CD2 (using the current lines) voted No on Q3 back in 2016 by 23.6pts. A 30.7pt difference from their Yes on 2 vote this year

I’ll have to check on that. Definitely surprised by these results, would’ve thought No on 2 by double digits in CD2. Things have clearly changed!

2010
LePage: 42.5%
Cutler: 35.4%
Mitchell: 16.1%
LePage+7.1

2014
LePage: 52.5%
Michaud: 39.5%
Cutler: 8.0%
LePage+12.9

2022
LePage: 50.3%
Mills: 47.5%
Hunkler: 2.2%
LePage+2.8

Yes, I will post them soon. No on 1 and Yes on 2 won in both districts though

The above is just for Senate elections but I agree. HD104 should be a top target for Dems. It moved left relative to the state in 2024 and only voted for Trump by ~2pts

Yeah this feels like the year that basically everybody is jumping into the race, but I’m sure we can expect a few more Republican names to join by the end of the year with more name recognition. Most of these people are relative unknowns