More here. www.machineculture.io/p/paperweig...

In the wake of the continuing fallout from the congressional vote on "the Epstein files," you can expect the admin to be eager to push through new policy victories with legislation like this, but the effort will need more continuous "oomph" than the occasional Truth Social Post.

Tying AI laws to the NDAA is a high-risk, high-reward strategy for preemption advocates, especially as state-level GOP lawmakers feel energized by their efforts to regulate AI and halt federal legislation this summer.

I talked with Lauren Wagner and Matt Mittelsteadt about this a few months back — worth revisiting as Congress flirts with the AI moratorium 2.0.

Pt I: www.machineculture.io/p/a-patchwo...
Pt II: www.machineculture.io/p/everythin...

State GOP lawmakers are skittish on AI and energized by their pushback this summer. Trump needs the full power of the bully pulpit and a strong legislative strategy if preemptive legislation has any hope of materializing.

Polymarket odds for an AI safety bill by EOY 2025 moved up slightly from 8% to 9% after POTUS's statement. Kalshi remains at 5% on whether "AI regulation becomes federal law this year." Not a lot of movement...