Paul Renaud
@paulrenaud.bsky.social
Strategy expert on disruptive tech & avoiding business extinction, climate-friendly maple syrup producer, sustainable agriculture based on natural solutions, allergic to fact-adverse thinking / virtual nonsense.
(lanigangroup.ca , spiritintheforest.ca)
(lanigangroup.ca , spiritintheforest.ca)
Still waiting to see evidence of Carney being pro-climate.
December 8, 2025 at 3:04 AM
Still waiting to see evidence of Carney being pro-climate.
We can agree on that. However, the Carney fix is no better.
The entire industrial carbon pricing system needs an overhaul.
The entire industrial carbon pricing system needs an overhaul.
December 5, 2025 at 12:57 AM
We can agree on that. However, the Carney fix is no better.
The entire industrial carbon pricing system needs an overhaul.
The entire industrial carbon pricing system needs an overhaul.
The industrial pricing system in Alberta will never work because it measures emissions intensity and the target is based on total emissions.
Management Principle 101 is to align metrics to targets. Misaligned metrics never turn out well.
Management Principle 101 is to align metrics to targets. Misaligned metrics never turn out well.
December 5, 2025 at 12:56 AM
The industrial pricing system in Alberta will never work because it measures emissions intensity and the target is based on total emissions.
Management Principle 101 is to align metrics to targets. Misaligned metrics never turn out well.
Management Principle 101 is to align metrics to targets. Misaligned metrics never turn out well.
When one province is the largest emitter and is growing emissions, it makes perfect sense.
December 5, 2025 at 12:54 AM
When one province is the largest emitter and is growing emissions, it makes perfect sense.
This is a target, not a cap. A cap is enforced. The problem is that we have no cap on the only industry that has been growing its emissions.
The oil industry must become accountable, they should not have a social license to be irresponsible.
The oil industry must become accountable, they should not have a social license to be irresponsible.
December 5, 2025 at 12:52 AM
This is a target, not a cap. A cap is enforced. The problem is that we have no cap on the only industry that has been growing its emissions.
The oil industry must become accountable, they should not have a social license to be irresponsible.
The oil industry must become accountable, they should not have a social license to be irresponsible.
Except we do not have comprehensive cap and trade without having a cap.
December 4, 2025 at 3:53 PM
Except we do not have comprehensive cap and trade without having a cap.
TiER applies to less than 44% of oil industry emissions and only taxes the amount beyond a mandated 4% decline per year.
How on earth is an industry pricing tax that applies to less than 2% of emissions effective?
How on earth is an industry pricing tax that applies to less than 2% of emissions effective?
December 4, 2025 at 3:35 PM
TiER applies to less than 44% of oil industry emissions and only taxes the amount beyond a mandated 4% decline per year.
How on earth is an industry pricing tax that applies to less than 2% of emissions effective?
How on earth is an industry pricing tax that applies to less than 2% of emissions effective?
Alberta has been foot dragging on nuclear for years. The MOU gives them another year of it.
Meanwhile Alberta is rich in solar, wind and geothermal opportunities that can replace fossil fueled electricity, along with more expensive nuclear.
Meanwhile Alberta is rich in solar, wind and geothermal opportunities that can replace fossil fueled electricity, along with more expensive nuclear.
December 4, 2025 at 3:33 PM
Alberta has been foot dragging on nuclear for years. The MOU gives them another year of it.
Meanwhile Alberta is rich in solar, wind and geothermal opportunities that can replace fossil fueled electricity, along with more expensive nuclear.
Meanwhile Alberta is rich in solar, wind and geothermal opportunities that can replace fossil fueled electricity, along with more expensive nuclear.
Oil industry emissions are supply side emissions that represent the single largest category of emissions in Canada. Not capping them is tantamount to not dealing with the problem.
Demand side emissions require alternatives, funding for alternatives must come from taxing supply side emissions.
Demand side emissions require alternatives, funding for alternatives must come from taxing supply side emissions.
December 4, 2025 at 3:31 PM
Oil industry emissions are supply side emissions that represent the single largest category of emissions in Canada. Not capping them is tantamount to not dealing with the problem.
Demand side emissions require alternatives, funding for alternatives must come from taxing supply side emissions.
Demand side emissions require alternatives, funding for alternatives must come from taxing supply side emissions.
The funny part is that the US gov is exempt from its own tariffs.
December 3, 2025 at 2:19 PM
The funny part is that the US gov is exempt from its own tariffs.
Won't happen because the MOU depends on TIER which doesn't even measure gas facilities.
