The Rini
@rinimetrics.bsky.social
Econometric model to predict asset prices.
OMXS30 daily signals.
Bull alerts for Bitcoin, XAG, XAU, $JD, $LAES, $ASTS, LVMH.
Not investment advice.
EU
[email protected]
#stocks #finsky #econsky #econometrics
OMXS30 daily signals.
Bull alerts for Bitcoin, XAG, XAU, $JD, $LAES, $ASTS, LVMH.
Not investment advice.
EU
[email protected]
#stocks #finsky #econsky #econometrics
Pinned
The Rini retains its 79% prediction success.
December's performance was above average.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
December's performance was above average.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
Rini indicator swtiched on:
At least 1 of the following 3 trading days OMXS30 will close green with probability 79%.
(Applies for 3, not only 2 as before, trading days).
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
At least 1 of the following 3 trading days OMXS30 will close green with probability 79%.
(Applies for 3, not only 2 as before, trading days).
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
January 22, 2026 at 7:16 AM
Rini indicator swtiched on:
At least 1 of the following 3 trading days OMXS30 will close green with probability 79%.
(Applies for 3, not only 2 as before, trading days).
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
At least 1 of the following 3 trading days OMXS30 will close green with probability 79%.
(Applies for 3, not only 2 as before, trading days).
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
The US 10-year yield touched 4.3% which was not enough for Potus to TACO yet (expected TACO next week).
Imho, the catalyst was the Deutsche Bank research report saying that
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
Imho, the catalyst was the Deutsche Bank research report saying that
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
January 22, 2026 at 7:10 AM
The US 10-year yield touched 4.3% which was not enough for Potus to TACO yet (expected TACO next week).
Imho, the catalyst was the Deutsche Bank research report saying that
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
Imho, the catalyst was the Deutsche Bank research report saying that
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
TACO
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
January 21, 2026 at 8:03 PM
We post Rini predictions in advance because the econometric model is proprietary.
Thus, need to gain credibility by creating a public record of Rini's performance.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
Thus, need to gain credibility by creating a public record of Rini's performance.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
C O R R E C T !
A G A I N !
:)
Opened -, moved down until 11:10, then moved up until the closing (no small movement down).
A clear BULL!!!
We traded.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
A G A I N !
:)
Opened -, moved down until 11:10, then moved up until the closing (no small movement down).
A clear BULL!!!
We traded.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
Tuesday 20.01.26.
The *baseline* Rini predicts a bull: The dominant move should be upwards.
After opening (predicts + but unlikely), first a move down, then a move up, then a smaller move down.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
The *baseline* Rini predicts a bull: The dominant move should be upwards.
After opening (predicts + but unlikely), first a move down, then a move up, then a smaller move down.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
January 21, 2026 at 6:48 AM
We post Rini predictions in advance because the econometric model is proprietary.
Thus, need to gain credibility by creating a public record of Rini's performance.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
Thus, need to gain credibility by creating a public record of Rini's performance.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
This is sell America’ — U.S. dollar, Treasury prices tumble and gold spikes as globe flees U.S. assets
www.cnbc.com/2026/01/20/s...
www.cnbc.com/2026/01/20/s...
'This is sell America' — U.S. dollar, Treasury prices tumble and gold spikes as globe flees U.S. assets
The 'sell America' trade is in full swing Tuesday morning.
www.cnbc.com
January 20, 2026 at 6:14 PM
This is sell America’ — U.S. dollar, Treasury prices tumble and gold spikes as globe flees U.S. assets
www.cnbc.com/2026/01/20/s...
www.cnbc.com/2026/01/20/s...
C O R R E C T !
A G A I N !
:)
Opened -, moved down until 11:10, then moved up until the closing (no small movement down).
A clear BULL!!!
We traded.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
A G A I N !
:)
Opened -, moved down until 11:10, then moved up until the closing (no small movement down).
A clear BULL!!!
We traded.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
Tuesday 20.01.26.
The *baseline* Rini predicts a bull: The dominant move should be upwards.
After opening (predicts + but unlikely), first a move down, then a move up, then a smaller move down.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
The *baseline* Rini predicts a bull: The dominant move should be upwards.
After opening (predicts + but unlikely), first a move down, then a move up, then a smaller move down.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
January 20, 2026 at 4:33 PM
C O R R E C T !
