Jonathan McDowell
planet4589.bsky.social
Jonathan McDowell
@planet4589.bsky.social
Astrophysicist
Observations from Chile suggest that Japan's H3 survived the first orbit and reentered at second perigee, circa 0400 UTC, somewhere over S America along the track shown here
December 22, 2025 at 7:28 PM
Space Force just released an "analyst elset" with catalog 85420 for an object in a 109 x 441 km x 30.1 deg orbit that's consistent with the Tanegashima launch.
December 22, 2025 at 5:31 AM
The damaged Starlink satellite, S-35956, has been imaged from a Vantor satellite and shown to be largely intact, despite the detection of debris from it.
December 21, 2025 at 5:55 PM
LeoLabs says they see hundreds of debris objects from the Starlink failure event
December 20, 2025 at 3:13 AM
Hmm - this is odd. After the ONE data point showing S-35956 in a lower orbit, Space Force is now showing it back in the original orbit. Suggests that the low orbit was a mistake - perhaps a debris object and not the main body of the satellite.
December 19, 2025 at 1:04 PM
According to SpaceX, on Dec 17 one of the Group 11-30 satellites, Starlink 35956 (66629, 2025-271N), suffered a failure
with venting of the propulsion tank and release of some debris objects. This is reflected in a 3km dip in the orbit tracking seen here
December 18, 2025 at 9:21 PM
I looked at @jfoust.bsky.social 's story on the rendezvous between LEO Express 1 and 2. It appears that there were two periods of close approach, on Oct 30-31 and Nov 15-16. Note: the TLEs are only good to a km or so.
December 16, 2025 at 12:13 AM
The number of active satellites in orbit has now passed the 14000 mark according to my estimates:
December 15, 2025 at 1:22 PM
This is consistent with Space Force tracking data of the reentry of CZ-7A-Y13 Stage 3, a Chinese rocket stage launched into orit last month which reentered over the Niger/Chad region at 2009 UTC Dec 11.
December 13, 2025 at 5:43 AM
I take it back, Mike Collins grew one on Apollo 11
November 23, 2025 at 1:39 AM
Boston area folks:
Brickbottom Open Art Studios next weekend, Nov 22-23 afternoons, including my exhibit of images from the Smithsonian's telescopes.
November 15, 2025 at 9:08 PM
The Chinese station made another orbit reboost on Oct 29, a couple of days before the Shenzhou-21 launch
November 1, 2025 at 7:52 PM
Chinese astronauts Col. Zhang Lu, Maj. Wu Fei and Dr. Zhang Hongzhang are aboard the Shenzhou-21 spaceship scheduled for launch shortly (1544 UTC)
October 31, 2025 at 3:28 PM
Based on analysis of TLEs, the Chinese Space Station
made a 3.2 m/s reboost on Oct 17 at about 0947 UTC
October 27, 2025 at 2:24 AM
Via ABC news,
Planet imagery showing the change in the view from space of the White House over the past month
October 24, 2025 at 1:42 AM
North Korea's Manligyeong-1 F3 spy sat, launched in 2023, made another orbit reboost on Oct 2, showing that it is still
working.
October 21, 2025 at 10:04 PM
Looks like the UA1093 incident is tentatively confirmed to be a balloon and not space debris, per this exchange on the other site
October 21, 2025 at 3:18 AM
I haven't seen any official announcement, but TLEs show ISS orbit boost using the Dragon boost trunk did occur as scheduled on Oct 14 at 1812 UTC
October 15, 2025 at 1:43 PM
SpaceX webcast data consistent with a Starship orbit of -1 x 192 km, with uncertainty of about plus or minus 3 km in the perigee value. The Raptor restart raised perigee to about +52 km (but the vehicle was by then already well past apogee, at 145 km on the way down.)
October 14, 2025 at 2:02 AM
A reentry observed over California at 0245 UTC Sep 26 (7.45pm PDT Thu Sep 25) is consistent with Starlink 1586.
September 26, 2025 at 11:51 PM
However, it does match well with Starlink 1586 which also reentered today.
September 26, 2025 at 11:50 PM
Starlink 1636, launched in Aug 2020, reentered over Texas last night (Sep 22 0130 UTC / Sep 21 8.30pm CDT) and was observed widely.
September 23, 2025 at 12:27 AM
Just back from the Camden Intl. Film Festival
in Rockland Maine, where I got to see the US premiere of Julien Elie's new documentary Shifting Baselines
@shiftingbaselines.bsky.social
, in which I make a small appearance.
September 14, 2025 at 2:58 AM
Had fun on Thursday talking about the Boston area space sector at the UK consulate, with proper afternoon tea
September 14, 2025 at 2:47 AM
SM005 and SM001's Space Force tracking data put them occasionally within 20 km of each other, but I think this is probably just a tracking mistake and the satellites are being confused with each other?
August 29, 2025 at 4:05 PM