Raphael Nishimura
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rnishimura.bsky.social
Raphael Nishimura
@rnishimura.bsky.social
Survey methodologist and statistician at the Survey Research Center, Institute for Social Research, University of Michigan
#survey | #sampling | #statistics | #RStats
Come join us at the Strength in Numbers Discord, Marcelo!
November 21, 2025 at 4:02 PM
yeah yeah, but how cool is going to be seeing this in live action 😛
November 18, 2025 at 12:12 AM
Haha I was wondering about that after reading your new handle.
I wouldn't call myself a hater, I just don't think they use sound methodology and they are super sketchy about that, while at the same time being very vocal about being the best it ever existed :P
November 17, 2025 at 3:48 PM
The world is finally healing! 🙌
November 17, 2025 at 1:45 AM
Lol yeah
Intuition might be deceiving me, but I think for this sort of thing explain this difference, there should be a substantial amount of clustering happening.
In another matter, will I see you at MAPOR next week?
November 15, 2025 at 2:46 AM
"Damnit Georg, at some point you have to start asking yourself why all these Republicans love you so much!"
November 15, 2025 at 1:46 AM
That's similar to the shy Trump voter hypothesis. However, we never found strong evidences to support it, either in 2016, 2020 or 2024.
November 6, 2025 at 7:50 PM
Yup, same here!
November 5, 2025 at 5:04 PM
What an exciting future! 😭
November 5, 2025 at 3:50 PM
Yeah, I'm not at all surprised. They always pull the same kind of BS in every other country they have a bad performance. Either that, or they just never talk about it, like in the primary of the gubernatorial election in Puerto Rico or the presidential election in Mexico last year.
November 5, 2025 at 2:39 PM
Based on their performance in São Paulo mayor election last year, they will come up with the lamest excuse ever and then never mention it again lol
November 5, 2025 at 1:42 AM
How something like ~ 1.96*se(estimate) is incorporating bias from sampling and non-sampling error?
November 3, 2025 at 10:19 PM