That’s the week in prediction markets: new distro, new constraints, and tighter policing as the category matures fast.

Remember to follow @linera_pm for the real-time feed if you haven't already, and reply with what we missed or what you’re watching next week. 📰

🔍 @Kalshi announced a new insider-trading enforcement push, including additional monitoring and staffing plus a partnership with @Solidus_Labs, after high-profile allegations tied to fast-moving markets like music charts.
x.com/mansourtare...

📊 OG.com launched a nationwide, CFTC-regulated “native prediction” experience with community features like leaderboards and chat, alongside a sign-up bonus program tied to Super Bowl season interest.
x.com/cryptocom/s...

📈 @Plus500 shares jumped after it announced a partnership to offer event contracts powered by Kalshi on its U.S. platform, adding to investor enthusiasm around prediction markets despite ongoing state-level legal fights.
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🏈 The National Football League has put prediction markets on its banned Super Bowl advertising categories list, citing game-integrity concerns even as platforms like @Kalshi draw major trading volume and sports-league partnerships elsewhere.
x.com/FOS/status/...

⚖️ A Nevada state court issued a temporary restraining order that forced @Polymarket to geofence Nevada on its U.S. app until at least a February 11th hearing on a possible preliminary injunction.
x.com/WALLACHLEGA...

That's a wrap. Did we miss anything? What do you predict will happen next week?

CFTC Chair Michael Selig publicly signaled support for sports event contracts, including directing staff to withdraw prior rulemaking/advisory actions that raised uncertainty around sports-related event contracts.
x.com/FormerCFTCG...

To the surprise of no one, @Coinbase launched prediction markets inside a new in-app “Predict” section powered by @Kalshi, available across all 50 U.S. states with categories including sports, crypto, and elections.
x.com/coinbase/st...

A Massachusetts judge’s preliminary outline in the @Kalshi case would give the exchange 30 days to geofence Massachusetts and would allow users to sell positions but not increase existing sports-contract exposure.
x.com/WALLACHLEGA...

Later this week, @Polymarket signed a multi-year partnership with @MLS (Major League Soccer and Soccer United Marketing) to become the league’s official and exclusive prediction market partner in the U.S.
x.com/MLS_PR/stat...

Sports 'sweepstakes exchange' @Novig has applied with the @CFTC to become a Designated Contract Market (DCM), signaling a shift away from the sweepstakes model toward federal regulation.
x.com/Sportico/st...

First up: @Forbes says it will launch ForbesPredict, a play-money (token-based) prediction product built with Axiom, with a beta planned for next month as a bid to drive on-site engagement.
x.com/MarkStenber...

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