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@linesdown.bsky.social
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Economic indicators for the left.
Posts Replies Media Videos
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US retail sales
US Real Retail Sales vs. Pre-Pandemic Trend — Real Retail Sales (In) - Pre-Pandemic Trend
November 26, 2025 at 7:27 PM
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US consumer sentiment
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
November 24, 2025 at 3:07 PM
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US manufactured goods inventory (means product isn’t moving)
US PMI manufacturing finished goods inventories 56 53 50 47 44 41 38 35 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 Data compiled Nov. 21, 2025. PMI (Purchasing Managers" Index) 50 = no change, covers manufacturing only. Source: S&P Global PMI. © 2025 S&P Global. 2022 2024
November 24, 2025 at 3:05 PM
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Socialism or barbarism, you’re hearing it more and more folks.
Department of State * @StateDept X.com Mass migration poses an existential threat to Western civilization and undermines the stability of key American allies. Today the State Department instructed U.S. embassies to report on the human rights implications and public safety impacts of mass migration. 6:00 AM • 2025-11-21 • 245K Views
November 21, 2025 at 5:12 PM
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US wage growth
US Average Hourly Earnings — Y/Y (Augur Adjusted) M/M, Annualized
November 21, 2025 at 3:00 PM
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Default!
Oracle Default Risk Flares to Near Three-Year High CDS price jumped on Al funding surge / CDS Index / Oracle 5-yr CDS Basis points 120 Latest 100 80 60 40 2022 2023 2024 Sources: Markit CDX North America Investment Grade Index, Bloomberg 2025 Bloomberg
November 21, 2025 at 12:12 AM
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Chinese CO2 emissions
China's CO2 emissions have now been flat or falling for 18 months Emissions from fossil fuels and cement, MtCO2, rolling 12-month totals 12,000 Past 18 months 11,500 11,000 10,500 10,000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Source: Analysis for Carbon Brief by Lauri Myllyvirta 2025 CarbonBrief China's CO2 emissions from fossil fuels and cement, million tonnes of CO2, rolling 12-month totals until September 2025. Source: Emissions are estimated from National Bureau of Statistics data on production of different fuels and cement, China Customs data on imports and exports and WIND Information data on changes in inventories, applying emissions factors from China's latest national greenhouse gas emissions inventory and annual emissions factors per tonne of cement production until 2024. Sector breakdown of coal consumption is estimated using coal consumption data from WIND Information and electricity data from the National Energy Administration. The consumption of petrol, diesel and jet fuel is adjusted to match quarterly totals estimated by Sinopec.
November 20, 2025 at 2:23 PM
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90 How Life Expectancy Has Changed Over the Decades Life expectancy at birth in selected G20 countries and worldwide between 1960 and 2023 -Japan • Italy - United States • China - World - Russia • - India 80 70 84.0 83.7 78.4 78.0 73.3 73.3 72.0 60 50 40 30 1960 1970 1980 1990 Source: UN Population Division via World Bank 2000 2010 '20 '23 statista V
November 20, 2025 at 2:09 PM
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The Crypto Fear & Greed Index moved deeper into “extreme fear”
BTC/USD - BC — Crypto Fear & Greed Index (5d MA, right) 90 120,000 80 70 100,000 1 60 80,000 50 40 60,000 30 40000 pasty Jan 2024 20 Jul 2024 Jan 2025 Jul 2025 The Daily Shot"
November 19, 2025 at 5:05 PM
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New York Fed area employment
NY Fed Services Activity: Number of Employees
November 19, 2025 at 4:26 PM
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Oracle five-year credit default swaps 100 bp 50 bp Obp TT Jan 22 T Oct 22 T ー Jul 23 Apr 24 Jan 25 Oct 25 FINANCIAL TIMES Source: Bloomberg
November 19, 2025 at 2:28 PM
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lol. Oh Oracle.
