Rudy Sovinee
@rudysovinee.bsky.social
Retired chemist, educator, entrepreneur living in a remote rural community. My wife and stepchildren practice permaculture in our yards while I study climate, energy and sustainability options. I'm frustrated by societal behavior that ignores best science.
Zack Labe and Sam Carana warn of the Arctic's temps. The Arctic is cold enough to freeze water at the surface, but consistently so much warmer than usual that the ice formation is behind schedule as to extent and thickness. What doesn't form now won't be available to delay an open ocean next spring.
December 19, 2025 at 2:25 PM
Zack Labe and Sam Carana warn of the Arctic's temps. The Arctic is cold enough to freeze water at the surface, but consistently so much warmer than usual that the ice formation is behind schedule as to extent and thickness. What doesn't form now won't be available to delay an open ocean next spring.
More people respect Dr. James Hansen and his projections than those by Leon Simons, Eliot Jacobson, Sam Carana or that others like me post or share.
Read this and weep. The warming is continuing AND accelerating. With it will be the strength of droughts, rain bombs, heat waves, and major storms.
Read this and weep. The warming is continuing AND accelerating. With it will be the strength of droughts, rain bombs, heat waves, and major storms.
December 19, 2025 at 4:11 AM
More people respect Dr. James Hansen and his projections than those by Leon Simons, Eliot Jacobson, Sam Carana or that others like me post or share.
Read this and weep. The warming is continuing AND accelerating. With it will be the strength of droughts, rain bombs, heat waves, and major storms.
Read this and weep. The warming is continuing AND accelerating. With it will be the strength of droughts, rain bombs, heat waves, and major storms.
Exactly! Greenhouse gases trap/ slow the outgoing longwave radiation. Human society knows why, but is collectively trapped by individual actions of survival and growth. How do we track the folly of societal consumption? This tracks the source, and lack of sufficient response.
December 18, 2025 at 9:44 AM
Exactly! Greenhouse gases trap/ slow the outgoing longwave radiation. Human society knows why, but is collectively trapped by individual actions of survival and growth. How do we track the folly of societal consumption? This tracks the source, and lack of sufficient response.
2 more books!
How far back did we divert from sustainable? Most people think it is a recent development, but these 2 books show the divergence goes far back in our history. Richard's book is well researched and documented liberally with links to sources. Gary suggests alternative myths if we survive
How far back did we divert from sustainable? Most people think it is a recent development, but these 2 books show the divergence goes far back in our history. Richard's book is well researched and documented liberally with links to sources. Gary suggests alternative myths if we survive
!["Wild Free and Happy explores our long and bumpy relationship with the family of life. It spans from our ancient tree dwelling ancestors to the rowdy mob of eight billion outside our windows today.”
Download a free copy of this book. [https://1wow.org/blog/wild-free-and-happy/]
The author, Richard Adrian Reese is sharing Wild Free and Happy freely in native Word docx format (only 670.8kB.) The book is his condensation of nearly 3 decades of his research, reading over 600 books by experts in anthropology, geology, climate, energy and more.](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:x6r3cjoufava6aaonyc4h4uo/bafkreigmssc5n66yjojl7wj67675toy4stm4ima6o4x5wy465ziinjrpdq@jpeg)
December 17, 2025 at 2:16 PM
2 more books!
How far back did we divert from sustainable? Most people think it is a recent development, but these 2 books show the divergence goes far back in our history. Richard's book is well researched and documented liberally with links to sources. Gary suggests alternative myths if we survive
How far back did we divert from sustainable? Most people think it is a recent development, but these 2 books show the divergence goes far back in our history. Richard's book is well researched and documented liberally with links to sources. Gary suggests alternative myths if we survive
Human society is terminal. Most people don't know, or don't want to know. Who can blame them? There isn't a viable off ramp. There is a choice in how we face the situation.
Michael Dowd's video "The Big Picture: Beyond Hope and Fear" describes today's situation in a helpful way.
youtu.be/hV91pH8HORo
Michael Dowd's video "The Big Picture: Beyond Hope and Fear" describes today's situation in a helpful way.
youtu.be/hV91pH8HORo
December 17, 2025 at 1:54 PM
Human society is terminal. Most people don't know, or don't want to know. Who can blame them? There isn't a viable off ramp. There is a choice in how we face the situation.
