Philipp Maier
@pmaier1971.bsky.social
Economic data releases and news, automated with R.
Data from http://fred.stlouisfed.org.
Code/details: http://whyitmatters.netlify.app
All views and errors are mine.
Data from http://fred.stlouisfed.org.
Code/details: http://whyitmatters.netlify.app
All views and errors are mine.
The Chicago Fed Financial Conditions Index in Nov 2025 came in at -0.52, down from -0.52 the prior month.Negative values indicate financial conditions that are looser than average. #econsky
December 3, 2025 at 2:09 PM
The Chicago Fed Financial Conditions Index in Nov 2025 came in at -0.52, down from -0.52 the prior month.Negative values indicate financial conditions that are looser than average. #econsky
Today's #ADP data suggests an increase in private sector #employment of 25000K jobs, up from -36000K in Oct 2025. Note that historically the ADP report is not overly accurate in predicting the #payroll number. #econsky
December 3, 2025 at 2:08 PM
Today's #ADP data suggests an increase in private sector #employment of 25000K jobs, up from -36000K in Oct 2025. Note that historically the ADP report is not overly accurate in predicting the #payroll number. #econsky
On 28 Nov the Nominal Emerging Market USD Index stood at 131.8835. Relative to a month ago, this is approx. a decrease of -0.2%. Relative to a year ago, USD is about -3.84% lower. The index is weighted against a broad subset of emerging market currencies #exchangerates #econsky
December 3, 2025 at 1:16 PM
On 28 Nov the Nominal Emerging Market USD Index stood at 131.8835. Relative to a month ago, this is approx. a decrease of -0.2%. Relative to a year ago, USD is about -3.84% lower. The index is weighted against a broad subset of emerging market currencies #exchangerates #econsky
Change in interbank lending costs: The SOFR rate on 02 December was at 4.01%, a decrease by -11 bps from the prior day. The Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) is a measure of borrowing costs for cash overnight, collateralized by Treasuries #monetarypolicy #econsky
December 3, 2025 at 1:15 PM
Change in interbank lending costs: The SOFR rate on 02 December was at 4.01%, a decrease by -11 bps from the prior day. The Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) is a measure of borrowing costs for cash overnight, collateralized by Treasuries #monetarypolicy #econsky
7-day weighted av. for Diesel currently at $3.76, down -7.3 cents from last week. Diesel engines in trucks, trains, boats, and barges transport nearly all products people consume. Relative to 12 months ago, this is a $0.22 increase. #econsky
December 2, 2025 at 9:51 PM
7-day weighted av. for Diesel currently at $3.76, down -7.3 cents from last week. Diesel engines in trucks, trains, boats, and barges transport nearly all products people consume. Relative to 12 months ago, this is a $0.22 increase. #econsky
7-day weighted av. price for gas currently at $3.12, down -7.5 cents from last week. Relative to 12 months ago, this is a -4 cent decrease. #inflation #econsky
December 2, 2025 at 9:51 PM
7-day weighted av. price for gas currently at $3.12, down -7.5 cents from last week. Relative to 12 months ago, this is a -4 cent decrease. #inflation #econsky
On 28 November the Nominal Broad U.S. Dollar Index stood at 121.4288. Relative to a month ago, this is approx. an increase of 0.05%. Relative to a year ago, USD is about -4.24% lower. The index is weighted against a broad group of trading partners #exchangerate #usd #econsky
December 2, 2025 at 1:15 PM
On 28 November the Nominal Broad U.S. Dollar Index stood at 121.4288. Relative to a month ago, this is approx. an increase of 0.05%. Relative to a year ago, USD is about -4.24% lower. The index is weighted against a broad group of trading partners #exchangerate #usd #econsky
Total Assets for all Commercial Banks have increased from 24401.8353 last week to 24434.6524 on 19 November. Relative to a year ago, this represents an increase of about 3.76%. Evolution of the main asset categories shown in the chart below #commercialbanks #assets #econsky
December 1, 2025 at 9:51 PM
Total Assets for all Commercial Banks have increased from 24401.8353 last week to 24434.6524 on 19 November. Relative to a year ago, this represents an increase of about 3.76%. Evolution of the main asset categories shown in the chart below #commercialbanks #assets #econsky
