Neil D
@nsdtrading.bsky.social
#Algo stock trader for 5 years, other trading for 28 years.
Other interests photography with my Fuji #X100S.
Barefoot runner of some 16 years.
Guitar strummer
Other interests photography with my Fuji #X100S.
Barefoot runner of some 16 years.
Guitar strummer
S01 which has a very short history so far so I expect the performance to be reeled back this year.
January 9, 2026 at 8:15 AM
S01 which has a very short history so far so I expect the performance to be reeled back this year.
S02 did a decent job last year. A slower system seemed to hold positions better.
January 9, 2026 at 8:13 AM
S02 did a decent job last year. A slower system seemed to hold positions better.
S04 didn't do much through the year except tread water.
January 9, 2026 at 8:11 AM
S04 didn't do much through the year except tread water.
The ICE thugs would be a familiar sight in any totalitarian country.
Sad to see American democracy slowly dying.
Sad to see American democracy slowly dying.
January 9, 2026 at 7:32 AM
The ICE thugs would be a familiar sight in any totalitarian country.
Sad to see American democracy slowly dying.
Sad to see American democracy slowly dying.
Id like to know how the US is going to take the profits from the Venezuelan oil and give it back to the people.
Are they going to send cheques to every household or just give it to the same corrupt people who have been running the place to date?
Are they going to send cheques to every household or just give it to the same corrupt people who have been running the place to date?
January 8, 2026 at 8:25 AM
Id like to know how the US is going to take the profits from the Venezuelan oil and give it back to the people.
Are they going to send cheques to every household or just give it to the same corrupt people who have been running the place to date?
Are they going to send cheques to every household or just give it to the same corrupt people who have been running the place to date?
Have the Democrats in the US packed up their toys and gone home?
January 5, 2026 at 10:59 AM
Have the Democrats in the US packed up their toys and gone home?
Reposted by Neil D
Fragility Is an Emergent Property: Why optimisation produces failure
“The system did not fail suddenly. It finished learning the wrong lesson.”
Read the full article here:
atstradingsolutions.com/fragility-is...
#ComplexSystems #RiskManagement #SystemicFragility #TrendFollowing
“The system did not fail suddenly. It finished learning the wrong lesson.”
Read the full article here:
atstradingsolutions.com/fragility-is...
#ComplexSystems #RiskManagement #SystemicFragility #TrendFollowing
Fragility Is an Emergent Property: Why Optimisation Produces Failure – Traders Outpost
“The system did not fail suddenly. It finished learning the wrong lesson.” When complex systems fail, we often assume someone made a mistake. A bad model. A missed risk. An unforeseen event. A tail…
atstradingsolutions.com
January 4, 2026 at 11:03 PM
Fragility Is an Emergent Property: Why optimisation produces failure
“The system did not fail suddenly. It finished learning the wrong lesson.”
Read the full article here:
atstradingsolutions.com/fragility-is...
#ComplexSystems #RiskManagement #SystemicFragility #TrendFollowing
“The system did not fail suddenly. It finished learning the wrong lesson.”
Read the full article here:
atstradingsolutions.com/fragility-is...
#ComplexSystems #RiskManagement #SystemicFragility #TrendFollowing
Reposted by Neil D
Silent Night, Narrow Light
Read this week’s This Week in Trend here:
atstradingsolutions.com/this-week-in...
#TrendFollowing #SystematicTrading #MarketStructure #RiskManagement
Read this week’s This Week in Trend here:
atstradingsolutions.com/this-week-in...
#TrendFollowing #SystematicTrading #MarketStructure #RiskManagement
December 27, 2025 at 11:51 AM
Silent Night, Narrow Light
Read this week’s This Week in Trend here:
atstradingsolutions.com/this-week-in...
#TrendFollowing #SystematicTrading #MarketStructure #RiskManagement
Read this week’s This Week in Trend here:
atstradingsolutions.com/this-week-in...
#TrendFollowing #SystematicTrading #MarketStructure #RiskManagement
Reposted by Neil D
The Shape of What Remains
Read the full article here: atstradingsolutions.com/the-shape-of...
#ComplexSystems #FineTuning #Emergence #Physics #Philosophy #SystemsThinking
Read the full article here: atstradingsolutions.com/the-shape-of...
#ComplexSystems #FineTuning #Emergence #Physics #Philosophy #SystemsThinking
December 18, 2025 at 12:22 AM
The Shape of What Remains
Read the full article here: atstradingsolutions.com/the-shape-of...
#ComplexSystems #FineTuning #Emergence #Physics #Philosophy #SystemsThinking
Read the full article here: atstradingsolutions.com/the-shape-of...
#ComplexSystems #FineTuning #Emergence #Physics #Philosophy #SystemsThinking
The weakness in Australia's shares can be seen in the 2 charts.
The longer term 52wk NHNL is still green while the 13wk NHNL has now turned negative.
Only positive sectors are.
■ Energy
■ Resources
■ Consumer Staples (barely)
Active portfolios 50% cash.
The longer term 52wk NHNL is still green while the 13wk NHNL has now turned negative.
Only positive sectors are.
