These incidents have occurred after Ukraine accelerated their campaign of strikes against Russian oil infra. It shows, in my opinion, the psychological impact Ukrainian drones are having on Russian military command. There appears to be significant pressure to find and target Ukrainian drones.

It is unlikely that a Ukrainian drone team would arrive on 26 September and then just hang about in the same spot for 4 days and wait to get hit by a missile. There are also striking similarities between this (Blue) and the strike on a group of deminers (Red) a month ago, also in Chernhiv Oblast.

The Sentinel-1 SAR satellite also detected the arrival of the trucks between 26 September and 29 September. There are no other SAR detections in 2025 and the only detection in 2024 is in late October, also assessed as likely agricultural.

Secondly, sat images from the area shows ongoing agricultural work at a field approximately 1km from the airstrip. The sat imagery also shows what I assess is likely vehicle activity at the airstrip only when the agricultural activity starts suggesting that the two are linked.

Firstly, the footage from the drone at no point shows any evidence of drones being prepared, launched, or transported from or near these trucks. In fact, in at least one of the trucks, what appears to be grain or a similar crop is visible and another appears to be empty.

Very cool find!

This very public meltdown is, of course, fantastic for Russia in the short term. Expect to see this on repeat through their media and also through their supporter's social media channels. This will also cause a lot of concern re: arms supply for Ukraine. Others need to step up.