Matt Barger
@mattbarger.bsky.social
Data scientist. Anti-fascist. Soccer fan. Disappointed Keynesian.
Sometimes writer for American Soccer Analysis
Sometimes writer for American Soccer Analysis
Pinned
Life got busy past couple weeks, so we're missing some regular season games and that's on me.
Working on a Shiny app so you can access every game from every league.
Pinning this to keep my ass honest.
Working on a Shiny app so you can access every game from every league.
Pinning this to keep my ass honest.
Finally exposed as the frauds they are, FC Cincinnati is run out of town to Northern Kentucky.
I hear Park Hills is nice though.
I hear Park Hills is nice though.
FC Cincinnati 0-4 Inter Miami CF
Passes per shot: CIN 5.6-5.9 MIA
Avg Progression to shot (m): CIN 32.9-43.4 MIA
Shots: CIN 14-14 MIA
xG: CIN 0.77-2.15 MIA
xG (open play): CIN 0.7-2.12 MIA
xG (dead ball): CIN 0.07-0.03 MIA
#MLS #CINvMIA #AllForCincy #InterMiami
Passes per shot: CIN 5.6-5.9 MIA
Avg Progression to shot (m): CIN 32.9-43.4 MIA
Shots: CIN 14-14 MIA
xG: CIN 0.77-2.15 MIA
xG (open play): CIN 0.7-2.12 MIA
xG (dead ball): CIN 0.07-0.03 MIA
#MLS #CINvMIA #AllForCincy #InterMiami
November 24, 2025 at 8:23 PM
Finally exposed as the frauds they are, FC Cincinnati is run out of town to Northern Kentucky.
I hear Park Hills is nice though.
I hear Park Hills is nice though.
More evidence for the necessity of a game-state study.
NYC controlled this game. Philly was tilting against windmills.
Freese MotM, but Philly missed some sitters.
NYC controlled this game. Philly was tilting against windmills.
Freese MotM, but Philly missed some sitters.
November 24, 2025 at 8:19 PM
More evidence for the necessity of a game-state study.
NYC controlled this game. Philly was tilting against windmills.
Freese MotM, but Philly missed some sitters.
NYC controlled this game. Philly was tilting against windmills.
Freese MotM, but Philly missed some sitters.
FC Cincinnati 0-4 Inter Miami CF
Passes per shot: CIN 5.6-5.9 MIA
Avg Progression to shot (m): CIN 32.9-43.4 MIA
Shots: CIN 14-14 MIA
xG: CIN 0.77-2.15 MIA
xG (open play): CIN 0.7-2.12 MIA
xG (dead ball): CIN 0.07-0.03 MIA
#MLS #CINvMIA #AllForCincy #InterMiami
Passes per shot: CIN 5.6-5.9 MIA
Avg Progression to shot (m): CIN 32.9-43.4 MIA
Shots: CIN 14-14 MIA
xG: CIN 0.77-2.15 MIA
xG (open play): CIN 0.7-2.12 MIA
xG (dead ball): CIN 0.07-0.03 MIA
#MLS #CINvMIA #AllForCincy #InterMiami
November 24, 2025 at 5:39 AM
FC Cincinnati 0-4 Inter Miami CF
Passes per shot: CIN 5.6-5.9 MIA
Avg Progression to shot (m): CIN 32.9-43.4 MIA
Shots: CIN 14-14 MIA
xG: CIN 0.77-2.15 MIA
xG (open play): CIN 0.7-2.12 MIA
xG (dead ball): CIN 0.07-0.03 MIA
#MLS #CINvMIA #AllForCincy #InterMiami
Passes per shot: CIN 5.6-5.9 MIA
Avg Progression to shot (m): CIN 32.9-43.4 MIA
Shots: CIN 14-14 MIA
xG: CIN 0.77-2.15 MIA
xG (open play): CIN 0.7-2.12 MIA
xG (dead ball): CIN 0.07-0.03 MIA
#MLS #CINvMIA #AllForCincy #InterMiami
24 hours later, #NWSLFinal review:
Spirit just choked. Hard. Looked absolutely lost when Gotham pressed. No shots on target in a final is just an indictment.