A G A I N !
:)
Opened -, moved down until 11:10, then moved up until the closing (no small movement down).
A clear BULL!!!
We traded.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
A G A I N !
:)
Opened -, moved down until 11:10, then moved up until the closing (no small movement down).
A clear BULL!!!
We traded.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
LVMH closed at 582.8 Euro (signal correctly categorized as false).
We get the same signal for tomorrow, i.e. a false M3 switches on for some scenarios.
We do not know if LVMH will close + or - tomorrow but we think it will close - on Wednesday and + on Thursday.
Based on current info.
We get the same signal for tomorrow, i.e. a false M3 switches on for some scenarios.
We do not know if LVMH will close + or - tomorrow but we think it will close - on Wednesday and + on Thursday.
Based on current info.
More specifically, these mean that bitcoin will close above 92886 USD, and LVMH wll close above 585 Euro.
We repeat that both of these signals tend to be wrong.
We repeat that both of these signals tend to be wrong.
January 19, 2026 at 5:23 PM
LVMH closed at 582.8 Euro (signal correctly categorized as false).
We get the same signal for tomorrow, i.e. a false M3 switches on for some scenarios.
We do not know if LVMH will close + or - tomorrow but we think it will close - on Wednesday and + on Thursday.
Based on current info.
We get the same signal for tomorrow, i.e. a false M3 switches on for some scenarios.
We do not know if LVMH will close + or - tomorrow but we think it will close - on Wednesday and + on Thursday.
Based on current info.
We avoid such comments but...
Does this guy, Potus, look like someone in his right mind?
The EU has to realize that "the whole is greater than the sum of its parts" (Aristotle), play it right and emerge as the new global superpower.
Does this guy, Potus, look like someone in his right mind?
The EU has to realize that "the whole is greater than the sum of its parts" (Aristotle), play it right and emerge as the new global superpower.
Norwegian Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre has confirmed he received a message from Donald Trump at the weekend saying he was no longer interested “purely” in peace due to not getting the Nobel Peace Prize.
Norway’s PM says Trump sent letter tying Nobel prize snub to Greenland ambitions
American president says his failure to win the Nobel Peace Prize has shifted his focus, as he ramps up bid to take over huge Arctic island.
www.politico.eu
January 19, 2026 at 10:58 AM
We avoid such comments but...
Does this guy, Potus, look like someone in his right mind?
The EU has to realize that "the whole is greater than the sum of its parts" (Aristotle), play it right and emerge as the new global superpower.
Does this guy, Potus, look like someone in his right mind?
The EU has to realize that "the whole is greater than the sum of its parts" (Aristotle), play it right and emerge as the new global superpower.
Notice that OMXS30 is currently 2% down while DAX 1% down.
"Svantesson: Swedish economy is "Trump-proof"".
www.di.se/nyheter/svan...
"Svantesson: Swedish economy is "Trump-proof"".
www.di.se/nyheter/svan...
Svantesson: Svensk ekonomi är ”Trumpsäkrad”
Svensk ekonomi står stark även om Donald Trumps nya tullhot blir verklighet, försäkrar finansminister Elisabeth Svantesson – som kallar presidentens krav…
www.di.se
January 19, 2026 at 10:15 AM
Notice that OMXS30 is currently 2% down while DAX 1% down.
"Svantesson: Swedish economy is "Trump-proof"".
www.di.se/nyheter/svan...
"Svantesson: Swedish economy is "Trump-proof"".
www.di.se/nyheter/svan...
False M3 switched on for Bitcoin.
A true one will appear soon from our experience.
M3 is a bull alert, i.e. spots local or global minima.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
A true one will appear soon from our experience.
M3 is a bull alert, i.e. spots local or global minima.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
January 19, 2026 at 7:14 AM
False M3 switched on for Bitcoin.
A true one will appear soon from our experience.
M3 is a bull alert, i.e. spots local or global minima.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
A true one will appear soon from our experience.
M3 is a bull alert, i.e. spots local or global minima.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
Good Morgon!*
Negative shock because Potus imposed additional tariffs on EU members that sent military forces in Greenland for exercises.
The EU has a common trade policy, thus, tariffs apply as a whole and not on specific Member-States.
Awaiting response from the EU.
