Mark Pyruz
@markpyruz.bsky.social
• Observing Iran military security + region-related developments
• Military history image interpretation & analysis
• Military history image interpretation & analysis
Cont.
• Observed IRI security movements, deployments, operations: 17-18FEB2026 ⬇️
📷 Visuals ⬇️
🧵 Thread 3/3 ⏹️
• Observed IRI security movements, deployments, operations: 17-18FEB2026 ⬇️
📷 Visuals ⬇️
🧵 Thread 3/3 ⏹️
February 18, 2026 at 9:17 PM
Cont.
• Observed IRI security movements, deployments, operations: 17-18FEB2026 ⬇️
📷 Visuals ⬇️
🧵 Thread 3/3 ⏹️
• Observed IRI security movements, deployments, operations: 17-18FEB2026 ⬇️
📷 Visuals ⬇️
🧵 Thread 3/3 ⏹️
Cont.
• Incidental protesting observed at 14 protester fatality mourning events
• Protester fatality mourning incidents observed at three university campuses
• Errata noted on data sheet
🗒️ Data sheet 📊 Turnout charts ⬇️
🧵 Thread 2/3 ⬇️
• Incidental protesting observed at 14 protester fatality mourning events
• Protester fatality mourning incidents observed at three university campuses
• Errata noted on data sheet
🗒️ Data sheet 📊 Turnout charts ⬇️
🧵 Thread 2/3 ⬇️
February 18, 2026 at 9:17 PM
Cont.
• Incidental protesting observed at 14 protester fatality mourning events
• Protester fatality mourning incidents observed at three university campuses
• Errata noted on data sheet
🗒️ Data sheet 📊 Turnout charts ⬇️
🧵 Thread 2/3 ⬇️
• Incidental protesting observed at 14 protester fatality mourning events
• Protester fatality mourning incidents observed at three university campuses
• Errata noted on data sheet
🗒️ Data sheet 📊 Turnout charts ⬇️
🧵 Thread 2/3 ⬇️
Cont.
• Observed IRI security movements, deployments, operations for 17FEB2026 (2)
📷 Visuals ⬇️
🧵 Thread 5/5 ⏹️
• Observed IRI security movements, deployments, operations for 17FEB2026 (2)
📷 Visuals ⬇️
🧵 Thread 5/5 ⏹️
February 17, 2026 at 11:21 PM
Cont.
• Observed IRI security movements, deployments, operations for 17FEB2026 (2)
📷 Visuals ⬇️
🧵 Thread 5/5 ⏹️
• Observed IRI security movements, deployments, operations for 17FEB2026 (2)
📷 Visuals ⬇️
🧵 Thread 5/5 ⏹️
Cont.
• Previous day police fatality in Izeh (rank: MAJ) in clash with armed gunmen (source: IRNA)
------
• High number of police and IRGC/Basij deployments observed at multiple locales, countering mourning related protest activities ⬇️
📷 Visuals ⬇️
🧵 Thread 4/5 ⬇️
• Previous day police fatality in Izeh (rank: MAJ) in clash with armed gunmen (source: IRNA)
------
• High number of police and IRGC/Basij deployments observed at multiple locales, countering mourning related protest activities ⬇️
📷 Visuals ⬇️
🧵 Thread 4/5 ⬇️
February 17, 2026 at 11:21 PM
Cont.
• Previous day police fatality in Izeh (rank: MAJ) in clash with armed gunmen (source: IRNA)
------
• High number of police and IRGC/Basij deployments observed at multiple locales, countering mourning related protest activities ⬇️
📷 Visuals ⬇️
🧵 Thread 4/5 ⬇️
• Previous day police fatality in Izeh (rank: MAJ) in clash with armed gunmen (source: IRNA)
------
• High number of police and IRGC/Basij deployments observed at multiple locales, countering mourning related protest activities ⬇️
📷 Visuals ⬇️
🧵 Thread 4/5 ⬇️
Cont.
• Incidental, anti-regime chants observed at six 40-day mourning events around the country
• Night incidence continues of primarily minors chanting anti-regime slogans from buildings
🧵 Thread 3/5 ⬇️
• Incidental, anti-regime chants observed at six 40-day mourning events around the country
• Night incidence continues of primarily minors chanting anti-regime slogans from buildings
🧵 Thread 3/5 ⬇️
February 17, 2026 at 11:21 PM
Cont.
• Incidental, anti-regime chants observed at six 40-day mourning events around the country
• Night incidence continues of primarily minors chanting anti-regime slogans from buildings
🧵 Thread 3/5 ⬇️
• Incidental, anti-regime chants observed at six 40-day mourning events around the country
• Night incidence continues of primarily minors chanting anti-regime slogans from buildings
🧵 Thread 3/5 ⬇️
Cont.