Gotham wasn’t much better tbh, they weren’t doing much with the advantage, but their attackers can mine gold out of poor xG chances.
Spirit just choked. Hard. Looked absolutely lost when Gotham pressed. No shots on target in a final is just an indictment.
Gotham wasn’t much better tbh, they weren’t doing much with the advantage, but their attackers can mine gold out of poor xG chances.
Washington Spirit 0-1 NJ/NY Gotham FC
Passes per shot sequence: WAS 5.1-2.4 NJY
Avg Progression to shot (m): WAS 17.8-22.1 NJY
Shots: WAS 7-13 NJY
xG: WAS 0.49-0.62 NJY
xG (open play): WAS 0.44-0.58 NJY
xG (dead ball): WAS 0.05-0.05 NJY
#NWSL #WoSo #WASvNJY #ThatsTheSpirit #GothamFC
Passes per shot sequence: WAS 5.1-2.4 NJY
Avg Progression to shot (m): WAS 17.8-22.1 NJY
Shots: WAS 7-13 NJY
xG: WAS 0.49-0.62 NJY
xG (open play): WAS 0.44-0.58 NJY
xG (dead ball): WAS 0.05-0.05 NJY
#NWSL #WoSo #WASvNJY #ThatsTheSpirit #GothamFC
November 24, 2025 at 3:01 AM
24 hours later, #NWSLFinal review:
Spirit just choked. Hard. Looked absolutely lost when Gotham pressed. No shots on target in a final is just an indictment.
Gotham wasn’t much better tbh, they weren’t doing much with the advantage, but their attackers can mine gold out of poor xG chances.
Spirit just choked. Hard. Looked absolutely lost when Gotham pressed. No shots on target in a final is just an indictment.
Gotham wasn’t much better tbh, they weren’t doing much with the advantage, but their attackers can mine gold out of poor xG chances.
Miami vs NYC would be more interesting at Yankee Stadium.
November 24, 2025 at 2:56 AM
Miami vs NYC would be more interesting at Yankee Stadium.
I was mad at that Milan Iloski decision until I saw the shot. What a shot what a save. He had options though
November 24, 2025 at 2:51 AM
I was mad at that Milan Iloski decision until I saw the shot. What a shot what a save. He had options though
Apple TV glitched on 90’ of a playoff game lollllll
November 24, 2025 at 2:49 AM
Apple TV glitched on 90’ of a playoff game lollllll
City have looked better despite being camped out in their own end. Game state is real.
November 24, 2025 at 2:44 AM
City have looked better despite being camped out in their own end. Game state is real.
Oh the American golden child has entered. Philly is desperate.
November 24, 2025 at 2:42 AM
Oh the American golden child has entered. Philly is desperate.
Low blow, honestly.
Top chant of @whitecapsfc.com vs. LAFC tonight - after LA player dives, "We have healthcare!"
November 24, 2025 at 2:41 AM
Low blow, honestly.
