ned haughton
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ned haughton
@ned.fediscience.org.ap.brid.gy
I'm a climate scientist. I've just spent the last 6 years working in physical climate risk assessment, and now I'm heading back into academia to study how to […]

[bridged from https://fediscience.org/@ned on the fediverse by https://fed.brid.gy/ ]
@malthusjohn.bsky.social Unintended consequences is 100% applicable, but doesn't really capture the process, on the outcome.

Adversarial adaptation doesn't really work because there's no specific adversary (thinking of the market as the whole system)

Game theory might have some good analogies […]
Original post on fediscience.org
fediscience.org
January 21, 2026 at 1:53 AM
@malthusjohn.bsky.social specific context provided on other comments in this thread.

It's a good point though! My example is physical climate rism financial reporting regulations. The regulations are intended as an external influence on the market, but the market has a lot of free reign, and […]
Original post on fediscience.org
fediscience.org
January 20, 2026 at 10:27 PM
OK, maybe "systemic drift" captures it.

This paper has some really interesting exploration of the idea, and proposes some causes:

Parten, J. (2025). Structural Distance Theory: A Mechanism-Level Account of Epistemic Drift in Complex Systems. PhilPapers. https://philpapers.org/rec/PARVDT-2 […]
Original post on fediscience.org
fediscience.org
January 20, 2026 at 12:55 AM
OK, there's some Saint Germain in there, so it's not all AI
August 8, 2025 at 3:10 AM
99% sure it's AI generated too, so it's going to weird psychedelic places fairly regularly. And weird key changes that have no clear direction.
August 8, 2025 at 1:26 AM
ned haughton (@[email protected])
Wow. "under conventional positivist frameworks, the majority of the most pressing issues are ignored: non-linear dynamics, multi-stable states, multi-scale behavior, slow/fast variable dynamics on the systems side and adaptive change, surprise and inherent unpredictability on the policy side. ... the “science” in traditional ecology is typically quadrate-science small scale, short term. For it is the only way to pretend that one can be certain. In essence the primary root to success under conventional science is to define a trivial question, use a replicated experimental protocol, and avoid type one error. I saw this vividly among the 60 editors of Conservation Ecology (a journal begun in 1997 that has come to be called Ecology and Society). Those who function at scales below a few meters or a few decades (from population genetics to quadrate ecology, population ecology and community ecology) tended to react to papers by wanting precise answers rather than interesting questions. They searched for what is wrong in a paper, rather than what might be relevant and novel. Their ignorance of the broad scientific literature, or even other areas of ecology and environmental science, was profound. Above that scale, the editors were just about the opposite. Their backgrounds were multidisciplinary with strong roots in one discipline, interests in both theory and practice that extended across large scale and cross scale systems." CS Holling, in https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108235754.003 #complexity
fediscience.org
August 7, 2025 at 4:51 AM
@edwiebe @steve Bahaha, I was going to reply about that being nit picky when I saw it yesterday 😂
July 17, 2025 at 11:11 PM
@edwiebe this is very cool
July 17, 2025 at 11:05 PM