■ Energy
■ Resources
■ Consumer Staples (barely)
Active portfolios 50% cash.
December 16, 2025 at 10:30 PM
The weakness in Australia's shares can be seen in the 2 charts.
The longer term 52wk NHNL is still green while the 13wk NHNL has now turned negative.
Only positive sectors are.
■ Energy
■ Resources
■ Consumer Staples (barely)
Active portfolios 50% cash.
The longer term 52wk NHNL is still green while the 13wk NHNL has now turned negative.
Only positive sectors are.
■ Energy
■ Resources
■ Consumer Staples (barely)
Active portfolios 50% cash.
After the mass shooting in Australia at Bondi the government has come out with a novel idea, reduce the number of guns in the society.
Not that hard really.
All they can do in the U.S is offer prayers, again and again and again and again and again.
Not that hard really.
All they can do in the U.S is offer prayers, again and again and again and again and again.
December 15, 2025 at 8:16 AM
After the mass shooting in Australia at Bondi the government has come out with a novel idea, reduce the number of guns in the society.
Not that hard really.
All they can do in the U.S is offer prayers, again and again and again and again and again.
Not that hard really.
All they can do in the U.S is offer prayers, again and again and again and again and again.
I wonder how many people will be reconsidering travel to the USA now that big brother wants to pry into your emails and social media accounts.
All the hot air about free speech has now been revealed to be a lie.
I can see it being the death of the tourist industry.
All the hot air about free speech has now been revealed to be a lie.
I can see it being the death of the tourist industry.
December 11, 2025 at 7:40 AM
I wonder how many people will be reconsidering travel to the USA now that big brother wants to pry into your emails and social media accounts.
All the hot air about free speech has now been revealed to be a lie.
I can see it being the death of the tourist industry.
All the hot air about free speech has now been revealed to be a lie.
I can see it being the death of the tourist industry.
3 more stocks sold today and another to sell tomorrow.
Im getting pretty light on equities at present.
Im getting pretty light on equities at present.
December 10, 2025 at 9:07 AM
3 more stocks sold today and another to sell tomorrow.
Im getting pretty light on equities at present.
Im getting pretty light on equities at present.
My systems have been slowly selling down on the Aussie market, all through September and November as the weakness started hitting stocks.
Im getting close to 50% of my portfolio holdings now.
No buying until the index filter will allow it.
The index would have to rally past 9100 before any buys.
Im getting close to 50% of my portfolio holdings now.
No buying until the index filter will allow it.
The index would have to rally past 9100 before any buys.
December 9, 2025 at 5:57 AM
My systems have been slowly selling down on the Aussie market, all through September and November as the weakness started hitting stocks.
Im getting close to 50% of my portfolio holdings now.
No buying until the index filter will allow it.
The index would have to rally past 9100 before any buys.
Im getting close to 50% of my portfolio holdings now.
No buying until the index filter will allow it.
The index would have to rally past 9100 before any buys.
Reposted by Neil D
Stigmergy and the Secret Life of Markets
Read the full essay and see how the colony builds the trail: atstradingsolutions.com/stigmergy-an...
#Stigmergy #TrendFollowing #MarketStructure #SystematicTrading
Read the full essay and see how the colony builds the trail: atstradingsolutions.com/stigmergy-an...
#Stigmergy #TrendFollowing #MarketStructure #SystematicTrading
Stigmergy and the Secret Life of Markets – Traders Outpost
“Trends are not chosen. They form where the traces gather.” How order emerges when no one is in charge An ant follows a scent along the ground. It does not know where the trail leads. It has no map…
atstradingsolutions.com
December 6, 2025 at 10:20 PM
Stigmergy and the Secret Life of Markets
Read the full essay and see how the colony builds the trail: atstradingsolutions.com/stigmergy-an...
#Stigmergy #TrendFollowing #MarketStructure #SystematicTrading
Read the full essay and see how the colony builds the trail: atstradingsolutions.com/stigmergy-an...
#Stigmergy #TrendFollowing #MarketStructure #SystematicTrading
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-12...
The Handmaid's Tale becoming a reality is the Autocratic States of America.
The Handmaid's Tale becoming a reality is the Autocratic States of America.
'This was a wanted pregnancy': The mothers facing prosecution in Trump's America
In the wake of widespread abortion bans, US prosecutors launch hundreds of cases charging people with crimes related to their pregnancy, miscarriage, stillbirth or birth.
www.abc.net.au
December 7, 2025 at 4:35 AM
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-12...
The Handmaid's Tale becoming a reality is the Autocratic States of America.
The Handmaid's Tale becoming a reality is the Autocratic States of America.
Reposted by Neil D
This Week in Trend – Strength Without Conviction
Read the report here: atstradingsolutions.com/this-week-in...
#trendfollowing #managedfutures #systematictrading #CTAperformance #futuresmarkets #quantitativefinance #outlierhunting
Read the report here: atstradingsolutions.com/this-week-in...
