Karim Bekhtiar
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kbekhtiar.bsky.social
Karim Bekhtiar
@kbekhtiar.bsky.social
Post-Doc Researcher IHS Vienna

Applied Labor | Demographic | Political Economics

https://www.ihs.ac.at/de/personen/Karim-Bekhtiar/

Views are my own.
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April 8, 2025 at 7:11 PM
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April 8, 2025 at 2:57 PM
Danke Lukas :)
February 24, 2025 at 7:25 PM
Danke dir :)
February 5, 2025 at 9:51 AM
Danke Benjamin :)
February 5, 2025 at 9:51 AM
Vielen Dank :)
February 5, 2025 at 9:51 AM
Thank you Manuel!
February 4, 2025 at 4:05 PM
Vielen Dank :)
February 4, 2025 at 4:05 PM
Overall the results of this paper highlight that declining labor market prospects strongly contribute to political polarization. Weakening the blow of economic shocks and structural change on those workers most affected is thus likely to contribute to more stability in the political sphere.

8/8
February 4, 2025 at 2:45 PM
Comparing these effects with existing results from the literature on the electoral effects of immigration suggests that the contribution of the manufacturing decline is only slightly smaller than the contribution of immigration.

7/8
February 4, 2025 at 2:45 PM
Examining the separate effects of rising trade exposure and automation technologies suggests that those two forces, which are strongly connected to the manufacturing decline, have both contributed to the increasing effect on far-right vote-shares in roughly equal parts.

6/8
February 4, 2025 at 2:45 PM
These vote gains of the far-right primarily come at the expense of the Social Democratic party, but also (to a lesser extent) of the Conservative party. Overall, the manufacturing decline has contributed to a pronounced rightward shift in the Austrian parliament.

5/8
February 4, 2025 at 2:45 PM
In this paper, I show that these two trends are connected. Applying an instrumental variable strategy shows that declines in manufacturing employment directly led to increases in far-right voting.

4/8
February 4, 2025 at 2:45 PM
The success of the far-right is strongly built on support of the working class, as far-right voters are more reliant on employment in the manufacturing sector, more often work in blue collar occupations, are more likely to be unemployed, are less skilled and are more likely to be male.

3/8
February 4, 2025 at 2:45 PM