass protection against Notre Dame's defense.
Good luck!
Opponent-adjusted numbers:
Pitt - ranked 126th in pressure rate allowed
ND - ranked 9th in pressure rate generated
Check out the rest of my matchup preview here:
Good luck!
Opponent-adjusted numbers:
Pitt - ranked 126th in pressure rate allowed
ND - ranked 9th in pressure rate generated
Check out the rest of my matchup preview here:
The scenario Rece Davis just suggested of Miami being the ACC's lone CFP representative despite not winning the conference is definitely possible.
I laid out some scenarios for Duke to go 7-5 and win the ACC here:
I laid out some scenarios for Duke to go 7-5 and win the ACC here:
If Duke loses to UVA but then beats Wake and UNC
Here's what needs to happen for 7-5 Duke to make the ACC title game*:
1) LOU loses again (to CLEM or SMU)
2) SMU loses again (to LOU or CAL)
3) Either Pitt beats GT or VT beats UVA
That's not far fetched AT ALL
Here's what needs to happen for 7-5 Duke to make the ACC title game*:
1) LOU loses again (to CLEM or SMU)
2) SMU loses again (to LOU or CAL)
3) Either Pitt beats GT or VT beats UVA
That's not far fetched AT ALL
November 12, 2025 at 12:23 AM
The scenario Rece Davis just suggested of Miami being the ACC's lone CFP representative despite not winning the conference is definitely possible.
I laid out some scenarios for Duke to go 7-5 and win the ACC here:
I laid out some scenarios for Duke to go 7-5 and win the ACC here:
This is the 3rd straight year Texas makes an appearance in the CFP Top 10 under Steve Sarkisian.
They had 0 appearances in the top 10 under Tom Herman and Charlie Strong.
They had 0 appearances in the top 10 under Tom Herman and Charlie Strong.
November 12, 2025 at 12:16 AM
This is the 3rd straight year Texas makes an appearance in the CFP Top 10 under Steve Sarkisian.
They had 0 appearances in the top 10 under Tom Herman and Charlie Strong.
They had 0 appearances in the top 10 under Tom Herman and Charlie Strong.
Cincinnati appears in the CFP rankings for the first time under Scott Satterfield.
Their last appearance was in 2022 under Luke Fickell.
Their last appearance was in 2022 under Luke Fickell.
November 12, 2025 at 12:13 AM
Cincinnati appears in the CFP rankings for the first time under Scott Satterfield.
Their last appearance was in 2022 under Luke Fickell.
Their last appearance was in 2022 under Luke Fickell.
Miami is the highest ranked ACC team with will be in this week's projected bracket... despite only a very small chance of actually winning the conference. They need a bunch of teams to lose and some of them twice.
November 12, 2025 at 12:12 AM
Miami is the highest ranked ACC team with will be in this week's projected bracket... despite only a very small chance of actually winning the conference. They need a bunch of teams to lose and some of them twice.