Marcel Roman
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mfroman.bsky.social
Marcel Roman
@mfroman.bsky.social
350 followers 310 following 59 posts
Assistant professor of Government @ Harvard. Studies identity, race, and immigration.
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Reposted by Marcel Roman
thomaszimmer.bsky.social
Among white people, the correlation between racial resentment and their voting decision is much, much stronger than between educational attainment and political alignment.

In fact, if you control for racial resentment, education polarization basically disappears.
November 27, 2025 at 2:21 PM
Reposted by Marcel Roman
christinajcross.bsky.social
I found that once barriers to entry were taken into account, family structure explained only a small fraction of the racial gap in young adult outcomes. When we ignore barriers to marriage, we overestimate family structure’s role in maintaining racial inequality.
November 12, 2025 at 9:53 PM
mfroman.bsky.social
@malpas.bsky.social
November 15, 2025 at 1:59 AM
Reposted by Marcel Roman
adambonica.bsky.social
6/🧵 Why does conventional wisdom miss this? We confuse electoral swings with attitude changes. Gen Z shifted 6 points toward Trump in 2024, suddenly pundits say they're "the most conservative generation in 50 years." Only 42% of Gen Z voted. We mistake turnout shifts for ideological transformation.
A horizontal bar chart titled “Generational Turnout: From 2020 to 2024 Rates” shows turnout rate changes among registered voters by generation and party affiliation. The chart includes four generational groups—Gen Z, Millennial, Gen X, and Boomer—and tracks changes from 2020 (dot) to 2024 (arrow tip), with Democratic turnout in blue and Republican turnout in red. Key trends: • Gen Z: Democratic turnout dropped by 13.7 percentage points (pp); Republican turnout dropped by 7.9pp. • Millennials: Democratic turnout fell by 5.6pp; Republican turnout fell by 0.3pp. • Gen X: Democratic turnout dropped 4.2pp; Republican turnout dropped 0.8pp. • Boomers: Democratic turnout declined 3.2pp; Republican turnout declined 1.4pp. A note below the chart explains that all groups saw turnout declines, but Democratic voters dropped off more steeply. A boxed summary highlights the consistent pattern: Republicans started from higher turnout and maintained more of their base, while Democrats experienced longer arrows (larger drop-offs) across all generations.
November 14, 2025 at 8:44 PM
Reposted by Marcel Roman
alxrh.bsky.social
Americans are more likely to disapprove of ICE after answering questions about ICE's treatment of citizens vs. questions about treatment of immigrants. That suggests news about ICE mistreating citizens could particularly weaken public support.

today.yougov.com/politics/art... (@today.yougov.com)
Americans who were asked about their evaluation of ICE after questions about ICE's treatment of U.S. citizens were 7 percentage points more likely to disapprove of ICE than those who had just seen questions about ICE's treatment of authorized immigrants (56% vs. 49%) and 5 percentage points less likely to approve (36% vs. 41%). This effect goes in the same direction among Democrats, Independents, and Republicans. In all three groups, respondents who were first asked about ICE's treatment of citizens were between 5 and 7 percentage points more likely to disapprove of ICE than those who were first asked about authorized immigrants.
November 14, 2025 at 8:58 PM