Corporate Bond Market Update: Using data as of 28 November, Moody's Seasoned Aaa Corporate Bond Yield for bonds with 20+ years maturity is at 5.18% for the AAA (down -0.11p.p. from the prior week). The BAA is at 5.8%. #econsky
December 1, 2025 at 9:50 PM
Corporate Bond Market Update: Using data as of 28 November, Moody's Seasoned Aaa Corporate Bond Yield for bonds with 20+ years maturity is at 5.18% for the AAA (down -0.11p.p. from the prior week). The BAA is at 5.8%. #econsky
At the end of this week, the GDPNow forecast from the Altanta Fed for Q3 2025 stands at at 4.02%. GDPNow is a nowcasting model for GDP growth projecting 13 GDP subcomponents with monthly source data, a factor model and a BVAR. #econsky
November 29, 2025 at 1:15 PM
At the end of this week, the GDPNow forecast from the Altanta Fed for Q3 2025 stands at at 4.02%. GDPNow is a nowcasting model for GDP growth projecting 13 GDP subcomponents with monthly source data, a factor model and a BVAR. #econsky
The average rate on a U.S. 30-Year Fixed Rate Conforming #mortgage on 25 November was at 6.169%. Relative to the prior week, the rate has fallen by about -0.08 p.p. #mortgagerates #econsky
November 29, 2025 at 1:15 PM
The average rate on a U.S. 30-Year Fixed Rate Conforming #mortgage on 25 November was at 6.169%. Relative to the prior week, the rate has fallen by about -0.08 p.p. #mortgagerates #econsky
5Y Breakeven Inflation Rate at 2.29%, down from 2.34% last week; 10Y Breakeven Inflation at 2.23%. Breakeven inflation uses the difference between Constant Maturity and Inflation-Indexed Constant Maturity Treasuries to calculate market expectations #inflation #econsky.
November 28, 2025 at 9:51 PM
5Y Breakeven Inflation Rate at 2.29%, down from 2.34% last week; 10Y Breakeven Inflation at 2.23%. Breakeven inflation uses the difference between Constant Maturity and Inflation-Indexed Constant Maturity Treasuries to calculate market expectations #inflation #econsky.
10Y #Treasury is at 4%, down from 4.01% last week. How are shorter-term interest rates contributing to the change in the yield curve? #interest #econsky https://tinyurl.com/m7pdyyyf
November 28, 2025 at 9:51 PM
10Y #Treasury is at 4%, down from 4.01% last week. How are shorter-term interest rates contributing to the change in the yield curve? #interest #econsky https://tinyurl.com/m7pdyyyf
The U.S. Dollars to U.K. Pound Sterling Spot Exchange Rate stood at 1.31 USD/GBP last week (21 November). Relative to a month ago, this is -1.5% lower. Relative to a year ago, the exchange rate has risen by 4.7% #exchangerate #gbp #usd #econsky
November 28, 2025 at 1:16 PM
The U.S. Dollars to U.K. Pound Sterling Spot Exchange Rate stood at 1.31 USD/GBP last week (21 November). Relative to a month ago, this is -1.5% lower. Relative to a year ago, the exchange rate has risen by 4.7% #exchangerate #gbp #usd #econsky
Last week (21 November) the U.S. Dollars to Euro Exchange Rate was 1.1506 USD/EUR. Relative to a month ago, this is a decrease of approx. -1%. Relative to a year ago, the exchange rate is about 10.6% higher. #exchangerate #eur #usd #econsky
November 28, 2025 at 1:15 PM
Last week (21 November) the U.S. Dollars to Euro Exchange Rate was 1.1506 USD/EUR. Relative to a month ago, this is a decrease of approx. -1%. Relative to a year ago, the exchange rate is about 10.6% higher. #exchangerate #eur #usd #econsky
Emerging Market Update: Longer-term view of currency movements since the start of the post-pandemic monetary tightening cycle. All currencies indexed to 100 on March 16 (date of the first Fed rate hike); latest data point is 21 Nov #fx #emergingmarkets #econsky
November 27, 2025 at 9:51 PM
Emerging Market Update: Longer-term view of currency movements since the start of the post-pandemic monetary tightening cycle. All currencies indexed to 100 on March 16 (date of the first Fed rate hike); latest data point is 21 Nov #fx #emergingmarkets #econsky
Uncertainty Update: VIX at 18.56; 7-day average of the Economic Policy Uncertainty Index at 272.3, down -34.6 from the prior week #vix #MarketVolatility #econsky https://tinyurl.com/3bvx9f5m
November 26, 2025 at 9:51 PM
Uncertainty Update: VIX at 18.56; 7-day average of the Economic Policy Uncertainty Index at 272.3, down -34.6 from the prior week #vix #MarketVolatility #econsky https://tinyurl.com/3bvx9f5m