*Good morning & God morgon
Negative shock because Potus imposed additional tariffs on EU members that sent military forces in Greenland for exercises.
The EU has a common trade policy, thus, tariffs apply as a whole and not on specific Member-States.
Awaiting response from the EU.
*Good morning & God morgon
Long-run types' behavior dominates in this setting.
We need to see futures/opening on Monday.
OMXS30 tends to yield positive returns when the US is closed.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
We need to see futures/opening on Monday.
OMXS30 tends to yield positive returns when the US is closed.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
January 19, 2026 at 7:07 AM
Good Morgon!*
Negative shock because Potus imposed additional tariffs on EU members that sent military forces in Greenland for exercises.
The EU has a common trade policy, thus, tariffs apply as a whole and not on specific Member-States.
Awaiting response from the EU.
*Good morning & God morgon
Negative shock because Potus imposed additional tariffs on EU members that sent military forces in Greenland for exercises.
The EU has a common trade policy, thus, tariffs apply as a whole and not on specific Member-States.
Awaiting response from the EU.
*Good morning & God morgon
January 16, 2026 at 9:10 AM
Friday 16.01.26.
OMXS30 is stretched.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
OMXS30 is stretched.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
January 16, 2026 at 7:10 AM
Friday 16.01.26.
OMXS30 is stretched.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
OMXS30 is stretched.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
Postponed again.
The closing price was 2983.9 (-0.01%) thus satisfying the "ATHs come in pairs" rule at the margin!
Tomorrow keep an eye on the Supreme Court ruling on tariffs.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
Tomorrow keep an eye on the Supreme Court ruling on tariffs.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
January 14, 2026 at 3:28 PM
Postponed again.
Imho, the bull market for gold, silver, etc. continues into 2026 with violent moves up and down.
We keep positions in junior gold & uranium miners, silver & copper miners.
We trade daily Rini bull alerts in silver, gold and palladium.
We started a position in energy (oil and gas).
We keep positions in junior gold & uranium miners, silver & copper miners.
We trade daily Rini bull alerts in silver, gold and palladium.
We started a position in energy (oil and gas).
We woke up with silver above 84 USD.
A new ATH.
The price is rising for all possible reasons it could right now.
We focus more on the monetary implications.
Gold up, palladium up, etc.
#gold #silver #palladium #platinum #metals #commodities
A new ATH.
The price is rising for all possible reasons it could right now.
We focus more on the monetary implications.
Gold up, palladium up, etc.
#gold #silver #palladium #platinum #metals #commodities
January 14, 2026 at 6:22 AM
Tuesday 13.01.26.
The Rini baseline signal is a weak bear with probablity 57.
The Rini was 100% correct in past cases (all of them bull btw).
Opened at new ATH (2988.27, +.14%).
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
The Rini baseline signal is a weak bear with probablity 57.
The Rini was 100% correct in past cases (all of them bull btw).
Opened at new ATH (2988.27, +.14%).
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
January 13, 2026 at 8:49 AM
Tuesday 13.01.26.
The Rini baseline signal is a weak bear with probablity 57.
The Rini was 100% correct in past cases (all of them bull btw).
Opened at new ATH (2988.27, +.14%).
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
The Rini baseline signal is a weak bear with probablity 57.
The Rini was 100% correct in past cases (all of them bull btw).
Opened at new ATH (2988.27, +.14%).
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
Imho, the bull market for gold, silver, etc. continues into 2026 with violent moves up and down.
We keep positions in junior gold & uranium miners, silver & copper miners.
We trade daily Rini bull alerts in silver, gold and palladium.
We started a position in energy (oil and gas).
We keep positions in junior gold & uranium miners, silver & copper miners.
We trade daily Rini bull alerts in silver, gold and palladium.
We started a position in energy (oil and gas).
We woke up with silver above 84 USD.
A new ATH.
The price is rising for all possible reasons it could right now.
We focus more on the monetary implications.
Gold up, palladium up, etc.
#gold #silver #palladium #platinum #metals #commodities
A new ATH.
The price is rising for all possible reasons it could right now.
We focus more on the monetary implications.
Gold up, palladium up, etc.
#gold #silver #palladium #platinum #metals #commodities
January 13, 2026 at 7:56 AM
Imho, the bull market for gold, silver, etc. continues into 2026 with violent moves up and down.
