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Rich Brennan
@richb118.bsky.social
66 followers 84 following 260 posts
Diversified Systematic Trend Follower. Strategy Ambassador for East Coast Capital Management, Aussie Turtles, ATS Trading Solutions (The Traders Outpost)
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Rich Brennan @richb118.bsky.social · Nov 2
It’s here! We’ve published a book.

The Aussie Turtles Trend Following Guide is not a system, it’s a philosophy.

Available on Amazon now: lnkd.in/gmQWxYgn

#TrendFollowing #SystematicTrading #AussieTurtles
richb118.bsky.social
Memory Without a Mind: How Markets Remember What Traders Forget

Read the full article here: atstradingsolutions.com/memory-witho...

#MarketStructure #TrendFollowing #ComplexSystems #PathDependence
Memory Without a Mind: How Markets Remember What Traders Forget – Traders Outpost
Why structure holds what data cannot, and what this means for how markets respond   The River’s Memory A river does not think. It has no model of the world, no beliefs about rainfall, no…
atstradingsolutions.com
January 14, 2026 at 7:27 PM
richb118.bsky.social
The Metronome Effect: Why Markets Suddenly Move Together

Read the full article here: atstradingsolutions.com/the-metronom...

#MarketStructure #SystemicRisk #ComplexSystems #TrendFollowing
January 12, 2026 at 10:13 PM
richb118.bsky.social
"Memory does not live in minds alone. It lives wherever the past quietly limits what can happen next."

Read the full article here: atstradingsolutions.com/the-market-h...

#Markets #TradingPhilosophy #SystematicTrading #ComplexSystems
The Market Has Memory, But No Mind: Why History Shapes Outcomes Without Intention – Traders Outpost
“Memory does not live in minds alone. It lives wherever the past quietly limits what can happen next.” Markets are often described as forgetful. Participants change. Capital turns over. Positions a…
atstradingsolutions.com
January 10, 2026 at 10:18 PM
richb118.bsky.social
The End of Globalization. The Return of Persistent Trends.

atstradingsolutions.com/the-systemat...

#TrendFollowing #SystematicInvesting #GlobalMacro #OutlierHunting
The Systematic Investor SI382: The End of Globalization, the Rise of Trends ft. Richard Brennan – Traders Outpost
In my recent conversation with Niels Kaastrup-Larsen, we stepped back from day-to-day market noise and looked at something more structural. The globalised world that compressed cycles, smoot…
atstradingsolutions.com
January 10, 2026 at 9:16 AM
richb118.bsky.social
This Week in Trend | Metals Roar Back

Read the full report:
atstradingsolutions.com/this-week-in...

#TrendFollowing #SystematicTrading #RiskManagement #Markets
This Week in Trend – Metals Roar Back: 9th January 2026 – Traders Outpost
The second week of January delivered a sharp reversal of last week’s narrative. After a violent shakeout, the metals complex roared back to life. Silver, palladium, and platinum surged aggressively…
atstradingsolutions.com
January 10, 2026 at 9:03 AM
richb118.bsky.social
Why Simple Strategies Outlive Brilliant Ones

Markets do not select for brilliance. They select for compatibility.

Full article: atstradingsolutions.com/selection-no...

#TrendFollowing #RiskManagement #ComplexSystems #Investing
Selection, Not Skill: Why Simple Strategies Outlive Brilliant Ones – Traders Outpost
“Survival is not proof of superiority. It is evidence of fit.” There is a familiar story traders like to tell themselves. The best ideas win. Superior insight survives. Over time, skill rises to th…
atstradingsolutions.com
January 8, 2026 at 9:15 PM
richb118.bsky.social
Noise Is the Rule, Not the Error

"Silence is not calm. It is missing information."

Read the full article here: atstradingsolutions.com/noise-is-the...

#MarketStructure #Volatility #RiskManagement #TrendFollowing
Noise Is the Rule, Not the Error: Why Quiet Markets Are Often the Most Dangerous – Traders Outpost
“Silence is not calm. It is missing information.” The puzzle is not why noisy systems behave unpredictably. The puzzle is why systems that appear calm, stable, and well behaved so often fail catast…
atstradingsolutions.com
January 6, 2026 at 7:19 PM
richb118.bsky.social
The Fractals of Finance: Coming Soon

Markets are not random. They are alive.