Washington Spirit 0-1 NJ/NY Gotham FC
Passes per shot sequence: WAS 5.1-2.4 NJY
Avg Progression to shot (m): WAS 17.8-22.1 NJY
Shots: WAS 7-13 NJY
xG: WAS 0.49-0.62 NJY
xG (open play): WAS 0.44-0.58 NJY
xG (dead ball): WAS 0.05-0.05 NJY
#NWSL #WoSo #WASvNJY #ThatsTheSpirit #GothamFC
Passes per shot sequence: WAS 5.1-2.4 NJY
Avg Progression to shot (m): WAS 17.8-22.1 NJY
Shots: WAS 7-13 NJY
xG: WAS 0.49-0.62 NJY
xG (open play): WAS 0.44-0.58 NJY
xG (dead ball): WAS 0.05-0.05 NJY
#NWSL #WoSo #WASvNJY #ThatsTheSpirit #GothamFC
November 23, 2025 at 6:05 PM
Washington Spirit 0-1 NJ/NY Gotham FC
Passes per shot sequence: WAS 5.1-2.4 NJY
Avg Progression to shot (m): WAS 17.8-22.1 NJY
Shots: WAS 7-13 NJY
xG: WAS 0.49-0.62 NJY
xG (open play): WAS 0.44-0.58 NJY
xG (dead ball): WAS 0.05-0.05 NJY
#NWSL #WoSo #WASvNJY #ThatsTheSpirit #GothamFC
Passes per shot sequence: WAS 5.1-2.4 NJY
Avg Progression to shot (m): WAS 17.8-22.1 NJY
Shots: WAS 7-13 NJY
xG: WAS 0.49-0.62 NJY
xG (open play): WAS 0.44-0.58 NJY
xG (dead ball): WAS 0.05-0.05 NJY
#NWSL #WoSo #WASvNJY #ThatsTheSpirit #GothamFC
FC Tulsa 0-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC
Passes per shot sequence: TUL 3.6-1 PIT
Avg Progression to shot (m): TUL 18.4-32.5 PIT
Shots: TUL 17-6 PIT
xG: TUL 2.18-0.6 PIT
xG (open play): TUL 1.69-0.22 PIT
xG (dead ball): TUL 0.48-0.38 PIT
#USL #TULvPIT #ForTulsa #HoundTahn
Passes per shot sequence: TUL 3.6-1 PIT
Avg Progression to shot (m): TUL 18.4-32.5 PIT
Shots: TUL 17-6 PIT
xG: TUL 2.18-0.6 PIT
xG (open play): TUL 1.69-0.22 PIT
xG (dead ball): TUL 0.48-0.38 PIT
#USL #TULvPIT #ForTulsa #HoundTahn
November 23, 2025 at 6:03 PM
FC Tulsa 0-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC
Passes per shot sequence: TUL 3.6-1 PIT
Avg Progression to shot (m): TUL 18.4-32.5 PIT
Shots: TUL 17-6 PIT
xG: TUL 2.18-0.6 PIT
xG (open play): TUL 1.69-0.22 PIT
xG (dead ball): TUL 0.48-0.38 PIT
#USL #TULvPIT #ForTulsa #HoundTahn
Passes per shot sequence: TUL 3.6-1 PIT
Avg Progression to shot (m): TUL 18.4-32.5 PIT
Shots: TUL 17-6 PIT
xG: TUL 2.18-0.6 PIT
xG (open play): TUL 1.69-0.22 PIT
xG (dead ball): TUL 0.48-0.38 PIT
#USL #TULvPIT #ForTulsa #HoundTahn
FC Tulsa 3-0 New Mexico United
Passes per shot sequence: TUL 1.7-5.4 NM
Avg Progression to shot (m): TUL 17.3-38.2 NM
Shots: TUL 18-9 NM
xG: TUL 3.05-0.8 NM
xG (open play): TUL 2.84-0.73 NM
xG (dead ball): TUL 0.21-0.06 NM
#USL #TULvNM #ForTulsa #SomosUnidos
Passes per shot sequence: TUL 1.7-5.4 NM
Avg Progression to shot (m): TUL 17.3-38.2 NM
Shots: TUL 18-9 NM
xG: TUL 3.05-0.8 NM
xG (open play): TUL 2.84-0.73 NM
xG (dead ball): TUL 0.21-0.06 NM
#USL #TULvNM #ForTulsa #SomosUnidos
