Kelly Ross
kellybruys.bsky.social
Kelly Ross
@kellybruys.bsky.social
Retired former AFL-CIO Policy Director. "Colonization dehumanizes the colonizer" (Aime Cesaire). He/him. Visca el Barça.
Reposted by Kelly Ross
… while the US pivots to the Eastern front. In other words, a two-front war for Russia and China, but not for the US. The US would surely not assign such a role to Europe without assuring its own control over the operation on the Western front, for which it needs NATO. 9/9
November 19, 2025 at 3:58 PM
Reposted by Kelly Ross
FWIW, I’m not persuaded by Mearsheimer’s main argument here that defeat in Ukraine could lead to the end of NATO. That's certainly not the US plan, which is to avoid a two-front war through a division of labor: using NATO to marshal European resources on the Western front ... 8/9
November 19, 2025 at 3:57 PM
Reposted by Kelly Ross
Ukraine “has suffered roughly 1 million casualties, a staggering number for any country, but certainly for one that is said to be in a ‘demographic death spiral.’ Russia has paid a significant price as well, but it has suffered nowhere near as much as Ukraine.” 7/9
November 19, 2025 at 3:57 PM
Reposted by Kelly Ross
“The likely outcome of the Ukraine war is a frozen conflict between a greater Russia and a rump Ukraine backed by Europe.” Russia will “end up occupying somewhere between 20 to 40 percent of pre-2014 Ukraine.” 6/9
November 19, 2025 at 3:56 PM
Reposted by Kelly Ross
“Russia is clearly winning the war and is likely to prevail. The reason is simple: In a war of attrition, each side tries to bleed the other white, which means that the side that has more soldiers and more firepower is likely to emerge victorious.” 5/9
November 19, 2025 at 3:56 PM
Reposted by Kelly Ross
“While it is widely believed in Europe that Putin is an imperialist who has long been determined to conquer all of Ukraine, and then conquer additional countries west of Ukraine, virtually all the available evidence is at odds with this perspective.” 4/9
November 19, 2025 at 3:55 PM
Reposted by Kelly Ross
“The April 2008 decision to bring Ukraine into NATO, which the West has relentlessly pursued since then, doubling down on that commitment time after time, is the main driving force behind the Ukraine war.” 3/9
November 19, 2025 at 3:55 PM
Reposted by Kelly Ross
“The United States and its European allies," Mearsheimer said, "provoked the war. … The underlying cause of the conflict was the NATO decision to bring Ukraine into the alliance, which virtually all Russian leaders saw as an existential threat that must be eliminated.” 2/9
November 19, 2025 at 3:54 PM
Reposted by Kelly Ross
De Gaulle is spinning in his grave. Everything he warned against is now coming to pass, thanks in no small part to the decisions and behavior over the years of his own political heirs. 5/5
November 21, 2025 at 6:27 PM
Reposted by Kelly Ross
This is a leading reason why the French political and media establishment absolutely *hate* Melenchon (and spend much of their time beating up on him). They don’t trust him to follow orders from imperial HQ, especially when it comes to waging a world war. 4/5
November 21, 2025 at 6:27 PM
Reposted by Kelly Ross
Raphael Glucksman, darling of the US/NATO-aligned political and media establishment who says he wants to transition to a “war economy,” counters that the army chief was “right to alert the nation” and denounces the “spirit of capitulation” of the “ostriches” criticizing him. 3/5
November 21, 2025 at 6:26 PM
Reposted by Kelly Ross
Jean-Luc Melenchon, eco-socialist leader of the French Left, says that in a democracy it’s not the role of an army chief of staff to make such pronouncements or decisions, calls on Macron to bring the army chief in line, and declares, “We do not want war!” 2/5
November 21, 2025 at 6:26 PM
De Gaulle is spinning in his grave. Everything he warned against is now coming to pass, thanks in no small part to the decisions and behavior over the years of his own political heirs. 5/5
November 21, 2025 at 6:27 PM
This is a leading reason why the French political and media establishment absolutely *hate* Melenchon (and spend much of their time beating up on him). They don’t trust him to follow orders from imperial HQ, especially when it comes to waging a world war. 4/5
November 21, 2025 at 6:27 PM
Raphael Glucksman, darling of the US/NATO-aligned political and media establishment who says he wants to transition to a “war economy,” counters that the army chief was “right to alert the nation” and denounces the “spirit of capitulation” of the “ostriches” criticizing him. 3/5
November 21, 2025 at 6:26 PM
Jean-Luc Melenchon, eco-socialist leader of the French Left, says that in a democracy it’s not the role of an army chief of staff to make such pronouncements or decisions, calls on Macron to bring the army chief in line, and declares, “We do not want war!” 2/5
November 21, 2025 at 6:26 PM
… while the US pivots to the Eastern front. In other words, a two-front war for Russia and China, but not for the US. The US would surely not assign such a role to Europe without assuring its own control over the operation on the Western front, for which it needs NATO. 9/9
November 19, 2025 at 3:58 PM
FWIW, I’m not persuaded by Mearsheimer’s main argument here that defeat in Ukraine could lead to the end of NATO. That's certainly not the US plan, which is to avoid a two-front war through a division of labor: using NATO to marshal European resources on the Western front ... 8/9
November 19, 2025 at 3:57 PM
Ukraine “has suffered roughly 1 million casualties, a staggering number for any country, but certainly for one that is said to be in a ‘demographic death spiral.’ Russia has paid a significant price as well, but it has suffered nowhere near as much as Ukraine.” 7/9
November 19, 2025 at 3:57 PM
“The likely outcome of the Ukraine war is a frozen conflict between a greater Russia and a rump Ukraine backed by Europe.” Russia will “end up occupying somewhere between 20 to 40 percent of pre-2014 Ukraine.” 6/9
November 19, 2025 at 3:56 PM