• 2nd day, Kurdish unrest at Abdanan, with police dispersal operation observed at today's cemetery mourning event, employing Russian sourced Spartak armored vehicle
• Clarification noted on data sheet
🗒️ Data sheet 📊 Turnout charts ⬇️
🧵 Thread 2/5 ⬇️
• 2nd day, Kurdish unrest at Abdanan, with police dispersal operation observed at today's cemetery mourning event, employing Russian sourced Spartak armored vehicle
• Clarification noted on data sheet
🗒️ Data sheet 📊 Turnout charts ⬇️
🧵 Thread 2/5 ⬇️
February 17, 2026 at 11:21 PM
Cont.
• 2nd day, Kurdish unrest at Abdanan, with police dispersal operation observed at today's cemetery mourning event, employing Russian sourced Spartak armored vehicle
• Clarification noted on data sheet
🗒️ Data sheet 📊 Turnout charts ⬇️
🧵 Thread 2/5 ⬇️
• 2nd day, Kurdish unrest at Abdanan, with police dispersal operation observed at today's cemetery mourning event, employing Russian sourced Spartak armored vehicle
• Clarification noted on data sheet
🗒️ Data sheet 📊 Turnout charts ⬇️
🧵 Thread 2/5 ⬇️
Cont.
• Observed police deployments and operations related to protester fatality mourning events, and village protest activities ⬇️
📷 Visuals ⬇️
🧵 Thread 3/3 ⏹️
• Observed police deployments and operations related to protester fatality mourning events, and village protest activities ⬇️
📷 Visuals ⬇️
🧵 Thread 3/3 ⏹️
February 16, 2026 at 10:13 PM
Cont.
• Observed police deployments and operations related to protester fatality mourning events, and village protest activities ⬇️
📷 Visuals ⬇️
🧵 Thread 3/3 ⏹️
• Observed police deployments and operations related to protester fatality mourning events, and village protest activities ⬇️
📷 Visuals ⬇️
🧵 Thread 3/3 ⏹️
Cont.
• Single observed incident of individuals shouting anti-regime slogans at night from buildings in Tehran— includes possible minors
• Continued level of civil disobedience observed at current 40-day mourning events
Amended count:
15FEB ≈206 (+8)
🧵 Thread 2/3 ⬇️
• Single observed incident of individuals shouting anti-regime slogans at night from buildings in Tehran— includes possible minors
• Continued level of civil disobedience observed at current 40-day mourning events
Amended count:
15FEB ≈206 (+8)
🧵 Thread 2/3 ⬇️
February 16, 2026 at 10:13 PM
Cont.
• Single observed incident of individuals shouting anti-regime slogans at night from buildings in Tehran— includes possible minors
• Continued level of civil disobedience observed at current 40-day mourning events
Amended count:
15FEB ≈206 (+8)
🧵 Thread 2/3 ⬇️
• Single observed incident of individuals shouting anti-regime slogans at night from buildings in Tehran— includes possible minors
• Continued level of civil disobedience observed at current 40-day mourning events
Amended count:
15FEB ≈206 (+8)
🧵 Thread 2/3 ⬇️
Comment cont.
• Low incidence of retiree protesting over pension-benefit issues, with continued absence of telecom retirees
• Very low incidence of labor related protesting
🖥️ Visuals ⬇️
🧵 Thread 6/6 ⏹️
• Low incidence of retiree protesting over pension-benefit issues, with continued absence of telecom retirees
• Very low incidence of labor related protesting
🖥️ Visuals ⬇️
🧵 Thread 6/6 ⏹️
February 16, 2026 at 4:09 PM
Comment cont.
• Low incidence of retiree protesting over pension-benefit issues, with continued absence of telecom retirees
• Very low incidence of labor related protesting
🖥️ Visuals ⬇️
🧵 Thread 6/6 ⏹️
• Low incidence of retiree protesting over pension-benefit issues, with continued absence of telecom retirees
• Very low incidence of labor related protesting
🖥️ Visuals ⬇️
🧵 Thread 6/6 ⏹️
Comment cont.
• Continued incidence of anti-regime protesting at some protester fatality mourning events, with others displaying levels of civil disobedience
• Two incidents where groups of university students protested over student protester fatalities
🧵 Thread 5/6 ⬇️
• Continued incidence of anti-regime protesting at some protester fatality mourning events, with others displaying levels of civil disobedience
• Two incidents where groups of university students protested over student protester fatalities
🧵 Thread 5/6 ⬇️
February 16, 2026 at 4:09 PM
Comment cont.