We keep positions in junior gold & uranium miners, silver & copper miners.
We trade daily Rini bull alerts in silver, gold and palladium.
We started a position in energy (oil and gas).
We keep positions in junior gold & uranium miners, silver & copper miners.
We trade daily Rini bull alerts in silver, gold and palladium.
We started a position in energy (oil and gas).
The percentage change between OMXS30-closing price and its daily MA has reached 14%, which is a max in years without shocks, i.e. 2021 and 2009.
This metric is used in the US, e.g. by Tom Lee, to spot tops.
Interpretation: A (local) top is probably near.
Just fyi.
This metric is used in the US, e.g. by Tom Lee, to spot tops.
Interpretation: A (local) top is probably near.
Just fyi.
January 13, 2026 at 7:40 AM
The percentage change between OMXS30-closing price and its daily MA has reached 14%, which is a max in years without shocks, i.e. 2021 and 2009.
This metric is used in the US, e.g. by Tom Lee, to spot tops.
Interpretation: A (local) top is probably near.
Just fyi.
This metric is used in the US, e.g. by Tom Lee, to spot tops.
Interpretation: A (local) top is probably near.
Just fyi.
If you take a look at the US stock market indices it seems they do not care perhaps because they favor lower rates more.
This is bad for Powell.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
This is bad for Powell.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
Imho, market participants do not see threats to Fed's independence favorably.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
January 12, 2026 at 4:46 PM
If you take a look at the US stock market indices it seems they do not care perhaps because they favor lower rates more.
This is bad for Powell.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
This is bad for Powell.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
Reposted by The Rini
Criminalising the Fed ft.trib.al/euaaWM0 | opinion
Criminalising the Fed
Plus the employment/growth puzzle
ft.trib.al
January 12, 2026 at 6:35 AM
Criminalising the Fed ft.trib.al/euaaWM0 | opinion
Monday 12.01.26.
The probability is 52% bull but backtesting is a clear bear in 3 identical cases.
It should be a bear, i.e. the dominant move is downwards.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
The probability is 52% bull but backtesting is a clear bear in 3 identical cases.
It should be a bear, i.e. the dominant move is downwards.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
January 12, 2026 at 9:20 AM
Monday 12.01.26.
The probability is 52% bull but backtesting is a clear bear in 3 identical cases.
It should be a bear, i.e. the dominant move is downwards.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
The probability is 52% bull but backtesting is a clear bear in 3 identical cases.
It should be a bear, i.e. the dominant move is downwards.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
Correct.
It was a bull.
News & signal in the same direction.
Sharp temporary decline when US Supreme Court postponed ruling on tariffs' legality.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
It was a bull.
News & signal in the same direction.
Sharp temporary decline when US Supreme Court postponed ruling on tariffs' legality.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
*in the absence of a shock* today is a bull.
We have already traded a bull.
We sold at 2954 (+0.55%) following the Rini intervals.
We will see if we trade again.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
We have already traded a bull.
We sold at 2954 (+0.55%) following the Rini intervals.
We will see if we trade again.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
January 12, 2026 at 7:20 AM
Correct.
It was a bull.
News & signal in the same direction.
Sharp temporary decline when US Supreme Court postponed ruling on tariffs' legality.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
It was a bull.
News & signal in the same direction.
Sharp temporary decline when US Supreme Court postponed ruling on tariffs' legality.
#data #econometrics #economy #finsky #econsky #stocks #investing #trading #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #technicalanalysis
We woke up with silver above 84 USD.
A new ATH.
The price is rising for all possible reasons it could right now.
We focus more on the monetary implications.
Gold up, palladium up, etc.
#gold #silver #palladium #platinum #metals #commodities
A new ATH.
The price is rising for all possible reasons it could right now.
We focus more on the monetary implications.
Gold up, palladium up, etc.
#gold #silver #palladium #platinum #metals #commodities
January 12, 2026 at 7:17 AM
We woke up with silver above 84 USD.
A new ATH.
The price is rising for all possible reasons it could right now.
We focus more on the monetary implications.
Gold up, palladium up, etc.
#gold #silver #palladium #platinum #metals #commodities
A new ATH.
The price is rising for all possible reasons it could right now.
We focus more on the monetary implications.
Gold up, palladium up, etc.
#gold #silver #palladium #platinum #metals #commodities