Non-Correlating Stock Ideas
@ncsi.bsky.social
Equity, Crypto, Preferreds and unconventional investments. Contributing on Seeking Alpha: https://seekingalpha.com/author/non-correlating-stock-ideas
Pinned
While the 10Y did break the Bear trend last week, other indicators are right up against it like the 30Y $TYX. I have so much short duration on that I decided to start picking up a preferred security of all things. The trend feels higher, but I've decided to nibble just in case.
Reposted by Non-Correlating Stock Ideas
Last year I penned a piece theorizing that #$CNI could see Intermodal benefit from the Tariff Terror. Thesis got interrupted by the #$UNP #$NSC news, but here are the final numbers on container traffic at Vancouver and Price Rupert ports. The latter in particular saw sustained increased volume.
January 23, 2026 at 4:34 PM
January 23, 2026 at 4:26 PM
Best thing so far today I see is profitable small-caps (S&P 600) materially outperforming the R2K crap. Let's see if that holds till the end.
January 21, 2026 at 6:13 PM
Best thing so far today I see is profitable small-caps (S&P 600) materially outperforming the R2K crap. Let's see if that holds till the end.
Maybe it's just me but this doesn't feel like it's getting enough attention. Considering how long its been a death trade, surprised at how little I'm hearing and no one doing victory laps or apocalyptic predictions etc... Wouldn't be surprised if this is #1 issue for '26 in retrospect.
January 21, 2026 at 2:12 PM
Maybe it's just me but this doesn't feel like it's getting enough attention. Considering how long its been a death trade, surprised at how little I'm hearing and no one doing victory laps or apocalyptic predictions etc... Wouldn't be surprised if this is #1 issue for '26 in retrospect.
The last hold out is knocking on the door, but the 30Y still hasn't broken through yet. I admit I bought some duration yesterday for an account that is ultra-conservative. For context, after the purchase, 70% is in fixed income, of which now only 30% is greater than a 1 year T-Bill. 👀 #$TYX
January 21, 2026 at 1:50 PM
The last hold out is knocking on the door, but the 30Y still hasn't broken through yet. I admit I bought some duration yesterday for an account that is ultra-conservative. For context, after the purchase, 70% is in fixed income, of which now only 30% is greater than a 1 year T-Bill. 👀 #$TYX
#$USB put up a nice report this morning. There are lots of things I like in this bank, and I don't understand why it trades at a discount to its peers.
January 20, 2026 at 5:30 PM
#$USB put up a nice report this morning. There are lots of things I like in this bank, and I don't understand why it trades at a discount to its peers.
166.98 would wipe out that Buy signal and generate a Triple Sell signal on #$NVDA's 2% box chart, so suggest someone notifies the PPT soon about the world's number one stock.
January 20, 2026 at 4:48 PM
166.98 would wipe out that Buy signal and generate a Triple Sell signal on #$NVDA's 2% box chart, so suggest someone notifies the PPT soon about the world's number one stock.
I had an old alert go off for #$PYPL which I haven't been paying attention to for a bit. Time to catch up on the fundies. Their business is in a pie that is growing, so it becomes a balance of competitors nipping away at your dominant share, and how much/little your stock's valuation is.
January 20, 2026 at 2:57 PM
I had an old alert go off for #$PYPL which I haven't been paying attention to for a bit. Time to catch up on the fundies. Their business is in a pie that is growing, so it becomes a balance of competitors nipping away at your dominant share, and how much/little your stock's valuation is.
Another reason I don't believe this great rotation trade could be this easy: #$RUT is outperforming #$SML. I.e., money losing small caps are beating profitable small-caps. That only has happened during the most speculative of periods like now. Note in '00 when #$SML generated that Buy signal: 10/11/00.
January 16, 2026 at 8:33 PM
Another reason I don't believe this great rotation trade could be this easy: #$RUT is outperforming #$SML. I.e., money losing small caps are beating profitable small-caps. That only has happened during the most speculative of periods like now. Note in '00 when #$SML generated that Buy signal: 10/11/00.
