Kharis Templeman
@kharist.bsky.social
Political scientist w/ Hoover Project on Taiwan in Indo-Pacific @Stanford. Formerly @UMich @UofR. Oregon-born and raised.
Taiwan is on the brink of a constitutional crisis. I detail how it got so bad, so fast, here:
www.kharistempleman.com/blog/taiwan-...
www.kharistempleman.com/blog/taiwan-...
January 20, 2025 at 4:05 AM
Taiwan is on the brink of a constitutional crisis. I detail how it got so bad, so fast, here:
www.kharistempleman.com/blog/taiwan-...
www.kharistempleman.com/blog/taiwan-...
Just got to screenshot this:
November 8, 2024 at 2:36 AM
Just got to screenshot this:
From "Estimating Soviet Military Intentions and Capabilities":
September 24, 2024 at 1:24 AM
From "Estimating Soviet Military Intentions and Capabilities":
I think Michael Mo’s concern here is overstated.
Yes, the speaker of the LY becomes chair of TFD. But the board is what matters, and it’s explicitly bipartisan.
When TFD was created, the pan-blue held the majority in the LY and Wang Jin-pyng was speaker. It still did pro-democracy work.
Yes, the speaker of the LY becomes chair of TFD. But the board is what matters, and it’s explicitly bipartisan.
When TFD was created, the pan-blue held the majority in the LY and Wang Jin-pyng was speaker. It still did pro-democracy work.
January 14, 2024 at 5:15 AM
I think Michael Mo’s concern here is overstated.
Yes, the speaker of the LY becomes chair of TFD. But the board is what matters, and it’s explicitly bipartisan.
When TFD was created, the pan-blue held the majority in the LY and Wang Jin-pyng was speaker. It still did pro-democracy work.
Yes, the speaker of the LY becomes chair of TFD. But the board is what matters, and it’s explicitly bipartisan.
When TFD was created, the pan-blue held the majority in the LY and Wang Jin-pyng was speaker. It still did pro-democracy work.
So this may be overlooked b/c it didn’t change parties, but longtime Highland indigenous legislator 孔文吉 Yosi Takun lost his seat last night.
January 14, 2024 at 2:15 AM
So this may be overlooked b/c it didn’t change parties, but longtime Highland indigenous legislator 孔文吉 Yosi Takun lost his seat last night.
Polls have closed!
All that’s left now is the counting.
To watch the vote tally I’m in a precinct in Banchiao in New Taipei, one that has flipped between green and blue over the last 3 elections.
It’s also Lo Chi-Cheng’s district.
All that’s left now is the counting.
To watch the vote tally I’m in a precinct in Banchiao in New Taipei, one that has flipped between green and blue over the last 3 elections.
It’s also Lo Chi-Cheng’s district.
January 13, 2024 at 8:02 AM
Polls have closed!
All that’s left now is the counting.
To watch the vote tally I’m in a precinct in Banchiao in New Taipei, one that has flipped between green and blue over the last 3 elections.
It’s also Lo Chi-Cheng’s district.
All that’s left now is the counting.
To watch the vote tally I’m in a precinct in Banchiao in New Taipei, one that has flipped between green and blue over the last 3 elections.
It’s also Lo Chi-Cheng’s district.
Kao Hung-an appears to be back in the TPP’s good graces. Last night rally and she’s got the prime position behind Ko:
January 12, 2024 at 1:29 PM
Kao Hung-an appears to be back in the TPP’s good graces. Last night rally and she’s got the prime position behind Ko:
First Hou billboard I’ve seen in Kaohsiung.
In general the campaign posters seem a lot more subdued this cycle, and the DPP’s all look standardized from party central. Perhaps ad game is less important now?
In general the campaign posters seem a lot more subdued this cycle, and the DPP’s all look standardized from party central. Perhaps ad game is less important now?
January 3, 2024 at 12:57 AM
First Hou billboard I’ve seen in Kaohsiung.
In general the campaign posters seem a lot more subdued this cycle, and the DPP’s all look standardized from party central. Perhaps ad game is less important now?
In general the campaign posters seem a lot more subdued this cycle, and the DPP’s all look standardized from party central. Perhaps ad game is less important now?
The TPP has a good pun game:
January 1, 2024 at 8:52 AM
The TPP has a good pun game:
It is so weird to me that Miao Po-ya and Wang Shih-chien are running for the same party in the same city.