• Continued incidence of anti-regime protesting at some protester fatality mourning events, with others displaying levels of civil disobedience
• Two incidents where groups of university students protested over student protester fatalities
🧵 Thread 5/6 ⬇️
• Continued incidence of anti-regime protesting at some protester fatality mourning events, with others displaying levels of civil disobedience
• Two incidents where groups of university students protested over student protester fatalities
🧵 Thread 5/6 ⬇️
Comment:
• Annual since 2023, anti-regime slogan shouts by youths from buildings during Revolution Day night time fireworks displays— with more visuals this year suggesting higher incidence
📊 7-day comparison chart ⬇️
🧵 Thread 4/6 ⬇️
• Annual since 2023, anti-regime slogan shouts by youths from buildings during Revolution Day night time fireworks displays— with more visuals this year suggesting higher incidence
📊 7-day comparison chart ⬇️
🧵 Thread 4/6 ⬇️
February 16, 2026 at 4:09 PM
Comment:
• Annual since 2023, anti-regime slogan shouts by youths from buildings during Revolution Day night time fireworks displays— with more visuals this year suggesting higher incidence
📊 7-day comparison chart ⬇️
🧵 Thread 4/6 ⬇️
• Annual since 2023, anti-regime slogan shouts by youths from buildings during Revolution Day night time fireworks displays— with more visuals this year suggesting higher incidence
📊 7-day comparison chart ⬇️
🧵 Thread 4/6 ⬇️
Cont.
🔽 Number of affected cities/towns/facilities: 14
🔽 Percentage of peak protest total considered anti-regime: 73.5%
⏹️ Percentage of protests observed with police presence: (-)
🔽 Biggest protest size: Nurabad ≈100, protester fatality (mourners)
🧵 Thread 3/6 ⬇️
🔽 Number of affected cities/towns/facilities: 14
🔽 Percentage of peak protest total considered anti-regime: 73.5%
⏹️ Percentage of protests observed with police presence: (-)
🔽 Biggest protest size: Nurabad ≈100, protester fatality (mourners)
🧵 Thread 3/6 ⬇️
February 16, 2026 at 4:09 PM
Cont.
🔽 Number of affected cities/towns/facilities: 14
🔽 Percentage of peak protest total considered anti-regime: 73.5%
⏹️ Percentage of protests observed with police presence: (-)
🔽 Biggest protest size: Nurabad ≈100, protester fatality (mourners)
🧵 Thread 3/6 ⬇️
🔽 Number of affected cities/towns/facilities: 14
🔽 Percentage of peak protest total considered anti-regime: 73.5%
⏹️ Percentage of protests observed with police presence: (-)
🔽 Biggest protest size: Nurabad ≈100, protester fatality (mourners)
🧵 Thread 3/6 ⬇️
Cont.
🔼 Total number of protests (includes multiple days): 37
🔽 Mean(Avg) peak protest size per distinct site: ≈16.2
🔼 Mean(Avg) number daily protests: 5.2
🔽 Mean(Avg) daily protester turnout: ≈85.8
🧵 Thread 2/6 ⬇️
🔼 Total number of protests (includes multiple days): 37
🔽 Mean(Avg) peak protest size per distinct site: ≈16.2
🔼 Mean(Avg) number daily protests: 5.2
🔽 Mean(Avg) daily protester turnout: ≈85.8
🧵 Thread 2/6 ⬇️
February 16, 2026 at 4:09 PM
Cont.
🔼 Total number of protests (includes multiple days): 37
🔽 Mean(Avg) peak protest size per distinct site: ≈16.2
🔼 Mean(Avg) number daily protests: 5.2
🔽 Mean(Avg) daily protester turnout: ≈85.8
🧵 Thread 2/6 ⬇️
🔼 Total number of protests (includes multiple days): 37
🔽 Mean(Avg) peak protest size per distinct site: ≈16.2
🔼 Mean(Avg) number daily protests: 5.2
🔽 Mean(Avg) daily protester turnout: ≈85.8
🧵 Thread 2/6 ⬇️
Cont.
• Family member of protester fatality publicly agitated on a street location in Fardis, drawing a small crowd
🧵 Thread 4/4 ⏹️
• Family member of protester fatality publicly agitated on a street location in Fardis, drawing a small crowd
🧵 Thread 4/4 ⏹️
February 15, 2026 at 10:10 PM
Cont.
• Family member of protester fatality publicly agitated on a street location in Fardis, drawing a small crowd
🧵 Thread 4/4 ⏹️
• Family member of protester fatality publicly agitated on a street location in Fardis, drawing a small crowd
🧵 Thread 4/4 ⏹️
Cont.
