It seems that Disney never really knew what to do with 538 (Nate's take below), which feels like a real missed opportunity. I hope other outlets will take up the mantle, hire those laid off yesterday, and really invest in data and rigor in journalism - which is more important now than ever.

Interested in how people talk to each other online? Care about causal inference and/or NLP? Want to design and implement field experiments?

Come do a PhD with Dominik Hangartner, me, and a bunch of awesome people at IPL in Zurich:
jobs.ethz.ch/job/view/JOP...

So this is to say:
1) I'm extremely sorry for the error (see corrigendum to the original article here: authors.elsevier.com/a/1jyO3xRaZk...)

2) Huge thanks to @elisabethgraf.bsky.social, @schnizzl.bsky.social and Sylvia Kritzinger for inviting me to collaborate on the correction and extension

and

As it turns out, even with a much larger sample size, we're unable to find evidence of a habituation effect for 16-year-olds - on turnout, polarization, or other outcomes. While we don't have sufficient statistical power to rule out small effects, we can rule out the effects from the original study.

When @elisabethgraf.bsky.social contacted me because she couldn't replicate our work, I was confused. But she had found a major error in our code, one which invalidated our entire analysis.

This is obviously a complete nightmare for anyone who does empirical work. Our conclusions were all wrong -

A thread about being wrong:

5 years ago, we wrote a paper about how how newly enfranchised 16-year-olds vote in Austria. But we were wrong.

This year, @elisabethgraf.bsky.social, @schnizzl.bsky.social, Sylvia Kritzinger and I are setting the record straight: authors.elsevier.com/c/1juT5xRaZk...

😍 the use of baselines when reporting numbers

Made a chart

sometimes brits are european

Any technical job