My book The Fractals of Finance is almost here. It explores why trend following works, not just how.

Foreword by Jerry Parker, Original Turtle Trader.

#TrendFollowing, #SystematicTrading, #Fractals
January 6, 2026 at 3:59 AM
richb118.bsky.social
Fragility Is an Emergent Property: Why optimisation produces failure

“The system did not fail suddenly. It finished learning the wrong lesson.”

Read the full article here:
atstradingsolutions.com/fragility-is...

#ComplexSystems #RiskManagement #SystemicFragility #TrendFollowing
Fragility Is an Emergent Property: Why Optimisation Produces Failure – Traders Outpost
“The system did not fail suddenly. It finished learning the wrong lesson.” When complex systems fail, we often assume someone made a mistake. A bad model. A missed risk. An unforeseen event. A tail…
atstradingsolutions.com
January 4, 2026 at 11:03 PM
richb118.bsky.social
This Week in Trend – New Year, Old Rules

Read the full report here:
atstradingsolutions.com/this-week-in...

#TrendFollowing #MarketStructure #SystematicTrading #RiskDiscipline
This Week in Trend – New Year, Old Rules: 2nd January 2025 – Traders Outpost
“Rotation begins. Discipline remains.” The first trading days of the new year delivered an immediate shift in market character. The narrow leadership that defined late December fractured sharply, s…
atstradingsolutions.com
January 3, 2026 at 10:17 AM
richb118.bsky.social
Attractors, Not Equilibria

“Nothing settles. And yet behaviour returns.”

Read the full piece here:
atstradingsolutions.com/attractors-n...

#Markets #TrendFollowing #ComplexSystems #MarketStructure
Attractors, Not Equilibria: Why Markets Never Settle but Keep Returning – Traders Outpost
“Nothing settles. And yet behaviour returns.” Markets are often described as unstable. Prices move constantly. Trends form and fail. Volatility expands and contracts. Nothing stays where it was. Fr…
atstradingsolutions.com
January 2, 2026 at 7:01 PM
richb118.bsky.social
What Remained When the Storm Passed: ATS Classic Trend Report – December 2025

👉 atstradingsolutions.com/ats-classic-...

#TrendFollowing #OutlierHunting #SystematicTrading #EnduranceOverPrediction
ATS Classic – Trend Report: December 2025 – Traders Outpost
“As the year closes, structure asserts itself. The noise fades, and the trends that survived are left standing.” About the ATS Classic Trend Benchmarking Portfolio The ATS Classic Trend Portfolio i…
atstradingsolutions.com
January 2, 2026 at 9:05 AM
richb118.bsky.social
Why Feedback Beats Forecasts

Read here:
atstradingsolutions.com/why-feedback...

#MarketStructure #FeedbackLoops #TrendFollowing #ComplexSystems
Why Feedback Beats Forecasts: Why Markets Move Even When No One Is Right – Traders Outpost
“The moment belief becomes action, prediction stops being neutral.” Imagine trying to predict where a crowd will go by asking each person what they plan to do. Some will answer honestly. Some will …
atstradingsolutions.com
December 31, 2025 at 10:25 PM
richb118.bsky.social
Battle of the Trend Following Indexes – November 2025

👉 www.aussieturtles.com/battle-of-th...

#TrendFollowing #ManagedFutures #SystematicInvesting #OutlierHunting
December 30, 2025 at 12:10 PM
richb118.bsky.social
Local Rules, Global Order

Read the full article here: atstradingsolutions.com/local-rules-...

#MarketStructure #Emergence #TradingInsights #ComplexSystems
December 29, 2025 at 10:44 PM
richb118.bsky.social
Convexity is easy to admire. It is much harder to live with.

Read here:
atstradingsolutions.com/the-feel-of-...

#Convexity #TrendFollowing #SystematicTrading #RiskMindset
The Feel of Convexity: Why Understanding Is Not the Same as Tolerance – Traders Outpost
“There is no arrival.Only the choice to remain.” There is no moment when this becomes comfortable. A trader can understand everything in the first three essays and still fail to express convexity. …
atstradingsolutions.com
December 27, 2025 at 10:23 PM
richb118.bsky.social
Silent Night, Narrow Light

Read this week’s This Week in Trend here:
atstradingsolutions.com/this-week-in...