• Regular Sunday assemblies of retirees over pension-benefit issues— this week obaseved at 4 city locations
• Group of bakers protested in Ahvaz over subsidy and operating issues
🧵 Thread 3/4 ⬇️
• Regular Sunday assemblies of retirees over pension-benefit issues— this week obaseved at 4 city locations
• Group of bakers protested in Ahvaz over subsidy and operating issues
🧵 Thread 3/4 ⬇️
February 15, 2026 at 10:10 PM
Cont.
• Regular Sunday assemblies of retirees over pension-benefit issues— this week obaseved at 4 city locations
• Group of bakers protested in Ahvaz over subsidy and operating issues
🧵 Thread 3/4 ⬇️
• Regular Sunday assemblies of retirees over pension-benefit issues— this week obaseved at 4 city locations
• Group of bakers protested in Ahvaz over subsidy and operating issues
🧵 Thread 3/4 ⬇️
Cont.
• Like previous night, many participants determined to be minors in this anti-regime activity summoned by Prince R. Pahlavi
Amended count:
14FEB ≈173 (+1)
🗒️ Data sheet 📊 Turnout charts ⬇️
🧵 Thread 2/4 ⬇️
• Like previous night, many participants determined to be minors in this anti-regime activity summoned by Prince R. Pahlavi
Amended count:
14FEB ≈173 (+1)
🗒️ Data sheet 📊 Turnout charts ⬇️
🧵 Thread 2/4 ⬇️
February 15, 2026 at 10:10 PM
Cont.
• Like previous night, many participants determined to be minors in this anti-regime activity summoned by Prince R. Pahlavi
Amended count:
14FEB ≈173 (+1)
🗒️ Data sheet 📊 Turnout charts ⬇️
🧵 Thread 2/4 ⬇️
• Like previous night, many participants determined to be minors in this anti-regime activity summoned by Prince R. Pahlavi
Amended count:
14FEB ≈173 (+1)
🗒️ Data sheet 📊 Turnout charts ⬇️
🧵 Thread 2/4 ⬇️
Cont.
• First post-civil unrest, protest observed with pro-IRI banner images: contract drivers assembled over work status, labor related conditions ⬇️
📷 Image ⬇️
🧵 Thread 4/4 ⏹️
• First post-civil unrest, protest observed with pro-IRI banner images: contract drivers assembled over work status, labor related conditions ⬇️
📷 Image ⬇️
🧵 Thread 4/4 ⏹️
February 14, 2026 at 10:39 PM
Cont.
• First post-civil unrest, protest observed with pro-IRI banner images: contract drivers assembled over work status, labor related conditions ⬇️
📷 Image ⬇️
🧵 Thread 4/4 ⏹️
• First post-civil unrest, protest observed with pro-IRI banner images: contract drivers assembled over work status, labor related conditions ⬇️
📷 Image ⬇️
🧵 Thread 4/4 ⏹️
Cont.
• Group of students at Shiraz University of Medical Sciences returned to protest over recent protester fatalities, arrests
🧵 Thread 3/4 ⬇️
• Group of students at Shiraz University of Medical Sciences returned to protest over recent protester fatalities, arrests
🧵 Thread 3/4 ⬇️
February 14, 2026 at 10:39 PM
Cont.
• Group of students at Shiraz University of Medical Sciences returned to protest over recent protester fatalities, arrests
🧵 Thread 3/4 ⬇️
• Group of students at Shiraz University of Medical Sciences returned to protest over recent protester fatalities, arrests
🧵 Thread 3/4 ⬇️
Cont.
• Like previous incidence during Tuesday's Rev Day fireworks events, many participants in the rooftop chants determined to be minors— but more visuals suggest a further elevated participation level
🗒️ Data 📊 Charts ⬇️
🧵 Thread 2/4 ⬇️
• Like previous incidence during Tuesday's Rev Day fireworks events, many participants in the rooftop chants determined to be minors— but more visuals suggest a further elevated participation level
🗒️ Data 📊 Charts ⬇️
🧵 Thread 2/4 ⬇️
February 14, 2026 at 10:39 PM
Cont.
• Like previous incidence during Tuesday's Rev Day fireworks events, many participants in the rooftop chants determined to be minors— but more visuals suggest a further elevated participation level
🗒️ Data 📊 Charts ⬇️
🧵 Thread 2/4 ⬇️
• Like previous incidence during Tuesday's Rev Day fireworks events, many participants in the rooftop chants determined to be minors— but more visuals suggest a further elevated participation level
🗒️ Data 📊 Charts ⬇️
🧵 Thread 2/4 ⬇️