Michael Dowd's video "The Big Picture: Beyond Hope and Fear" describes today's situation in a helpful way.
youtu.be/hV91pH8HORo
Michael Dowd's video "The Big Picture: Beyond Hope and Fear" describes today's situation in a helpful way.
youtu.be/hV91pH8HORo
What calculator do you use? I've found this one viable. Home is basically ambient temp, not plush but low energy.
I travel primarily online. Even short flights matter: Detroit - Chicago = 400lbs / NYC - Minneapolis > 1,000lbs YET, every holiday now sees near or new record flying records set.
I travel primarily online. Even short flights matter: Detroit - Chicago = 400lbs / NYC - Minneapolis > 1,000lbs YET, every holiday now sees near or new record flying records set.
December 17, 2025 at 2:56 AM
What calculator do you use? I've found this one viable. Home is basically ambient temp, not plush but low energy.
I travel primarily online. Even short flights matter: Detroit - Chicago = 400lbs / NYC - Minneapolis > 1,000lbs YET, every holiday now sees near or new record flying records set.
I travel primarily online. Even short flights matter: Detroit - Chicago = 400lbs / NYC - Minneapolis > 1,000lbs YET, every holiday now sees near or new record flying records set.
Thanks for bringing attention to another book. I've read many. For me, the opening chapter of "The Ministry For The Future" is prophesy.
I've felt weeks already of the stifling heat and humidity near that described in the opening chapter. Having blackouts during such will happen. Millions will die.
I've felt weeks already of the stifling heat and humidity near that described in the opening chapter. Having blackouts during such will happen. Millions will die.
December 16, 2025 at 3:42 PM
Thanks for bringing attention to another book. I've read many. For me, the opening chapter of "The Ministry For The Future" is prophesy.
I've felt weeks already of the stifling heat and humidity near that described in the opening chapter. Having blackouts during such will happen. Millions will die.
I've felt weeks already of the stifling heat and humidity near that described in the opening chapter. Having blackouts during such will happen. Millions will die.
I barely travel anywhere anymore. Internet access is my vice.
December 16, 2025 at 11:08 AM
I barely travel anywhere anymore. Internet access is my vice.
Our global society is united in some ideas so deeply as to seem undeniable. They are more entrenched than religion, and they drive us to growth we can not bring under needed control. We've changed greatly since we were wandering bands of hunter gatherers.
December 16, 2025 at 9:46 AM
Our global society is united in some ideas so deeply as to seem undeniable. They are more entrenched than religion, and they drive us to growth we can not bring under needed control. We've changed greatly since we were wandering bands of hunter gatherers.
One concept for lessening damage is to go Vegetarian, or even to go Vegan and not to eat meat. It is a decision that decades ago (when I went vegetarian for many years) was hard to do unless at home or in certain communities. Modern marketing tries to make that easier, but with costs. Read on:
December 16, 2025 at 9:10 AM
One concept for lessening damage is to go Vegetarian, or even to go Vegan and not to eat meat. It is a decision that decades ago (when I went vegetarian for many years) was hard to do unless at home or in certain communities. Modern marketing tries to make that easier, but with costs. Read on:
Civilization collapses first, then the remaining pockets of humans cease as trophic collapse extinctions cascade through ecosystems.
Humans are not an island. Life persists in community of species that consume/ process as food the bodies or wastes of other species. Expect crop failures, then wars.
Humans are not an island. Life persists in community of species that consume/ process as food the bodies or wastes of other species. Expect crop failures, then wars.
December 16, 2025 at 8:33 AM
Civilization collapses first, then the remaining pockets of humans cease as trophic collapse extinctions cascade through ecosystems.
Humans are not an island. Life persists in community of species that consume/ process as food the bodies or wastes of other species. Expect crop failures, then wars.
Humans are not an island. Life persists in community of species that consume/ process as food the bodies or wastes of other species. Expect crop failures, then wars.
I don't see human society as having a long future. Our species has a dominant global culture. Its values result in serious overshoot. Our society continues to emit gases, liquids and solids that are toxic, especially in industrialized high concentrations. MIT projected this to be when issues hit.
December 16, 2025 at 8:20 AM
I don't see human society as having a long future. Our species has a dominant global culture. Its values result in serious overshoot. Our society continues to emit gases, liquids and solids that are toxic, especially in industrialized high concentrations. MIT projected this to be when issues hit.
What else should we expect since a felon sits in the Oval Office?
cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net/WC2Ww7w5F9xn...
cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net/WC2Ww7w5F9xn...