There had been some really massive bounces for Chemical names since the end of last November, which isn't that surprising given the depths they were sold to, but I suspect this news out of China could lead finally to a pause and pullback in the rally. #$WLK #$EMN #$LYB since 11/20/25.
January 16, 2026 at 3:07 PM
It's important to remember that spikes in volume typically mark turning points, both tops and bottoms. Wouldn't surprise me at all of we look back at the this period as the peak in these prices. www.moneycontrol.com/news/busines...
www.moneycontrol.com
January 16, 2026 at 1:54 PM
It's important to remember that spikes in volume typically mark turning points, both tops and bottoms. Wouldn't surprise me at all of we look back at the this period as the peak in these prices. www.moneycontrol.com/news/busines...
When I look at charts like $PLTR and see this level of churn with false breakouts and breakdowns at regular intervals, I can't help but think of topping action from the late 90's. Purely anecdotal so my bias likely in this view, but I feel like I've seen this before. No real bet on this, yet.👀
January 14, 2026 at 7:22 PM
When I look at charts like $PLTR and see this level of churn with false breakouts and breakdowns at regular intervals, I can't help but think of topping action from the late 90's. Purely anecdotal so my bias likely in this view, but I feel like I've seen this before. No real bet on this, yet.👀
This area has been a resistance zone for $ADM the last two years. If it can get north of 65, then I would expect it to fill that gap at 68 in short order.
January 14, 2026 at 2:37 PM
This area has been a resistance zone for $ADM the last two years. If it can get north of 65, then I would expect it to fill that gap at 68 in short order.
Where $SW has ripped off to a roaring start in my portfolios, $RHI continues to struggle to get off the mat. I'm still more constructive than not between P&F and AI flagging, but I wouldn't be honest if I didn't share the alt view when I see it. This weekly chart could be turning into a Bear flag.
January 13, 2026 at 8:23 PM
Where $SW has ripped off to a roaring start in my portfolios, $RHI continues to struggle to get off the mat. I'm still more constructive than not between P&F and AI flagging, but I wouldn't be honest if I didn't share the alt view when I see it. This weekly chart could be turning into a Bear flag.
I think the focus on small-caps "outperforming" might be reaching a fever pitch. It's been awhile since anyone cared and a lot is probably due to the calendar flip, but this change started last summer. Even the S&P 600 moved up then, but the thrust has been driven by money losing spec co's in R2K.
January 13, 2026 at 4:40 PM
I think the focus on small-caps "outperforming" might be reaching a fever pitch. It's been awhile since anyone cared and a lot is probably due to the calendar flip, but this change started last summer. Even the S&P 600 moved up then, but the thrust has been driven by money losing spec co's in R2K.
From a long-term historical perspective, the $BPNYSE isn't in the danger zone, but it is in the area where the market has struggled in the post-pandemic period. Just more food for thought.
January 13, 2026 at 4:30 PM
From a long-term historical perspective, the $BPNYSE isn't in the danger zone, but it is in the area where the market has struggled in the post-pandemic period. Just more food for thought.
I know everyone knows this, but just wow. $SLV monthly rsi(10).
Can it get to 100?
Can it get to 100?
January 12, 2026 at 3:37 PM
I know everyone knows this, but just wow. $SLV monthly rsi(10).
Can it get to 100?
Can it get to 100?
A big part of why I had a good '25 despite value bent, and reducing equity exposure mid-year, was due to my international exposure. I had been contemplating reducing that in '26 as we had seen reversion, and I tend to expect that from strongest asset performers. Now, lots to consider. $DFIV / $RSP👀
January 12, 2026 at 2:05 PM
A big part of why I had a good '25 despite value bent, and reducing equity exposure mid-year, was due to my international exposure. I had been contemplating reducing that in '26 as we had seen reversion, and I tend to expect that from strongest asset performers. Now, lots to consider. $DFIV / $RSP👀