#TrendFollowing #SystematicTrading #MarketStructure #RiskManagement
December 27, 2025 at 11:51 AM
richb118.bsky.social
Stories About Control: Why Optimisation So Often Produces Fragility

👉 Read here:
atstradingsolutions.com/stories-abou...

#StoriesAboutControl #Robustness #Fragility #ProcessOverPrediction
Stories About Control: Why Optimisation So Often Produces Fragility – Traders Outpost
“What looked like control was only stability borrowed from the past.” The feeling of control is not the same thing as control. The traders most vulnerable to catastrophic failure are rarely naive. …
atstradingsolutions.com
December 25, 2025 at 9:54 PM
richb118.bsky.social
Sequential Disclosure: Why the Future Cannot Be Seen

👉 Read here:
atstradingsolutions.com/sequential-d...

“The future does not lie ahead.
It is formed as you move.”

#SequentialDisclosure, #TradingTheNow, #ProcessOverPrediction, #MarketStructure
December 23, 2025 at 7:14 PM
richb118.bsky.social
Brakes, Acceleration, and the Art of Trading the Now

Read the full essay here:
atstradingsolutions.com/brakes-accel...

#TradingTheNow #Convexity #RiskAsymmetry #ProcessOverPrediction
December 22, 2025 at 11:00 PM
richb118.bsky.social
Trend Following Performance Report – November 2025

Read the full report here: atstradingsolutions.com/trend-follow...

#TrendFollowing #ManagedFutures #SystematicInvesting #CTA #RiskManagement #PortfolioConstruction
Trend Following Performance Report – November 2025: Persistence Without Breadth – Traders Outpost
November was not about broad participation. It was about staying positioned. Trend-following performance continued to recover, but opportunity narrowed beneath the surface. Programs already aligned…
atstradingsolutions.com
December 21, 2025 at 8:56 AM
richb118.bsky.social
This Week in Trend – Thawing Breadth, Fragile Conviction

👉 To access the full report:
atstradingsolutions.com/this-week-in...

#trendfollowing #systematictrading #managedfutures #CTAperformance
This Week in Trend – Thawing Breadth, Fragile Conviction: 19 December 2025 – Traders Outpost
“Structure begins to reassert itself, but conviction remains selective” The third week of December delivered a subtle but important change in character across global futures markets. Price action s…
atstradingsolutions.com
December 20, 2025 at 8:35 AM
richb118.bsky.social
Rising Stars and Trend Titans: November 2025

Explore which programs excelled, how dispersion evolved, and what this means for long-term allocators. Dive into the full report here:
🔗 atstradingsolutions.com/rising-stars...

#TrendFollowing #SystematicInvesting #ManagedFutures #Commodities
Rising Stars and Trend Titans: November 2025 – Traders Outpost
Introduction   November extended the recovery phase that began earlier in the year, but with noticeably less force. The sharp directional bursts that characterised prior months gave way to a m…
atstradingsolutions.com
December 20, 2025 at 1:44 AM
richb118.bsky.social
Carved by Impossibility

“Form is not built. Form is what remains.”

Read here:
atstradingsolutions.com/carved-by-im...

#ComplexSystems #TrendFollowing #Markets #Philosophy #OutlierHunting
Carved by Impossibility: Agents at the Boundary of What Cannot Be – Traders Outpost
“Form is not built. Form is what remains.” This essay is the third in a series. The first two explored seemingly unrelated puzzles. This one names what unifies them. In The Shape of Wha…
atstradingsolutions.com
December 19, 2025 at 10:47 PM
richb118.bsky.social
The Strategy That Remains

Read The Strategy That Remains here:
atstradingsolutions.com/the-strategy...

#SystemsThinking #Markets #Strategy #Survivorship
The Strategy That Remains – Traders Outpost
A companion essay to The Shape of What Remains “What remains was not designed to endure.It endured because it could.” In my previous essay, I argued that the universe appears fine-tuned…
atstradingsolutions.com
December 18, 2025 at 10:15 PM