December 15, 2025 at 2:45 PM
What else should we expect since a felon sits in the Oval Office?
cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net/WC2Ww7w5F9xn...
cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net/WC2Ww7w5F9xn...
Food prices suffer when you don't treat the workers well. Add in tariffs.
This is all prelude to the mounting effects of droughts, storms, pests and outright heats the planet warms. Not good news for the USA now, but longer term, bad news everywhere.
This is all prelude to the mounting effects of droughts, storms, pests and outright heats the planet warms. Not good news for the USA now, but longer term, bad news everywhere.
December 15, 2025 at 1:30 PM
Food prices suffer when you don't treat the workers well. Add in tariffs.
This is all prelude to the mounting effects of droughts, storms, pests and outright heats the planet warms. Not good news for the USA now, but longer term, bad news everywhere.
This is all prelude to the mounting effects of droughts, storms, pests and outright heats the planet warms. Not good news for the USA now, but longer term, bad news everywhere.
A problem of Bsky is that you might not have seen other comments to Hugo. In your other comments, you ask about my diet, emissions, awareness. I've taught on population & ZPG since the late 80s. My footprint rpt. isn't my lowest, but an average for 16+yrs. Internet is my vice.
Expect mass extinction
Expect mass extinction
December 11, 2025 at 10:32 AM
A problem of Bsky is that you might not have seen other comments to Hugo. In your other comments, you ask about my diet, emissions, awareness. I've taught on population & ZPG since the late 80s. My footprint rpt. isn't my lowest, but an average for 16+yrs. Internet is my vice.
Expect mass extinction
Expect mass extinction
Agreed. Example:
Pick nearly any major holiday. The number of flights and passengers is at or setting new records. Zoom conference calls could eliminate most business or social travel, except the perk is the choice of locations.
Traversing continents as tourists is robbery of life for future beings.
Pick nearly any major holiday. The number of flights and passengers is at or setting new records. Zoom conference calls could eliminate most business or social travel, except the perk is the choice of locations.
Traversing continents as tourists is robbery of life for future beings.
December 11, 2025 at 7:45 AM
Agreed. Example:
Pick nearly any major holiday. The number of flights and passengers is at or setting new records. Zoom conference calls could eliminate most business or social travel, except the perk is the choice of locations.
Traversing continents as tourists is robbery of life for future beings.
Pick nearly any major holiday. The number of flights and passengers is at or setting new records. Zoom conference calls could eliminate most business or social travel, except the perk is the choice of locations.
Traversing continents as tourists is robbery of life for future beings.
I thought the paper was wrong in its premise at section 2.1
denying validity of convention "that 100% of fossil carbon is counted but only a third of LULUCF carbon is counted (the part that remains in the atmosphere to cause warming)."
Vegans have a point, but carbon capture is part of agriculture.
denying validity of convention "that 100% of fossil carbon is counted but only a third of LULUCF carbon is counted (the part that remains in the atmosphere to cause warming)."
Vegans have a point, but carbon capture is part of agriculture.
December 11, 2025 at 7:21 AM
I thought the paper was wrong in its premise at section 2.1
denying validity of convention "that 100% of fossil carbon is counted but only a third of LULUCF carbon is counted (the part that remains in the atmosphere to cause warming)."
Vegans have a point, but carbon capture is part of agriculture.
denying validity of convention "that 100% of fossil carbon is counted but only a third of LULUCF carbon is counted (the part that remains in the atmosphere to cause warming)."
Vegans have a point, but carbon capture is part of agriculture.
Hugo's right about temperatures rising faster than insects and plants can adapt/ evolve to handle. These two images point to photosynthesis being limited.
Not only wind affects grain yield, but temperatures also are critical. Nighttime temperatures are a key factor for rice. Too high => low yields.
Not only wind affects grain yield, but temperatures also are critical. Nighttime temperatures are a key factor for rice. Too high => low yields.
December 10, 2025 at 10:25 PM
Hugo's right about temperatures rising faster than insects and plants can adapt/ evolve to handle. These two images point to photosynthesis being limited.
Not only wind affects grain yield, but temperatures also are critical. Nighttime temperatures are a key factor for rice. Too high => low yields.
Not only wind affects grain yield, but temperatures also are critical. Nighttime temperatures are a key factor for rice. Too high => low yields.