The DPP contains multitudes.
The DPP contains multitudes.
December 30, 2023 at 11:44 PM
It is so weird to me that Miao Po-ya and Wang Shih-chien are running for the same party in the same city.
The DPP contains multitudes.
The DPP contains multitudes.
Liked this exhibit at the National Palace Museum - historic late 20th century artifacts.
December 30, 2023 at 2:27 AM
Liked this exhibit at the National Palace Museum - historic late 20th century artifacts.
Today the Stanford Knight Hennessy Scholars study group got to meet legislative candidate Savungaz, who is running in the multimember mountain LY constituency. Great conversation about Taiwan’s indigenous representatives, language policies, and indigenous identity.
December 29, 2023 at 3:37 AM
Today the Stanford Knight Hennessy Scholars study group got to meet legislative candidate Savungaz, who is running in the multimember mountain LY constituency. Great conversation about Taiwan’s indigenous representatives, language policies, and indigenous identity.
Latest in the My Formosa poll of the Taiwan presidential election.
I keep seeing news ledes saying Lai is the likely winner. Maybe. But I don't know how you can look at this trend and say that Lai has the race wrapped up.
I keep seeing news ledes saying Lai is the likely winner. Maybe. But I don't know how you can look at this trend and say that Lai has the race wrapped up.
December 16, 2023 at 4:18 AM
Latest in the My Formosa poll of the Taiwan presidential election.
I keep seeing news ledes saying Lai is the likely winner. Maybe. But I don't know how you can look at this trend and say that Lai has the race wrapped up.
I keep seeing news ledes saying Lai is the likely winner. Maybe. But I don't know how you can look at this trend and say that Lai has the race wrapped up.
Finally, this quote is consistent with what I hear and read from many PRC analysts: they struggle to comprehend why US observers link Taiwan and Ukraine & are concerned about 2027 as a target date to “resolve the Taiwan issue.” In their view it’s a bizarre misreading of Beijing’s intentions.
October 4, 2023 at 8:01 AM
Finally, this quote is consistent with what I hear and read from many PRC analysts: they struggle to comprehend why US observers link Taiwan and Ukraine & are concerned about 2027 as a target date to “resolve the Taiwan issue.” In their view it’s a bizarre misreading of Beijing’s intentions.
And here’s a good distillation of the PRC’s approach to negotiations: first the other side must agree to our core principles before we’ll talk.
Official dialogue always comes with conditions.
Official dialogue always comes with conditions.
October 4, 2023 at 7:53 AM
And here’s a good distillation of the PRC’s approach to negotiations: first the other side must agree to our core principles before we’ll talk.
Official dialogue always comes with conditions.
Official dialogue always comes with conditions.
This is a thoughtful critique of shifts in the US One China policy: why don’t we say more that we won’t oppose unification as long as it is peaceful?
October 4, 2023 at 7:46 AM
This is a thoughtful critique of shifts in the US One China policy: why don’t we say more that we won’t oppose unification as long as it is peaceful?
And the main source of “instability” in the cross-Strait relationship is the “radical actions” of the “Taiwan authority.” There’s no mention of the PRC’s increasingly expansive use of economic and military coercion against Taiwan to try to achieve its political goals.
October 4, 2023 at 7:41 AM
And the main source of “instability” in the cross-Strait relationship is the “radical actions” of the “Taiwan authority.” There’s no mention of the PRC’s increasingly expansive use of economic and military coercion against Taiwan to try to achieve its political goals.
On the not so good side…the pathological suspicion of the DPP is on full display here, in this answer.
There’s no recognition of how moderate Tsai Ing-wen has been, or acknowledgement that public option might constrain what Taiwan leaders can say or do.
There’s no recognition of how moderate Tsai Ing-wen has been, or acknowledgement that public option might constrain what Taiwan leaders can say or do.
October 4, 2023 at 7:35 AM
On the not so good side…the pathological suspicion of the DPP is on full display here, in this answer.
There’s no recognition of how moderate Tsai Ing-wen has been, or acknowledgement that public option might constrain what Taiwan leaders can say or do.
There’s no recognition of how moderate Tsai Ing-wen has been, or acknowledgement that public option might constrain what Taiwan leaders can say or do.
On the good…This is an impressively nuanced and thoughtful answer to a bad leading question:
October 4, 2023 at 7:25 AM
On the good…This is an impressively nuanced and thoughtful answer to a bad leading question: