@marketmaker2757.bsky.social
Account is dedicated toward speaking out against Election interference mis/disinformation by highlighting methodological and measurement flaws
Advantage gambler
Advantage gambler
Reposted
Reposted
"Due to advances in technology....." you can neither articulate or understand you discount an audit and recount system you don't understand and want more based on a shit statistical analysis you can't defend
Clowns
@dbmain.bsky.social @marketmaker2757.bsky.social
bsky.app/profile/r5-t...
Clowns
@dbmain.bsky.social @marketmaker2757.bsky.social
bsky.app/profile/r5-t...
January 29, 2026 at 2:57 PM
"Due to advances in technology....." you can neither articulate or understand you discount an audit and recount system you don't understand and want more based on a shit statistical analysis you can't defend
Clowns
@dbmain.bsky.social @marketmaker2757.bsky.social
bsky.app/profile/r5-t...
Clowns
@dbmain.bsky.social @marketmaker2757.bsky.social
bsky.app/profile/r5-t...
Reposted
Oooh, speaking of Clarkson: If one uses ETA's past comments re. what's considered an important enough r^2, Clarkson's "total votes cast in a precinct vs. winner's vote share" theory would dictate an anomaly in Harris's favor in Kansas in 2024:
imgur.com/D1YYrG1
imgur.com/D1YYrG1
imgur.com
Discover the magic of the internet at Imgur, a community powered entertainment destination. Lift your spirits with funny jokes, trending memes, entertaining gifs, inspiring stories, viral videos, and ...
imgur.com
January 28, 2026 at 7:20 AM
Oooh, speaking of Clarkson: If one uses ETA's past comments re. what's considered an important enough r^2, Clarkson's "total votes cast in a precinct vs. winner's vote share" theory would dictate an anomaly in Harris's favor in Kansas in 2024:
imgur.com/D1YYrG1
imgur.com/D1YYrG1
Reposted
If you cared about elections, you would remove the lies you gave posted
January 26, 2026 at 1:39 PM
If you cared about elections, you would remove the lies you gave posted
Election stolen because more people voted🤣
January 24, 2026 at 6:00 PM
Election stolen because more people voted🤣
Reposted
And I will note with this deceptive attempt to claim they are actually looking at demographics
NV, PA, IA, NC have detailed party registration data available
MI, MN do not (those are the two they tried to pull this off with)
They just assume that they can continue to deceive their fans
NV, PA, IA, NC have detailed party registration data available
MI, MN do not (those are the two they tried to pull this off with)
They just assume that they can continue to deceive their fans
January 23, 2026 at 12:27 PM
And I will note with this deceptive attempt to claim they are actually looking at demographics
NV, PA, IA, NC have detailed party registration data available
MI, MN do not (those are the two they tried to pull this off with)
They just assume that they can continue to deceive their fans
NV, PA, IA, NC have detailed party registration data available
MI, MN do not (those are the two they tried to pull this off with)
They just assume that they can continue to deceive their fans
Jack bozobiec is the worst. Something about him. Hes just a such a dumb individual
Right-wing traveling propagandist Jack Posobiec is big mad that people are being alerted to what his face looks like and told to NOT INTERACT.
He's a manipulative crybully who profits from harming real communities. Recognize him and avoid him.
#hostilemediaMN #hostilemediaIL #hostilemediaPA
He's a manipulative crybully who profits from harming real communities. Recognize him and avoid him.
#hostilemediaMN #hostilemediaIL #hostilemediaPA
January 23, 2026 at 5:17 AM
Jack bozobiec is the worst. Something about him. Hes just a such a dumb individual
Reposted
@grassrootsspeak.bsky.social ignorance of data, political science, and elections has fueled a conspiracy since the first McGrath vs. McConnell race years ago
These clowns are useful idiots that help trump
These clowns are useful idiots that help trump
January 22, 2026 at 6:28 PM
@grassrootsspeak.bsky.social ignorance of data, political science, and elections has fueled a conspiracy since the first McGrath vs. McConnell race years ago
These clowns are useful idiots that help trump
These clowns are useful idiots that help trump
Reposted
On the one year anniversary, Russ attempted to defend his lies.
The "more votes than voters" lie he created with Heather Honey that went thru Scott Perry and Trump used to lie to the crowd was always an apples to orange comparison
Never true
Always intended to "provide some cover" for Eastman
The "more votes than voters" lie he created with Heather Honey that went thru Scott Perry and Trump used to lie to the crowd was always an apples to orange comparison
Never true
Always intended to "provide some cover" for Eastman
January 22, 2026 at 6:15 PM
Reposted
I would welcome a @spotlightpa.org collaboration with
@votebeat.org @carterwalker.bsky.social on this and suggest a headline:
From Heather Honey to the Election "Truth" Alliance - How the Failure to hold the 2020 Trump Co-Conspirators Accountable led to Conspiracy Entrepreneurs Targeting the Left.
@votebeat.org @carterwalker.bsky.social on this and suggest a headline:
From Heather Honey to the Election "Truth" Alliance - How the Failure to hold the 2020 Trump Co-Conspirators Accountable led to Conspiracy Entrepreneurs Targeting the Left.
January 22, 2026 at 6:17 PM
Reposted
They are doing time travel.....that is pretty cool
DOGE having an email exchange in 2025 with a 2020 elections denier group is somehow providing confirmation bias for ETAs claims about 2024 that Ty can't name
DOGE having an email exchange in 2025 with a 2020 elections denier group is somehow providing confirmation bias for ETAs claims about 2024 that Ty can't name
a man with glasses is surrounded by a glowing circle and the website pmitf.com is displayed below him
Alt: a man with glasses is surrounded by a glowing circle and the website pmitf.com is displayed below him
media.tenor.com
January 22, 2026 at 2:26 AM
They are doing time travel.....that is pretty cool
DOGE having an email exchange in 2025 with a 2020 elections denier group is somehow providing confirmation bias for ETAs claims about 2024 that Ty can't name
DOGE having an email exchange in 2025 with a 2020 elections denier group is somehow providing confirmation bias for ETAs claims about 2024 that Ty can't name
@electiontruthalliance.org
One again, the most important part of this analysis are the Partial R squares which have been omitted. Without them, your claims have no validity. The data team should know this. Why were they not included?
substack.com/home/post/p-...
One again, the most important part of this analysis are the Partial R squares which have been omitted. Without them, your claims have no validity. The data team should know this. Why were they not included?
substack.com/home/post/p-...
January 22, 2026 at 1:12 AM
@electiontruthalliance.org
One again, the most important part of this analysis are the Partial R squares which have been omitted. Without them, your claims have no validity. The data team should know this. Why were they not included?
substack.com/home/post/p-...
One again, the most important part of this analysis are the Partial R squares which have been omitted. Without them, your claims have no validity. The data team should know this. Why were they not included?
substack.com/home/post/p-...
Reposted
I would rather live in a world in which people are encouraged to leave their comfort zones and try new things without fear of lifetime mockery than ever have them try at all.
Except for Trump trying politics; that really has not worked out well for us. 2/2
Except for Trump trying politics; that really has not worked out well for us. 2/2
January 21, 2026 at 2:47 PM
I would rather live in a world in which people are encouraged to leave their comfort zones and try new things without fear of lifetime mockery than ever have them try at all.
Except for Trump trying politics; that really has not worked out well for us. 2/2
Except for Trump trying politics; that really has not worked out well for us. 2/2
Reposted
Does @cleandataalliance.bsky.social support you even after creating lies out of data ignorance?
Or is this like Mebane where you misrepresent and don't get their buy-in?
bsky.app/profile/r5-t...
Or is this like Mebane where you misrepresent and don't get their buy-in?
bsky.app/profile/r5-t...
A deceptive substack post from "ThisWillHold" is making the rounds. It was debunked months ago when it first appeared, but wanted to share a more detailed review.
@electiontruthalliance.org filed a lawsuit against PA and included this disinformation. It originated in data they gave Dr. Mebane
@electiontruthalliance.org filed a lawsuit against PA and included this disinformation. It originated in data they gave Dr. Mebane
January 21, 2026 at 7:46 PM
Does @cleandataalliance.bsky.social support you even after creating lies out of data ignorance?
Or is this like Mebane where you misrepresent and don't get their buy-in?
bsky.app/profile/r5-t...
Or is this like Mebane where you misrepresent and don't get their buy-in?
bsky.app/profile/r5-t...
Step 1: make oversmoothed heat maps of 2 significantly different populations
Step 2: claim it’s not demographics. Even though 80 percent of Detroit is black and all of Wayne county is 40 percent as a whole (so basically most of that is coming from Detroit)
Step 2: claim it’s not demographics. Even though 80 percent of Detroit is black and all of Wayne county is 40 percent as a whole (so basically most of that is coming from Detroit)
January 21, 2026 at 3:05 AM
Step 1: make oversmoothed heat maps of 2 significantly different populations
Step 2: claim it’s not demographics. Even though 80 percent of Detroit is black and all of Wayne county is 40 percent as a whole (so basically most of that is coming from Detroit)
Step 2: claim it’s not demographics. Even though 80 percent of Detroit is black and all of Wayne county is 40 percent as a whole (so basically most of that is coming from Detroit)
January 17, 2026 at 2:31 PM
I love the the klimek quote
“The assumption of normality is not valid in general”
Yet they tell us everything should follow a normal distribution🤣
“The assumption of normality is not valid in general”
Yet they tell us everything should follow a normal distribution🤣
Cite your source that it doesn’t matter. Klimek disagrees
January 17, 2026 at 11:20 AM
I love the the klimek quote
“The assumption of normality is not valid in general”
Yet they tell us everything should follow a normal distribution🤣
“The assumption of normality is not valid in general”
Yet they tell us everything should follow a normal distribution🤣
It’s a shame I just discovered this one after 7 months of being in this rabbit hole.
It cuts into ETAs entire methodology
It cuts into ETAs entire methodology
January 17, 2026 at 9:28 AM
It’s a shame I just discovered this one after 7 months of being in this rabbit hole.
It cuts into ETAs entire methodology
It cuts into ETAs entire methodology
Reposted
Lies about "more votes than registered voters = 2 (FL and PA)
Academics Abandoning ETA = 1 (Mebane)
Russian Tails shown = 0
Evidence of manipulation found = 0
Academics Abandoning ETA = 1 (Mebane)
Russian Tails shown = 0
Evidence of manipulation found = 0
January 16, 2026 at 8:15 PM
Lies about "more votes than registered voters = 2 (FL and PA)
Academics Abandoning ETA = 1 (Mebane)
Russian Tails shown = 0
Evidence of manipulation found = 0
Academics Abandoning ETA = 1 (Mebane)
Russian Tails shown = 0
Evidence of manipulation found = 0
Reposted
This account shared information about @electiontruthalliance.org lawsuit that includes a lie about more votes than registered voters that @thiswillhold.bsky.social amplified
I specifically debunks it and provide all of my sources
bsky.app/profile/r5-t...
I specifically debunks it and provide all of my sources
bsky.app/profile/r5-t...
A deceptive substack post from "ThisWillHold" is making the rounds. It was debunked months ago when it first appeared, but wanted to share a more detailed review.
@electiontruthalliance.org filed a lawsuit against PA and included this disinformation. It originated in data they gave Dr. Mebane
@electiontruthalliance.org filed a lawsuit against PA and included this disinformation. It originated in data they gave Dr. Mebane
January 14, 2026 at 7:28 PM
This account shared information about @electiontruthalliance.org lawsuit that includes a lie about more votes than registered voters that @thiswillhold.bsky.social amplified
I specifically debunks it and provide all of my sources
bsky.app/profile/r5-t...
I specifically debunks it and provide all of my sources
bsky.app/profile/r5-t...
Reposted
One would interpret this as an unwillingness to defend your work in public.
AND to try and take criticism off-line.
If you are taking donations, you owe it to your supporters to defend the validity of your work, don't you think?
AND to try and take criticism off-line.
If you are taking donations, you owe it to your supporters to defend the validity of your work, don't you think?
January 14, 2026 at 5:56 PM
One would interpret this as an unwillingness to defend your work in public.
AND to try and take criticism off-line.
If you are taking donations, you owe it to your supporters to defend the validity of your work, don't you think?
AND to try and take criticism off-line.
If you are taking donations, you owe it to your supporters to defend the validity of your work, don't you think?
Reposted
Your data team clearly didn't bother with validating in PA or FL and have refused to correct the lies you and @thiswillhold.bsky.social spread
You no longer receive the benefit of the doubt or assumption of good faith.
With Trump's folks I would ask " Do you lie out of ignorance or malice"
You no longer receive the benefit of the doubt or assumption of good faith.
With Trump's folks I would ask " Do you lie out of ignorance or malice"
January 14, 2026 at 1:30 PM
Your data team clearly didn't bother with validating in PA or FL and have refused to correct the lies you and @thiswillhold.bsky.social spread
You no longer receive the benefit of the doubt or assumption of good faith.
With Trump's folks I would ask " Do you lie out of ignorance or malice"
You no longer receive the benefit of the doubt or assumption of good faith.
With Trump's folks I would ask " Do you lie out of ignorance or malice"
Reposted
Someone will eventually review your registration database concerns. There were several #TeamFacts folks with MI expertise that responded to the disinformation Trump's folks were spreading. None of your other claims have held up so we will see where this goes once we dig in a bit more.
January 14, 2026 at 2:46 PM
Someone will eventually review your registration database concerns. There were several #TeamFacts folks with MI expertise that responded to the disinformation Trump's folks were spreading. None of your other claims have held up so we will see where this goes once we dig in a bit more.
Reposted
They are describing successful GOTV and demographics, which tremendously improved their r-squared (they just don't understand what that is)
They are not showing evidence of fraud or manipulation
They are not showing evidence of fraud or manipulation
January 13, 2026 at 10:17 PM
They are describing successful GOTV and demographics, which tremendously improved their r-squared (they just don't understand what that is)
They are not showing evidence of fraud or manipulation
They are not showing evidence of fraud or manipulation