Since September 10, when Oracle announced a $300bn deal with the chatbot maker, its stock has shed $315bn* in market value: Oracle market cap $1000bn $800bn Nov 17: shares close 8.8% below their price pre the OpenAl deal announcement $600bn A loss from pre-deal market cap equivalent to $60bn $400bn $200bn $Obn Feb 2025 May 2025 Aug 2025 Nov 2025 FINANCIAL TIMES Source: Bloomberg • Value at session close Oracle five-year credit default swaps 100 bp 50 bp Obp TT Jan 22 T Oct 22 T ー Jul 23 Apr 24 Jan 25 Oct 25 FINANCIAL TIMES Source: Bloomberg
November 19, 2025 at 4:33 AM
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The bump in Oracle stock from the MoU with Open AI has already wound down
ORCL Hourly Open AI promises to spend more than it can ever raise and give it to ORCL
November 14, 2025 at 9:32 PM
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US freight activity
Cass Freight Index (SA) Shipments 2010 2015 Expenditures 2010 2015 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.9 2020 2025 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 2020 2025 The Daily Shot*
November 14, 2025 at 2:33 PM
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US bankruptcy filings from S&P
US bankruptcy filings by year •Year-to-date through October Rest of the year 1,000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 828 634 586 639 687 655 558 576 634 589 524 520 518 471 405 372 2010 2011 2012 201320142015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Includes S&P Global Market Intelligence-covered US companies that announced a bankruptcy between Jan. 1, 2010, and Oct. 31, 2025. US bankruptcy filings by month 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Jan. 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Data compiled Nov. 4, 2025. Includes S&P Global Market Intelligence-covered US companies that announced a bankruptcy between Jan. 1, 2020, and Oct. 31, 2025. S&P Global Market Intelligence's bankruptcy coverage is limited to public companies or private companies with public debt where either assets or liabilities at the time of the bankruptcy filing are greater than or equal to $2 million, or private companies where either assets or liabilities at the time of the bankruptcy filing are greater than or equal to $10 million. Involuntary
November 14, 2025 at 2:30 PM
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The 2025 International Energy Agency World Energy Outlook has been released
Electricity generation in the Current Policies Scenario and Stated Policies Scenario, 2015-2035
November 12, 2025 at 9:36 PM
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Incredible things are happening in Canada
November 12, 2025 at 6:20 PM
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Gah!
Germany has been running a deficit in capital goods with China since the start of this year Trade in investment goods, rolling 12-month surplus/deficit (Emn) 1500 1000 500 -500 2010 2015 2020 2025 FINANCIAL TIMES Source: Destatis
November 12, 2025 at 3:30 PM
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US job openings and unemployment
— NFIB Survey: Current Job Openings - Unemployment Rate (Inv.) 0% 50 2% 40 4% 30 6% 20V 8% 10 10% 2010 2015 2020 2025 — NFIB Survey: Current Job Openings - JOLTs Job Openings 12000 50 10000 40 30 W 4! 5000 6000 20V 4000 10 2000 2010 2015 2020 2025 The Daily Shot®
November 12, 2025 at 3:05 PM
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Car loan delinquencies
Americans Behind on Car Payments Hit Record Subprime borrowers late on auto loans reach highest since 1994 / Delinquent subprime auto loans 7.00% 4.00 3.00 2.00 2019 2020 2021 2022 Source: Fitch Auto ABS Indices 2023 2024 2025 Bloomberg
November 12, 2025 at 3:01 PM
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Oof
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index: Expectations 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 1960 Nov Expectations: 49.0 (50.3 est.) 1980 2000 2020 The Daily Shot"
November 10, 2025 at 2:52 PM
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UMichigan Consumer sentiment
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
November 10, 2025 at 2:49 PM
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US government shutdowns are generally blamed on the party in power so I’m not sure what the plan is here
*Walter Bloomberg • @DeItaone • 50m BESSENT SAYS IMPACT OF GOVT SHUTDOWN ON ECONOMY IS GETTING 'WORSE AND WORSE' 33 {7 46 381 ıll 43K ↑ *Walter Bloomberg • @DeItaone • 51m U.S. TRANSPORTATION SECRETARY DUFFY SAYS AIR TRAVEL WILL BE REDUCED TO A TRICKLE
November 9, 2025 at 3:27 PM
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Can someone explain the lure of cruises to me?
Cruise Intent - Quarterly Percentages Percentage of upcoming travelers planning a cruise vacation 26 25 24 23 22 21 20 23% 23% 22% 22% 21% 20% 02-24 Q1-24 Q3-24 Q4-24 Q1-25 Q2-25 Percentage planning a cruise vacation 13,455 responses from 01/01/2024 to 11/05/2025 Percentage of upcoming travelers planning a cruise vacation, excluding 'not sure' and 'other" Weighted by U.S. Census 18+ © CivicScience 2025 24% Q3-25 26% Q4-25 CIVIC SCIENCE
November 8, 2025 at 12:17 AM
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With US official labor data stopped, people are piecing together data on employment
US Continuing Claims
November 7, 2025 at 10:39 PM