Megan Isaac
meganisaac.bsky.social
Megan Isaac
@meganisaac.bsky.social
Working on devolution at the Institute for Government
6/ For more budget analysis, keep an eye on our live blog and catch-up on yesterday's webinar with our excellent public finances team.

www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/event/autumn...
Autumn budget 2025: What is Rachel Reeves’ plan for the economy? | Institute for Government
An IfG expert webinar on the chancellor’s budget.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk
November 27, 2025 at 5:06 PM
5/ The UK government also announced direct investment including £783m across three years through the new local growth programme - but it is unclear what say, if any, the devolved administrations will have over this funding.

A policy statement is expected with more details...
November 27, 2025 at 5:06 PM
4/ With several billion announced in England-only spending, the devolved governments will receive £1.07bn in resource funding and £625m in capital funding across the SR25 period.
November 27, 2025 at 5:06 PM
3/ The Barnett formula determines the funding allocated to the devolved governments when the UK government changes England-only spending in devolved areas like health and education.

For more on how this works see our explainer: www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/article/expl...
Barnett formula | Institute for Government
The Barnett formula is used by the UK Treasury to calculate the annual block grants for the Scottish, Welsh and Northern Irish governments.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk
November 27, 2025 at 5:06 PM
2/ The devolved governments will receive an additional £1.7bn in Barnett consequentials as the result of the chancellor's spending decisions.
November 27, 2025 at 5:06 PM
5/ Read more about the Scottish parliament's powers, how the Scottish government operates, and what government formation may look like after the 2026 election here: www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/explainer/sc...
Scottish parliament | Institute for Government
The Scottish parliament at Holyrood in Edinburgh is the devolved legislature of Scotland.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk
November 18, 2025 at 2:45 PM
4/ Voters will be heading to the ballot box on 7 May 2026 to decide who controls the Scottish parliament's wide range of devolved powers including over health and social care, education, housing, justice, the environment and some elements of economic and tax policy.
November 18, 2025 at 2:45 PM
3/ With Scotland just six months away from May’s crucial parliamentary election, we'll also look towards 2026, which looks set to be one of the most unpredictable campaigns since the SNP entered government almost 19 years ago.
November 18, 2025 at 2:45 PM
2/ Join us in-person and online as the First Minister discusses his priorities ahead of the 2026 Scottish parliament election, the political context in Scotland ahead of the crucial UK budget, and the SNP’s vision for Scotland’s constitutional future.
November 18, 2025 at 2:45 PM
7/ Looking ahead to May 2026, with Plaid Cymru and Reform UK leading the polls – and a new proportional system in play – questions about who governs, Wales’ relationship with Westminster, and its constitutional future are set to dominate.

Read more: www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/explainer/se...
Welsh elections 2026: Senedd Cymru (Welsh parliament) | Institute for Government
The Senedd Cymru (Welsh parliament) in Cardiff is the devolved legislature of Wales.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk
October 22, 2025 at 2:34 PM
6/ The new system proportional system is more representative but makes a single-party majority in the Senedd less likely. With Plaid Cymru and Reform UK neck-and-neck in the polls, and Plaid ruling out any deal with Reform, forming a government next May could be anything but straightforward.
October 22, 2025 at 2:34 PM
5/ And the Caerphilly by-election may well be the last in Wales. There’ll be no by-elections under the new system – seat vacancies will be filled by the next candidate on the party list or be left empty until the next Senedd election.
October 22, 2025 at 2:34 PM
4/ The ballot paper features parties, rather than candidate names, which could sideline well-known MSs who’ve built strong local reputations. Without their names on the paper, personal brands may count for less and tilt the playing field toward parties dominating the national debate.
October 22, 2025 at 2:34 PM
3/ Under the closed list system, votes are cast for a political party rather than an individual (unless there is an independent candidate). With the order of candidates on the list determined by parties, local candidates are competing internally for the coveted top spots.
October 22, 2025 at 2:34 PM
2/ So, what are the key changes?

Wales is moving from the additional member system to a closed list proportional representation system

The size of the Senedd increases from 60 to 96 MSs

The number of constituencies decreases from 40 to 16, with each constituency electing 6 MSs

No by-elections
October 22, 2025 at 2:34 PM
7/ Looking ahead to May 2026, with Plaid Cymru and Reform UK leading the polls – and a new proportional system in play – questions about who governs, Wales’ relationship with Westminster, and its constitutional future are set to dominate.

www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/explainer/se...
Welsh elections 2026: Senedd Cymru (Welsh parliament) | Institute for Government
The Senedd Cymru (Welsh parliament) in Cardiff is the devolved legislature of Wales.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk
October 22, 2025 at 2:06 PM
6/ The new system proportional system is more representative but makes a single-party majority in the Senedd less likely. With Plaid Cymru and Reform UK neck-and-neck in the polls, and Plaid ruling out any deal with Reform, forming a government next May could be anything but straightforward.
October 22, 2025 at 2:06 PM