Ross Burkhart
@rburkha.bsky.social
Professor of Political Science, Boise State University
Across terms in office, here are the Pearson correlations of daily presidential approval and daily gas prices (SW Idaho, trends nationally):
Trump I (19-21, 751 days): -.12
Biden (21-25, 1458 days): -.30
Trump II (25-26, 375 days): .01
No gas price impact on Trump II approval
Trump I (19-21, 751 days): -.12
Biden (21-25, 1458 days): -.30
Trump II (25-26, 375 days): .01
No gas price impact on Trump II approval
January 31, 2026 at 11:37 PM
Across terms in office, here are the Pearson correlations of daily presidential approval and daily gas prices (SW Idaho, trends nationally):
Trump I (19-21, 751 days): -.12
Biden (21-25, 1458 days): -.30
Trump II (25-26, 375 days): .01
No gas price impact on Trump II approval
Trump I (19-21, 751 days): -.12
Biden (21-25, 1458 days): -.30
Trump II (25-26, 375 days): .01
No gas price impact on Trump II approval
First time we’ve seen blue sky in the valley in a week.
January 23, 2026 at 11:21 PM
First time we’ve seen blue sky in the valley in a week.
I track daily gas prices and daily presidential approval ratings. For this year, the correlation is -.45, moderate, but dropping off from a high of -.75 this past summer. Trump’s approval is showing no signs of lifting despite gas plunging by 55 cents this past month
December 20, 2025 at 4:08 PM
I track daily gas prices and daily presidential approval ratings. For this year, the correlation is -.45, moderate, but dropping off from a high of -.75 this past summer. Trump’s approval is showing no signs of lifting despite gas plunging by 55 cents this past month
Potato Bowl prep. #washingtonstate #utahstate
December 19, 2025 at 4:00 PM
Potato Bowl prep. #washingtonstate #utahstate
Decembery vibe along the Boise River
December 4, 2025 at 12:07 AM
Decembery vibe along the Boise River
The mid-November vibe.
November 14, 2025 at 5:27 PM
The mid-November vibe.
In autumn’s midst. #boisestateuniversity
October 24, 2025 at 10:15 PM
In autumn’s midst. #boisestateuniversity
Pulling a pint in Nampa #americanredcross #giveblood
October 21, 2025 at 8:56 PM
Pulling a pint in Nampa #americanredcross #giveblood
The Rebels have arrived. #boisestate #unlv
October 17, 2025 at 7:57 PM
The Rebels have arrived. #boisestate #unlv
A very Idaho headline (h/t @theguardian.com)
October 7, 2025 at 1:20 PM
A very Idaho headline (h/t @theguardian.com)
Your Foothills cloudbank. #boisestate
October 3, 2025 at 3:17 PM
Your Foothills cloudbank. #boisestate
Nice view of Orion this morning.
September 16, 2025 at 12:34 PM
Nice view of Orion this morning.
A smoky home opener against Eastern Washington #BoiseState
September 5, 2025 at 6:16 PM
A smoky home opener against Eastern Washington #BoiseState
Annals of Testy Diplomacy … The Nobel Prize and a Testy Phone Call: How the Trump-Modi Relationship Unraveled www.nytimes.com/2025/08/30/u...
The Nobel Prize and a Testy Phone Call: How the Trump-Modi Relationship Unraveled
www.nytimes.com
August 30, 2025 at 5:14 PM
Annals of Testy Diplomacy … The Nobel Prize and a Testy Phone Call: How the Trump-Modi Relationship Unraveled www.nytimes.com/2025/08/30/u...
Gettin’ busy here #boisestateuniversity
August 21, 2025 at 8:54 PM
Gettin’ busy here #boisestateuniversity
So far this year, at the end of May, the Pearson correlation between Trump’s daily approval rating and daily SW Idaho gas price (unleaded) is -.50, N=129…higher Trump approval is associated with lower gas prices, but the gas price has rise 40 cents since Inauguration Day.
May 31, 2025 at 8:50 PM
So far this year, at the end of May, the Pearson correlation between Trump’s daily approval rating and daily SW Idaho gas price (unleaded) is -.50, N=129…higher Trump approval is associated with lower gas prices, but the gas price has rise 40 cents since Inauguration Day.