Nowcast UK
@nowcast.uk
Parliamentary seat projections & polling data for the United Kingdom, Scotland, Wales & Northern Ireland - run by @josh-housden.nowcast.uk
🏴 Wales | Senedd projection based on @yougov.co.uk polling — January, 2026
🔲 PLC: 37% | 44
➡️ RFM: 23% | 23
🟩 GRN: 13% | 11
🟥 LAB: 10% | 10
🟦 CON: 10% | 7
🟧 LDM: 5% | 1
Highest ever % for Plaid Cymru and the Green Party
🗳️ Next election = May 7, 2026
🔲 PLC: 37% | 44
➡️ RFM: 23% | 23
🟩 GRN: 13% | 11
🟥 LAB: 10% | 10
🟦 CON: 10% | 7
🟧 LDM: 5% | 1
Highest ever % for Plaid Cymru and the Green Party
🗳️ Next election = May 7, 2026
January 13, 2026 at 8:08 PM
🏴 Wales | Senedd projection based on @yougov.co.uk polling — January, 2026
🔲 PLC: 37% | 44
➡️ RFM: 23% | 23
🟩 GRN: 13% | 11
🟥 LAB: 10% | 10
🟦 CON: 10% | 7
🟧 LDM: 5% | 1
Highest ever % for Plaid Cymru and the Green Party
🗳️ Next election = May 7, 2026
🔲 PLC: 37% | 44
➡️ RFM: 23% | 23
🟩 GRN: 13% | 11
🟥 LAB: 10% | 10
🟦 CON: 10% | 7
🟧 LDM: 5% | 1
Highest ever % for Plaid Cymru and the Green Party
🗳️ Next election = May 7, 2026
🇬🇧 | Kingston upon Hull East constituency nowcast — January, 2026
➡️ RFM: 49.3% (+18.7)
🟥 LAB: 22.3% (-21.5)
🟧 LDM: 11.1% (+0.2)
🟩 GRN: 10.8% (+5.2)
🟦 CON: 6.5% (-2.6)
+/- vs. GE2024
➡️ RFM: 49.3% (+18.7)
🟥 LAB: 22.3% (-21.5)
🟧 LDM: 11.1% (+0.2)
🟩 GRN: 10.8% (+5.2)
🟦 CON: 6.5% (-2.6)
+/- vs. GE2024
January 10, 2026 at 11:25 PM
🇬🇧 | Kingston upon Hull East constituency nowcast — January, 2026
➡️ RFM: 49.3% (+18.7)
🟥 LAB: 22.3% (-21.5)
🟧 LDM: 11.1% (+0.2)
🟩 GRN: 10.8% (+5.2)
🟦 CON: 6.5% (-2.6)
+/- vs. GE2024
➡️ RFM: 49.3% (+18.7)
🟥 LAB: 22.3% (-21.5)
🟧 LDM: 11.1% (+0.2)
🟩 GRN: 10.8% (+5.2)
🟦 CON: 6.5% (-2.6)
+/- vs. GE2024
🏴 | Ceredigion Penfro constituency nowcast — January, 2026
🔲 PLC: 44.2% (4)
➡️ RFM: 20.8% (1)
🟦 CON: 10.8% (1)
—
🟥 LAB: 8.3%
🟧 LDM: 8.2%
🟩 GRN: 6.3%
🔗 nowcast-eu.github.io/Wales/
🔲 PLC: 44.2% (4)
➡️ RFM: 20.8% (1)
🟦 CON: 10.8% (1)
—
🟥 LAB: 8.3%
🟧 LDM: 8.2%
🟩 GRN: 6.3%
🔗 nowcast-eu.github.io/Wales/
January 10, 2026 at 10:51 AM
🏴 | Ceredigion Penfro constituency nowcast — January, 2026
🔲 PLC: 44.2% (4)
➡️ RFM: 20.8% (1)
🟦 CON: 10.8% (1)
—
🟥 LAB: 8.3%
🟧 LDM: 8.2%
🟩 GRN: 6.3%
🔗 nowcast-eu.github.io/Wales/
🔲 PLC: 44.2% (4)
➡️ RFM: 20.8% (1)
🟦 CON: 10.8% (1)
—
🟥 LAB: 8.3%
🟧 LDM: 8.2%
🟩 GRN: 6.3%
🔗 nowcast-eu.github.io/Wales/