Max Hailperin
@maxhailperin.bsky.social
Sometimes I think the folks on the right are having a contest to see who can be the biggest bellyacher. Rep. Greg Davids tried by complaining if Rochester were to pilot speed cameras, that would infringe upon his right to speed without consequences. But now Rocks and Cows has a "hold my beer" moment
November 30, 2025 at 1:28 PM
Sometimes I think the folks on the right are having a contest to see who can be the biggest bellyacher. Rep. Greg Davids tried by complaining if Rochester were to pilot speed cameras, that would infringe upon his right to speed without consequences. But now Rocks and Cows has a "hold my beer" moment
Many have intuitions about how well or poorly Minnesota voter registration is managed. They would welcome data substantiating those intuitions — and they might even accept data showing they were wrong. A few temperate souls may even be reserving judgment. Few know what is coming.
November 30, 2025 at 2:20 AM
Many have intuitions about how well or poorly Minnesota voter registration is managed. They would welcome data substantiating those intuitions — and they might even accept data showing they were wrong. A few temperate souls may even be reserving judgment. Few know what is coming.
A tent, unless one is doing surgery.
November 28, 2025 at 11:02 PM
A tent, unless one is doing surgery.
Newly minted Minnesota Senator Michael Holmstrom is already using his letterhead to issue an offensive demand to Judge West that she unseal a sealed exhibit and send him a copy by December 4th.
November 28, 2025 at 5:07 PM
Newly minted Minnesota Senator Michael Holmstrom is already using his letterhead to issue an offensive demand to Judge West that she unseal a sealed exhibit and send him a copy by December 4th.
Happy 5th anniversary to one of the greatest fact checks of all time. www.washingtonpost.com/politics/tru...
November 28, 2025 at 3:21 PM
Happy 5th anniversary to one of the greatest fact checks of all time. www.washingtonpost.com/politics/tru...
Ah, the geography of lyrics. Reminds me of one of my own efforts, though not so seasonal.
November 27, 2025 at 8:03 PM
Ah, the geography of lyrics. Reminds me of one of my own efforts, though not so seasonal.
Regarding the "nothing else is" part of your claim, Robert Browning would beg to differ. www.google.com/books/editio...
November 27, 2025 at 7:24 PM
Regarding the "nothing else is" part of your claim, Robert Browning would beg to differ. www.google.com/books/editio...
Thankful for such rich election data that I can keep slicing it up into different representations. This shows how each of the 13 wards' voters divided their voting among four voting methods, explained downthread.
November 27, 2025 at 5:04 PM
Thankful for such rich election data that I can keep slicing it up into different representations. This shows how each of the 13 wards' voters divided their voting among four voting methods, explained downthread.
Despite headlines like "MIT study finds AI can already replace 11.7% of U.S. workforce," that isn't what the report says. The researchers did a poor job of explaining their results, and news outlets did a poor job of explaining the poor explanation. iceberg.mit.edu/report.pdf
November 27, 2025 at 1:45 PM
Despite headlines like "MIT study finds AI can already replace 11.7% of U.S. workforce," that isn't what the report says. The researchers did a poor job of explaining their results, and news outlets did a poor job of explaining the poor explanation. iceberg.mit.edu/report.pdf
The filing period for MN HD 47A and 64A special elections closed 5pm on 11/25 and the withdrawal period 5pm on 11/26. From what's been posted, it's impossible to say whether anyone withdrew, but even without that it seems that the MNGOP decided not to contest 47A. www.sos.mn.gov/election-adm...
November 26, 2025 at 11:16 PM
The filing period for MN HD 47A and 64A special elections closed 5pm on 11/25 and the withdrawal period 5pm on 11/26. From what's been posted, it's impossible to say whether anyone withdrew, but even without that it seems that the MNGOP decided not to contest 47A. www.sos.mn.gov/election-adm...
Jeff Howe not seeking re-election in MN SD 13 needs to be put in context of Lisa Demuth doing the same in HD 13A, so the room for GOP newcomers in that area will be even greater. All three legislative districts (SD 13, HD 13A, HD 13B) are safe for the GOP.
November 23, 2025 at 9:12 PM
Jeff Howe not seeking re-election in MN SD 13 needs to be put in context of Lisa Demuth doing the same in HD 13A, so the room for GOP newcomers in that area will be even greater. All three legislative districts (SD 13, HD 13A, HD 13B) are safe for the GOP.
John James's op-ed may or may not be good policy advice, but it's lousy history. He asks what has changed since Minnesota's 1858 statehood. Given the context, the most obvious answer is that there were fewer counties then. Also, state tax was property tax. www.startribune.com/mn-human-ser...
November 23, 2025 at 12:44 PM
John James's op-ed may or may not be good policy advice, but it's lousy history. He asks what has changed since Minnesota's 1858 statehood. Given the context, the most obvious answer is that there were fewer counties then. Also, state tax was property tax. www.startribune.com/mn-human-ser...
Wait, the critic of supposedly secret negotiations advocated against making the deal public? www.startribune.com/university-o...
November 21, 2025 at 8:30 PM
Wait, the critic of supposedly secret negotiations advocated against making the deal public? www.startribune.com/university-o...
