We identify several exogenous sources of tallying complexity. Leveraging arbitrary registration cutoffs, we show that increases in polling station streams substantially increased rates of edits. Similarly, more complex ballot reconciliation procedures increased edits.

We start by noting that patterns of irregularities do not support most fraud claims. We code edits in 5,002 polling station results sheets and compare to candidate totals in official and independent tallies. We reject plausible hypotheses about how edits might have facilitated fraud.

A reminder about the deadline today for our Political of Aid and Development Soceity Conference (at the beautiful Athol Palace castle). Hope you can join us!

LSE Government is hiring in political economy (broadly defined). IMO, LSE is one of the best homes for work on PE -- not least because of my many brilliant and supportive collegues in this area (including outside the dept). shorturl.at/cLy0t #psjobs #psjminfo