Lyle and Hugo here grasp it. Many others for decades have given warnings in many ways. I think of friends like Paul Chefurka, Steven Salmony, Jack Alpert, Michael Dowd, Richard Reese, and more distantly many others.
This image depicts 4 warnings. We see the future, though not the sequence and timing
This image depicts 4 warnings. We see the future, though not the sequence and timing
December 10, 2025 at 12:36 PM
Lyle and Hugo here grasp it. Many others for decades have given warnings in many ways. I think of friends like Paul Chefurka, Steven Salmony, Jack Alpert, Michael Dowd, Richard Reese, and more distantly many others.
This image depicts 4 warnings. We see the future, though not the sequence and timing
This image depicts 4 warnings. We see the future, though not the sequence and timing
The binging on sequestered carbon raised living standards for millions, and made the top 0.01% extremely wealthy. These elite are following the patterns of past civilizations in holding onto systems that gave them their status.
Our global society has no planet B. It is going to get hotter & ugly.
Our global society has no planet B. It is going to get hotter & ugly.
December 10, 2025 at 11:28 AM
The binging on sequestered carbon raised living standards for millions, and made the top 0.01% extremely wealthy. These elite are following the patterns of past civilizations in holding onto systems that gave them their status.
Our global society has no planet B. It is going to get hotter & ugly.
Our global society has no planet B. It is going to get hotter & ugly.
What are CO2 emissions per capita? Imports and exports matter.
Western Europe, Australia, Canada, & the USA like to promote that they now emit less CO2. They do, but measured how? Three of these four charts provide a view of how much of their drop is their own, after adjusting for foreign trade.
Western Europe, Australia, Canada, & the USA like to promote that they now emit less CO2. They do, but measured how? Three of these four charts provide a view of how much of their drop is their own, after adjusting for foreign trade.
December 10, 2025 at 10:19 AM
What are CO2 emissions per capita? Imports and exports matter.
Western Europe, Australia, Canada, & the USA like to promote that they now emit less CO2. They do, but measured how? Three of these four charts provide a view of how much of their drop is their own, after adjusting for foreign trade.
Western Europe, Australia, Canada, & the USA like to promote that they now emit less CO2. They do, but measured how? Three of these four charts provide a view of how much of their drop is their own, after adjusting for foreign trade.
The Epstein Survivors' have spoken of the way rich and powerful men treat women as disposable. It is now over 3 weeks since the bill passed to release the files within 30 days.
Who are the men in those files? What was their behavior?
Their videos and pictures must be truly damning to resist so long.
Who are the men in those files? What was their behavior?
Their videos and pictures must be truly damning to resist so long.
December 9, 2025 at 1:56 PM
The Epstein Survivors' have spoken of the way rich and powerful men treat women as disposable. It is now over 3 weeks since the bill passed to release the files within 30 days.
Who are the men in those files? What was their behavior?
Their videos and pictures must be truly damning to resist so long.
Who are the men in those files? What was their behavior?
Their videos and pictures must be truly damning to resist so long.
Good point! People continue to under report, are less than appropriately concerned with heat related deaths.
Late summer 2026 is forecast to to begin another El Niño. Each such cycle raises the threat higher than before.
Ch. One of "The Ministry for the Future" is prophecy I expect to see unfold.
Late summer 2026 is forecast to to begin another El Niño. Each such cycle raises the threat higher than before.
Ch. One of "The Ministry for the Future" is prophecy I expect to see unfold.
December 9, 2025 at 4:51 AM
Good point! People continue to under report, are less than appropriately concerned with heat related deaths.
Late summer 2026 is forecast to to begin another El Niño. Each such cycle raises the threat higher than before.
Ch. One of "The Ministry for the Future" is prophecy I expect to see unfold.
Late summer 2026 is forecast to to begin another El Niño. Each such cycle raises the threat higher than before.
Ch. One of "The Ministry for the Future" is prophecy I expect to see unfold.
Zack, has an amazing array of graphics that slice and dice the shrinking of our planet's reservoir of cold. Without that ice, the reasons for northern hemisphere wind patterns will shift, and weaken. Greenland will become the new, off center, focus of many weather drivers.
December 8, 2025 at 9:22 AM
Zack, has an amazing array of graphics that slice and dice the shrinking of our planet's reservoir of cold. Without that ice, the reasons for northern hemisphere wind patterns will shift, and weaken. Greenland will become the new, off center, focus of many weather drivers.