November 23, 2025 at 6:03 PM
FC Tulsa 3-0 New Mexico United
Passes per shot sequence: TUL 1.7-5.4 NM
Avg Progression to shot (m): TUL 17.3-38.2 NM
Shots: TUL 18-9 NM
xG: TUL 3.05-0.8 NM
xG (open play): TUL 2.84-0.73 NM
xG (dead ball): TUL 0.21-0.06 NM
#USL #TULvNM #ForTulsa #SomosUnidos
Passes per shot sequence: TUL 1.7-5.4 NM
Avg Progression to shot (m): TUL 17.3-38.2 NM
Shots: TUL 18-9 NM
xG: TUL 3.05-0.8 NM
xG (open play): TUL 2.84-0.73 NM
xG (dead ball): TUL 0.21-0.06 NM
#USL #TULvNM #ForTulsa #SomosUnidos
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0 Rhode Island FC
Passes per shot sequence: PIT 7.7-2.5 RI
Avg Progression to shot (m): PIT 44.3-27.8 RI
Shots: PIT 6-12 RI
xG: PIT 0.93-1.26 RI
xG (open play): PIT 0.93-1.05 RI
xG (dead ball): PIT 0-0.21 RI
#USL #PITvRI #HoundTahn #RIFC
Passes per shot sequence: PIT 7.7-2.5 RI
Avg Progression to shot (m): PIT 44.3-27.8 RI
Shots: PIT 6-12 RI
xG: PIT 0.93-1.26 RI
xG (open play): PIT 0.93-1.05 RI
xG (dead ball): PIT 0-0.21 RI
#USL #PITvRI #HoundTahn #RIFC
November 23, 2025 at 6:03 PM
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0 Rhode Island FC
Passes per shot sequence: PIT 7.7-2.5 RI
Avg Progression to shot (m): PIT 44.3-27.8 RI
Shots: PIT 6-12 RI
xG: PIT 0.93-1.26 RI
xG (open play): PIT 0.93-1.05 RI
xG (dead ball): PIT 0-0.21 RI
#USL #PITvRI #HoundTahn #RIFC
Passes per shot sequence: PIT 7.7-2.5 RI
Avg Progression to shot (m): PIT 44.3-27.8 RI
Shots: PIT 6-12 RI
xG: PIT 0.93-1.26 RI
xG (open play): PIT 0.93-1.05 RI
xG (dead ball): PIT 0-0.21 RI
#USL #PITvRI #HoundTahn #RIFC
One Knoxville SC 2-0 Spokane Velocity FC
Passes per shot sequence: KNX 5.2-2.4 SPK
Avg Progression to shot (m): KNX 52.9-26.8 SPK
Shots: KNX 10-9 SPK
xG: KNX 2.28-0.97 SPK
xG (open play): KNX 1.45-0.84 SPK
xG (dead ball): KNX 0.82-0.13 SPK
#USL #KNXvSPK #TOOK #SpokaneVelocityFC
Passes per shot sequence: KNX 5.2-2.4 SPK
Avg Progression to shot (m): KNX 52.9-26.8 SPK
Shots: KNX 10-9 SPK
xG: KNX 2.28-0.97 SPK
xG (open play): KNX 1.45-0.84 SPK
xG (dead ball): KNX 0.82-0.13 SPK
#USL #KNXvSPK #TOOK #SpokaneVelocityFC
November 23, 2025 at 6:01 PM
One Knoxville SC 2-0 Spokane Velocity FC
Passes per shot sequence: KNX 5.2-2.4 SPK
Avg Progression to shot (m): KNX 52.9-26.8 SPK
Shots: KNX 10-9 SPK
xG: KNX 2.28-0.97 SPK
xG (open play): KNX 1.45-0.84 SPK
xG (dead ball): KNX 0.82-0.13 SPK
#USL #KNXvSPK #TOOK #SpokaneVelocityFC
Passes per shot sequence: KNX 5.2-2.4 SPK
Avg Progression to shot (m): KNX 52.9-26.8 SPK
Shots: KNX 10-9 SPK
xG: KNX 2.28-0.97 SPK
xG (open play): KNX 1.45-0.84 SPK
xG (dead ball): KNX 0.82-0.13 SPK
#USL #KNXvSPK #TOOK #SpokaneVelocityFC
Spokane Velocity FC 2-2 Portland Hearts of Pine