I still haven't seen a press release from @minneapolismn.gov, so this excerpt from the canvassing board minutes will have to do. If you want to see people putting ballots onto piles and counting how many are in each pile to verify the optical-scan accuracy, Thursday is your chance.
November 20, 2025 at 2:02 AM
I still haven't seen a press release from @minneapolismn.gov, so this excerpt from the canvassing board minutes will have to do. If you want to see people putting ballots onto piles and counting how many are in each pile to verify the optical-scan accuracy, Thursday is your chance.
Chonky beagles are the best. I'm a bit biased. We got this one when I was 5, and I was overjoyed, and also accepted as something of a secondary consideration that its owner came as part of the package — the woman who became my second mother, my first having died the year before.
November 19, 2025 at 1:23 AM
Chonky beagles are the best. I'm a bit biased. We got this one when I was 5, and I was overjoyed, and also accepted as something of a secondary consideration that its owner came as part of the package — the woman who became my second mother, my first having died the year before.
Columns as before. First two rows are ballots that in the final round of mayor RCV tabulation were counted for Fateh or Frey. The third row is a mix of those that were exhausted in that final round and those that never went into the RCV tabulation because there was no vote for mayor ("undervote").
November 17, 2025 at 7:21 PM
Columns as before. First two rows are ballots that in the final round of mayor RCV tabulation were counted for Fateh or Frey. The third row is a mix of those that were exhausted in that final round and those that never went into the RCV tabulation because there was no vote for mayor ("undervote").
I believe these are what you are looking for.
November 16, 2025 at 5:38 PM
I believe these are what you are looking for.
Minneapolis releases Cast Vote Record (CVR) extracts for each individual ranked-choice race but not for entire ballots. However, based on the precinct columns perfectly matching up, it appears the rows are in the same order in each CVR file. If so, one can do cross-race analyses like this.
November 16, 2025 at 3:12 PM
Minneapolis releases Cast Vote Record (CVR) extracts for each individual ranked-choice race but not for entire ballots. However, based on the precinct columns perfectly matching up, it appears the rows are in the same order in each CVR file. If so, one can do cross-race analyses like this.
The root of the problem is clear.
November 16, 2025 at 2:37 AM
The root of the problem is clear.
Feel free to rename them as you like. Maybe you can even get the city to go along. Meanwhile, here's a breakdown the the 346 ballots that the city classifies as "undervotes" for mayor, i.e., those with no candidate for mayor voted for. You can see that only 308 are totally blank for the office.
November 15, 2025 at 8:45 PM
Feel free to rename them as you like. Maybe you can even get the city to go along. Meanwhile, here's a breakdown the the 346 ballots that the city classifies as "undervotes" for mayor, i.e., those with no candidate for mayor voted for. You can see that only 308 are totally blank for the office.
The @jakesteinberg.com and @jeffhargarten.bsky.social analysis somewhat misstates its result. Yes, 26,573 ballots were "Jacob Fry, undervote, undervote" but no, that isn't the number "that only ranked Frey" (and similarly for Fateh) because there are other ways to only rank Frey.
November 15, 2025 at 7:29 PM
The @jakesteinberg.com and @jeffhargarten.bsky.social analysis somewhat misstates its result. Yes, 26,573 ballots were "Jacob Fry, undervote, undervote" but no, that isn't the number "that only ranked Frey" (and similarly for Fateh) because there are other ways to only rank Frey.
His take on Dominion Voting Systems' recent acquisition hallucinates the identity of the man behind the new company, blends one aspect of the real guy into the hallucinated one, and throws in a dubious "quote."
November 15, 2025 at 2:46 AM
His take on Dominion Voting Systems' recent acquisition hallucinates the identity of the man behind the new company, blends one aspect of the real guy into the hallucinated one, and throws in a dubious "quote."
The visuals show clear signs of having been generated by modern AI tools. Most of the text isn't so clearly AI — he could just be really verbose. But on at least two occasions, he's posted bizarre hallucinations that I have difficulty accounting for any other way. The most recent, he fessed up to.
November 15, 2025 at 2:46 AM
The visuals show clear signs of having been generated by modern AI tools. Most of the text isn't so clearly AI — he could just be really verbose. But on at least two occasions, he's posted bizarre hallucinations that I have difficulty accounting for any other way. The most recent, he fessed up to.
In the 2025 Minneapolis mayor race, there was an association between voters' first-choice candidate and how many distinct candidates they ranked. The average DeWayne Davis supporter ranked 2.8 versus 1.9 for the average Jacob Frey supporter. Brenda Short and Omar Fateh are higher than I expected.
November 14, 2025 at 3:10 AM
In the 2025 Minneapolis mayor race, there was an association between voters' first-choice candidate and how many distinct candidates they ranked. The average DeWayne Davis supporter ranked 2.8 versus 1.9 for the average Jacob Frey supporter. Brenda Short and Omar Fateh are higher than I expected.
I will also note that not only were all these candidate filings too late for a primary, they had no choice but to be so late. The candidate filing periods have earliest as well as latest allowable dates, and the periods for elections with and without primary don't overlap.
November 14, 2025 at 12:47 AM
I will also note that not only were all these candidate filings too late for a primary, they had no choice but to be so late. The candidate filing periods have earliest as well as latest allowable dates, and the periods for elections with and without primary don't overlap.