#trendfollowing #managedfutures #systematictrading #CTAperformance #futuresmarkets #quantitativefinance #outlierhunting
This Week in Trend – Strength Without Conviction: 5th December 2025 – Traders Outpost
“Prices rise, but conviction refuses to follow” The first week of December delivered another round of strength on the surface. Equities drifted higher, natural gas exploded again and meats continue…
atstradingsolutions.com
December 6, 2025 at 8:43 AM
This Week in Trend – Strength Without Conviction
Read the report here: atstradingsolutions.com/this-week-in...
#trendfollowing #managedfutures #systematictrading #CTAperformance #futuresmarkets #quantitativefinance #outlierhunting
Read the report here: atstradingsolutions.com/this-week-in...
#trendfollowing #managedfutures #systematictrading #CTAperformance #futuresmarkets #quantitativefinance #outlierhunting
Reposted by Neil D
Thanksgiving Week: High Risk Volatility Expected, ZM Earnings + Defensive Names could be nice hedge for your portfolio. www.tmad.net/p/thanksgivi...
Thanksgiving Week: High Risk Volatility Expected, ZM Earnings + Defensive Names
$RL $ZM $VSCO $PG $SPX $NDX
www.tmad.net
November 24, 2025 at 1:30 AM
Thanksgiving Week: High Risk Volatility Expected, ZM Earnings + Defensive Names could be nice hedge for your portfolio. www.tmad.net/p/thanksgivi...
Reposted by Neil D
Why does the “smartest” trade often fail when everyone else is smart too?
Dive into the full essay here → atstradingsolutions.com/the-optimisa...
#SystemicRisk #AdaptiveMarkets #ReflexiveFinance #ComplexityThinking
Dive into the full essay here → atstradingsolutions.com/the-optimisa...
#SystemicRisk #AdaptiveMarkets #ReflexiveFinance #ComplexityThinking
The Optimisation Trap: Why Markets Break When Too Many People Try To Be Smart – Traders Outpost
Markets do not usually fail because participants behave irrationally.They fail because many participants behave intelligently in the same way.When intelligence converges, resilience disappears and …
atstradingsolutions.com
November 22, 2025 at 12:24 AM
Why does the “smartest” trade often fail when everyone else is smart too?
Dive into the full essay here → atstradingsolutions.com/the-optimisa...
#SystemicRisk #AdaptiveMarkets #ReflexiveFinance #ComplexityThinking
Dive into the full essay here → atstradingsolutions.com/the-optimisa...
#SystemicRisk #AdaptiveMarkets #ReflexiveFinance #ComplexityThinking
Lucky the Orange idiot wasnt in power during WW2 or else he would have handed Europe over to the Nazis.
November 22, 2025 at 7:33 AM
Lucky the Orange idiot wasnt in power during WW2 or else he would have handed Europe over to the Nazis.
Reposted by Neil D
Have we misunderstood intelligence?
Read the full piece here: atstradingsolutions.com/have-we-misu...
#ComplexAdaptiveSystems #FractalThinking #EmergentIntelligence #MarketStructure
Read the full piece here: atstradingsolutions.com/have-we-misu...
#ComplexAdaptiveSystems #FractalThinking #EmergentIntelligence #MarketStructure
Have We Misunderstood Intelligence? The Real Force Behind Self Organization – Traders Outpost
“Nature is not thinking. It is remembering.” Look carefully at the world and a strange pattern reveals itself.Everything seems to organise without a mind. Birds ripple across the sky in liquid wave…
atstradingsolutions.com
November 19, 2025 at 10:28 PM
Have we misunderstood intelligence?
Read the full piece here: atstradingsolutions.com/have-we-misu...
#ComplexAdaptiveSystems #FractalThinking #EmergentIntelligence #MarketStructure
Read the full piece here: atstradingsolutions.com/have-we-misu...
#ComplexAdaptiveSystems #FractalThinking #EmergentIntelligence #MarketStructure
Reposted by Neil D
Trump vs The BBC.
Love or loathe the BBC, recent events have put the UK's journalistic sovereignty in peril.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=iCMn...
Love or loathe the BBC, recent events have put the UK's journalistic sovereignty in peril.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=iCMn...
Trump vs The BBC
YouTube video by Jonathan Pie
www.youtube.com
November 18, 2025 at 4:02 PM
Trump vs The BBC.
Love or loathe the BBC, recent events have put the UK's journalistic sovereignty in peril.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=iCMn...
Love or loathe the BBC, recent events have put the UK's journalistic sovereignty in peril.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=iCMn...
Reposted by Neil D
While banks tap a record $50 billion from the emergency repo facility and the Fed flies blind on inflation data, these commodity signals could be your only warning before your portfolio bleeds deeper. open.substack.com/pub/tradingm...
Commodities + Selloff Roadmap for SPX and Highly Speculative Stocks: HIMS, TEM, QBTS
$GLD $USO $SLV $URA $HIMS $ONDS $TEM $IONQ $QBTS $TSLA $DOW
open.substack.com
November 13, 2025 at 11:05 PM
While banks tap a record $50 billion from the emergency repo facility and the Fed flies blind on inflation data, these commodity signals could be your only warning before your portfolio bleeds deeper. open.substack.com/pub/tradingm...
