Justin Vogt
jvogt.bsky.social
Justin Vogt
@jvogt.bsky.social
Executive Editor at Foreign Affairs (@ForeignAffairs.com)
oh wait now i see you posted a thing about it.

see?

old.
October 24, 2025 at 9:18 PM
i wish that my back didn't hurt all the time and that my hair weren't thinning. still: where's a good guide to these ballot measures? because i don't know what to make of them.
October 24, 2025 at 9:17 PM
really looking forward to this one
October 23, 2025 at 2:18 PM
So, in your view, does this poll reflect a significant phenomenon (falling support for Israel among New Yorkers) that you think is positive? Or should the poll results be discounted because the Times, in your view, lacks credibility on the underlying issue?
September 10, 2025 at 5:55 PM
Because it didn’t, it’s hard to judge the significance of the findings—an indeterminacy reflected by the headline (“Gaza War Turns New Yorkers Against Israel, With Mayor’s Race as Backdrop”).
September 10, 2025 at 5:23 PM
Clearly that’s true for some subset of voters. I just wish the poll had tried to measure the salience of the issue for the entire electorate (as represented by the sample). 1/2
September 10, 2025 at 5:19 PM
But did they vote for him *because* of those things? Or do those things just not really matter that much to them? Big difference between those two explanations.
September 10, 2025 at 3:51 PM
But the poll neglects to measure the salience of this issue for these respondents. How much do they care about it relative to other things?
September 10, 2025 at 3:35 PM
Downright Hutzian
September 5, 2025 at 10:24 PM
yeah the sourcing here is thin. i mean, who knows, maybe this will happen. but i'd want much more to go on before betting on it.
August 25, 2025 at 3:18 PM