Passes per shot sequence: SPK 5-4.7 POR
Avg Progression to shot (m): SPK 34.3-29.2 POR
Shots: SPK 17-10 POR
xG: SPK 2.75-0.89 POR
xG (open play): SPK 2.53-0.86 POR
xG (dead ball): SPK 0.22-0.03 POR
#USL #SPKvPOR #SpokaneVelocityFC #UpTheHearts
Passes per shot sequence: SPK 5-4.7 POR
Avg Progression to shot (m): SPK 34.3-29.2 POR
Shots: SPK 17-10 POR
xG: SPK 2.75-0.89 POR
xG (open play): SPK 2.53-0.86 POR
xG (dead ball): SPK 0.22-0.03 POR
#USL #SPKvPOR #SpokaneVelocityFC #UpTheHearts
November 23, 2025 at 6:01 PM
Spokane Velocity FC 2-2 Portland Hearts of Pine
Passes per shot sequence: SPK 5-4.7 POR
Avg Progression to shot (m): SPK 34.3-29.2 POR
Shots: SPK 17-10 POR
xG: SPK 2.75-0.89 POR
xG (open play): SPK 2.53-0.86 POR
xG (dead ball): SPK 0.22-0.03 POR
#USL #SPKvPOR #SpokaneVelocityFC #UpTheHearts
Passes per shot sequence: SPK 5-4.7 POR
Avg Progression to shot (m): SPK 34.3-29.2 POR
Shots: SPK 17-10 POR
xG: SPK 2.75-0.89 POR
xG (open play): SPK 2.53-0.86 POR
xG (dead ball): SPK 0.22-0.03 POR
#USL #SPKvPOR #SpokaneVelocityFC #UpTheHearts
Penalties to begin.
LAFC: Son in a wall of boos. Normal run up. Smashed correctly, Takaoka guesses wrong. Doink.
Vancouver: Gregg’s son. Normal run up. Lloris guesses correctly but can’t get there
1-0
#VANvLAFC
LAFC: Son in a wall of boos. Normal run up. Smashed correctly, Takaoka guesses wrong. Doink.
Vancouver: Gregg’s son. Normal run up. Lloris guesses correctly but can’t get there
1-0
#VANvLAFC
November 23, 2025 at 5:34 AM
Penalties to begin.
LAFC: Son in a wall of boos. Normal run up. Smashed correctly, Takaoka guesses wrong. Doink.
Vancouver: Gregg’s son. Normal run up. Lloris guesses correctly but can’t get there
1-0
#VANvLAFC
LAFC: Son in a wall of boos. Normal run up. Smashed correctly, Takaoka guesses wrong. Doink.
Vancouver: Gregg’s son. Normal run up. Lloris guesses correctly but can’t get there
1-0
#VANvLAFC
Penalties prediction
VAN 4-2 LAFC
Either Son or Bouanga miss.
Lloris guesses the right way once
VAN 4-2 LAFC
Either Son or Bouanga miss.
Lloris guesses the right way once
November 23, 2025 at 5:29 AM
Penalties prediction
VAN 4-2 LAFC
Either Son or Bouanga miss.
Lloris guesses the right way once
VAN 4-2 LAFC
Either Son or Bouanga miss.
Lloris guesses the right way once
LAFC vs Vancouver is everything I wanted Spirit vs Gotham to be
November 23, 2025 at 5:28 AM
LAFC vs Vancouver is everything I wanted Spirit vs Gotham to be
LAFC up two men with 10 minutes to go. They have to score or Vancouver takes all the momentum in penalties
November 23, 2025 at 5:22 AM
LAFC up two men with 10 minutes to go. They have to score or Vancouver takes all the momentum in penalties