December 3, 2025 at 2:17 PM
Won't happen because the MOU depends on TIER which doesn't even measure gas facilities.
Precisely why any emphasis on doubling pipeline capacity is time, money and energy misspent.
Carney campaigned on building a national power grid and has not made it a priority. It should be a centerpiece, not a footnote in any federal-provincial deal.
Carney campaigned on building a national power grid and has not made it a priority. It should be a centerpiece, not a footnote in any federal-provincial deal.
December 3, 2025 at 2:15 PM
Precisely why any emphasis on doubling pipeline capacity is time, money and energy misspent.
Carney campaigned on building a national power grid and has not made it a priority. It should be a centerpiece, not a footnote in any federal-provincial deal.
Carney campaigned on building a national power grid and has not made it a priority. It should be a centerpiece, not a footnote in any federal-provincial deal.
That does not require exempting Alberta from clean energy regulation. The MOU also gives them an extra year to foot drag on nuclear, the design for which has not even been started.
December 3, 2025 at 2:12 PM
That does not require exempting Alberta from clean energy regulation. The MOU also gives them an extra year to foot drag on nuclear, the design for which has not even been started.
LNG carbon capture is fiction in Alberta.
Faring exceeded the provincial limit by 36% in 2014
Faring exceeded the provincial limit by 36% in 2014
December 2, 2025 at 2:40 PM
LNG carbon capture is fiction in Alberta.
Faring exceeded the provincial limit by 36% in 2014
Faring exceeded the provincial limit by 36% in 2014
It's difficult to imagine how any intelligent person believes that the death penalty without due process can ever be a good thing.
Evidently intelligence is not Hegseth's strength.
Evidently intelligence is not Hegseth's strength.
December 2, 2025 at 2:37 PM
It's difficult to imagine how any intelligent person believes that the death penalty without due process can ever be a good thing.
Evidently intelligence is not Hegseth's strength.
Evidently intelligence is not Hegseth's strength.
Correction, best in class is 50% capture for CCS in operation, so the most we get from Carney's math is less than 20% reduction in emissions.
December 2, 2025 at 1:32 PM
Correction, best in class is 50% capture for CCS in operation, so the most we get from Carney's math is less than 20% reduction in emissions.
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December 2, 2025 at 1:24 PM
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I don't see how interconnecting the grids to lower the carbon intensity of heavy oil extraction makes Canada anything more than an oil superpower
December 2, 2025 at 12:36 PM
I don't see how interconnecting the grids to lower the carbon intensity of heavy oil extraction makes Canada anything more than an oil superpower
Energy is the euphemism for oil & gas. What other energy do you think we are exporting to Asia?
December 1, 2025 at 4:25 PM
Energy is the euphemism for oil & gas. What other energy do you think we are exporting to Asia?
TMX subsidy 30+ yrs, oil and gas tax write-offs extend for decades, funding CCS when CDN oil majors make over $B /yr in profit is another 20+ yr subsidy to corporate welfare bums.
These are non-transition subsidies, why should transition subsidies be short-lived?
Demand real change.
#cdnpoli
These are non-transition subsidies, why should transition subsidies be short-lived?
Demand real change.
#cdnpoli
December 1, 2025 at 2:29 PM
TMX subsidy 30+ yrs, oil and gas tax write-offs extend for decades, funding CCS when CDN oil majors make over $B /yr in profit is another 20+ yr subsidy to corporate welfare bums.
These are non-transition subsidies, why should transition subsidies be short-lived?
Demand real change.
#cdnpoli
These are non-transition subsidies, why should transition subsidies be short-lived?
Demand real change.
#cdnpoli
There is no scenario where oil becomes clean energy in this deal. Industrial carbon tax covers less than 20% of oil and gas emissions.
Removing the cap and relying on CCS means that emissions intensity can go down while total emissions continue to rise.
The narrative is greenwashing at its best.
Removing the cap and relying on CCS means that emissions intensity can go down while total emissions continue to rise.
The narrative is greenwashing at its best.
December 1, 2025 at 2:23 PM
There is no scenario where oil becomes clean energy in this deal. Industrial carbon tax covers less than 20% of oil and gas emissions.
Removing the cap and relying on CCS means that emissions intensity can go down while total emissions continue to rise.
The narrative is greenwashing at its best.
Removing the cap and relying on CCS means that emissions intensity can go down while total emissions continue to rise.
The narrative is greenwashing at its best.
10 years, if there is a plan we would know it by now. There is no reason to keep it secret.
December 1, 2025 at 2:20 PM
10 years, if there is a plan we would know it by now. There is no reason to keep it secret.