Mike Hoerger, PhD, MSCR, MBA
@michael-hoerger.bsky.social
Expert in weighing medical evidence, cancer, COVID forecasting & mitigation, health disparities, financial analytics. 120 publications. PhD program director. Cancer center program leader.
pmc19.com/data
psychmike.com
pmc19.com/data
psychmike.com
You can find our COVID-related updates at pmc19.com/data
In 1-3 weeks, we expect to see a significant departure from the lull.
We also post updates routinely on IG, Twitter, TikTok, and occasionally LinkedIn. 🙏
In 1-3 weeks, we expect to see a significant departure from the lull.
We also post updates routinely on IG, Twitter, TikTok, and occasionally LinkedIn. 🙏
November 8, 2025 at 6:51 AM
You can find our COVID-related updates at pmc19.com/data
In 1-3 weeks, we expect to see a significant departure from the lull.
We also post updates routinely on IG, Twitter, TikTok, and occasionally LinkedIn. 🙏
In 1-3 weeks, we expect to see a significant departure from the lull.
We also post updates routinely on IG, Twitter, TikTok, and occasionally LinkedIn. 🙏
PMC COVlD Dashboard, Jun 23, 2025 (U.S.)
Transmission (red) has closely matched that of 2years ago (yellow).
We expect a slightly quicker acceleration, but recent retroactive data corrections add to uncertainty.
🧵4/6
Transmission (red) has closely matched that of 2years ago (yellow).
We expect a slightly quicker acceleration, but recent retroactive data corrections add to uncertainty.
🧵4/6
June 24, 2025 at 5:25 AM
PMC COVlD Dashboard, Jun 23, 2025 (U.S.)
Transmission (red) has closely matched that of 2years ago (yellow).
We expect a slightly quicker acceleration, but recent retroactive data corrections add to uncertainty.
🧵4/6
Transmission (red) has closely matched that of 2years ago (yellow).
We expect a slightly quicker acceleration, but recent retroactive data corrections add to uncertainty.
🧵4/6
PMC COVlD Dashboard, Jun 23, 2025 (U.S.)
We continue to expect transmission to break 500,000 daily infections in the U.S. around July 9th.
This is the same prediction as last week, as the forecast was dead on. Yet, there is considerably uncertainty around this timing.
🧵3/6
We continue to expect transmission to break 500,000 daily infections in the U.S. around July 9th.
This is the same prediction as last week, as the forecast was dead on. Yet, there is considerably uncertainty around this timing.
🧵3/6
June 24, 2025 at 5:25 AM
PMC COVlD Dashboard, Jun 23, 2025 (U.S.)
We continue to expect transmission to break 500,000 daily infections in the U.S. around July 9th.
This is the same prediction as last week, as the forecast was dead on. Yet, there is considerably uncertainty around this timing.
🧵3/6
We continue to expect transmission to break 500,000 daily infections in the U.S. around July 9th.
This is the same prediction as last week, as the forecast was dead on. Yet, there is considerably uncertainty around this timing.
🧵3/6
PMC COVlD Dashboard, Jun 23, 2025 (U.S.)
🔹With >90% probability, we have entered the 11th COVlD wave.
🔹In a room of 50 people, there is already a 1 in 4 chance of an exposure.
🔹We expect nearly 15 million infections in the next month, and rising.
🧵2/6
🔹With >90% probability, we have entered the 11th COVlD wave.
🔹In a room of 50 people, there is already a 1 in 4 chance of an exposure.
🔹We expect nearly 15 million infections in the next month, and rising.
🧵2/6
June 24, 2025 at 5:25 AM
PMC COVlD Dashboard, Jun 23, 2025 (U.S.)
🔹With >90% probability, we have entered the 11th COVlD wave.
🔹In a room of 50 people, there is already a 1 in 4 chance of an exposure.
🔹We expect nearly 15 million infections in the next month, and rising.
🧵2/6
🔹With >90% probability, we have entered the 11th COVlD wave.
🔹In a room of 50 people, there is already a 1 in 4 chance of an exposure.
🔹We expect nearly 15 million infections in the next month, and rising.
🧵2/6
Zooming in, note that the month ahead represents an average of expected scenarios. I hope we'll head toward the bottom of the 50% confidence interval, but it accounts for the potential of lingering transmission as in prior years.
Joe Eastman predicts an April wave, so watch closely.
Joe Eastman predicts an April wave, so watch closely.
January 28, 2025 at 7:03 AM
Zooming in, note that the month ahead represents an average of expected scenarios. I hope we'll head toward the bottom of the 50% confidence interval, but it accounts for the potential of lingering transmission as in prior years.
Joe Eastman predicts an April wave, so watch closely.
Joe Eastman predicts an April wave, so watch closely.
That person runs a disinformation account. Strongly recommend everyone block. They pretend to be confused about things, even when explained many times, and continue to spread intentional inaccurate information.
I posted this >3 months ago about how the CDC is miscoloring graphs.
I posted this >3 months ago about how the CDC is miscoloring graphs.
December 17, 2024 at 4:14 PM
That person runs a disinformation account. Strongly recommend everyone block. They pretend to be confused about things, even when explained many times, and continue to spread intentional inaccurate information.
I posted this >3 months ago about how the CDC is miscoloring graphs.
I posted this >3 months ago about how the CDC is miscoloring graphs.