Joshua R. Kroeker
@joshuarkroeker.bsky.social
Russia, Ukraine / Geopolitics, History, Security. Consultant, Analyst, CEO @ReaktionGroup (founder). All opinions my own. RT(BS?) ≠ endors
A reaction from the West is not only needed, but is deeply overdue. It is time to take real actions, at the risk of sounding like a broken record. For how long can Russian cynicism and, frankly speaking, complete disregard for human and civilian life be tolerated?
September 9, 2025 at 10:49 AM
A reaction from the West is not only needed, but is deeply overdue. It is time to take real actions, at the risk of sounding like a broken record. For how long can Russian cynicism and, frankly speaking, complete disregard for human and civilian life be tolerated?
Reposted by Joshua R. Kroeker
neue Technologien, die schnell weiterentwickelt werden – auf beiden Seiten. Im neuen Front-Update in Kooperation mit @joshuarkroeker.bsky.social
und der von ihm gegründeten Reaktion Group zeigt
@table.media, wie die Lage in der Ostukraine ist.
Analyse (Abo): table.media/security/ana...
und der von ihm gegründeten Reaktion Group zeigt
@table.media, wie die Lage in der Ostukraine ist.
Analyse (Abo): table.media/security/ana...
August 29, 2025 at 9:58 AM
neue Technologien, die schnell weiterentwickelt werden – auf beiden Seiten. Im neuen Front-Update in Kooperation mit @joshuarkroeker.bsky.social
und der von ihm gegründeten Reaktion Group zeigt
@table.media, wie die Lage in der Ostukraine ist.
Analyse (Abo): table.media/security/ana...
und der von ihm gegründeten Reaktion Group zeigt
@table.media, wie die Lage in der Ostukraine ist.
Analyse (Abo): table.media/security/ana...
6/ Peace talk will continue. But as our analysis shows, a durable settlement remains a distant prospect.
August 22, 2025 at 10:12 AM
6/ Peace talk will continue. But as our analysis shows, a durable settlement remains a distant prospect.
5/ The likeliest outcome: a grinding stalemate.
-Russia presses for U.S. disengagement.
-Europe floats guarantees too weak to deter Moscow.
-Ukraine refuses to surrender core territory.
-Russia presses for U.S. disengagement.
-Europe floats guarantees too weak to deter Moscow.
-Ukraine refuses to surrender core territory.
August 22, 2025 at 10:12 AM
5/ The likeliest outcome: a grinding stalemate.
-Russia presses for U.S. disengagement.
-Europe floats guarantees too weak to deter Moscow.
-Ukraine refuses to surrender core territory.
-Russia presses for U.S. disengagement.
-Europe floats guarantees too weak to deter Moscow.
-Ukraine refuses to surrender core territory.
4/ On the battlefield, Russia briefly advanced near Pokrovsk in mid-August, but was pushed back within days. Both sides continue to absorb heavy losses, but neither feels desperate enough to concede.
August 22, 2025 at 10:12 AM
4/ On the battlefield, Russia briefly advanced near Pokrovsk in mid-August, but was pushed back within days. Both sides continue to absorb heavy losses, but neither feels desperate enough to concede.
3/ At best, symbolic guarantees may emerge: weak enough not to provoke Moscow, yet strong enough to give Kyiv political cover. But such measures would leave Ukraine exposed to renewed aggression.
August 22, 2025 at 10:12 AM
3/ At best, symbolic guarantees may emerge: weak enough not to provoke Moscow, yet strong enough to give Kyiv political cover. But such measures would leave Ukraine exposed to renewed aggression.
2/ Moscow still sees no reason to weaken its hand. Russia’s demands—Ukraine withdrawing from Donbas and limiting its armed forces—remain unacceptable to Kyiv.
Even Western talk of “security guarantees” risks stalling talks, as Russia frames them as foreign intervention.
Even Western talk of “security guarantees” risks stalling talks, as Russia frames them as foreign intervention.
August 22, 2025 at 10:12 AM
2/ Moscow still sees no reason to weaken its hand. Russia’s demands—Ukraine withdrawing from Donbas and limiting its armed forces—remain unacceptable to Kyiv.
Even Western talk of “security guarantees” risks stalling talks, as Russia frames them as foreign intervention.
Even Western talk of “security guarantees” risks stalling talks, as Russia frames them as foreign intervention.
Thank you so much to @hancock2001.bsky.social for your dynamic (and fantastic) edits in this piece as everything was changing on the geopolitical stage while writing it.
July 26, 2025 at 12:20 PM
Thank you so much to @hancock2001.bsky.social for your dynamic (and fantastic) edits in this piece as everything was changing on the geopolitical stage while writing it.
Reposted by Joshua R. Kroeker
vertieft in einer Analyse wird die aktuelle Lage sichtbar.
Danke an @reaktiongroup.bsky.social für die Zusammenarbeit, besonders @joshuarkroeker.bsky.social
Das Update zur milit. Situation in der Ukraine wird etwa alle zwei Wochen erscheinen, mehr erfahren Sie hier:
table.media/security/ana...
Danke an @reaktiongroup.bsky.social für die Zusammenarbeit, besonders @joshuarkroeker.bsky.social
Das Update zur milit. Situation in der Ukraine wird etwa alle zwei Wochen erscheinen, mehr erfahren Sie hier:
table.media/security/ana...
Ukraine-Front-Update: Wie Russland auf Krieg durch Verschleiß setzt
Deutschland und die USA nähern sich bei der Frage der Patriot-Systeme an, und Präsident Donald Trump setzt dem russischen Kriegspräsidenten Wladimir Putin eine...
table.media
July 16, 2025 at 11:16 AM
vertieft in einer Analyse wird die aktuelle Lage sichtbar.
Danke an @reaktiongroup.bsky.social für die Zusammenarbeit, besonders @joshuarkroeker.bsky.social
Das Update zur milit. Situation in der Ukraine wird etwa alle zwei Wochen erscheinen, mehr erfahren Sie hier:
table.media/security/ana...
Danke an @reaktiongroup.bsky.social für die Zusammenarbeit, besonders @joshuarkroeker.bsky.social
Das Update zur milit. Situation in der Ukraine wird etwa alle zwei Wochen erscheinen, mehr erfahren Sie hier:
table.media/security/ana...
Reposted by Joshua R. Kroeker
diese dann aus Verzweiflung nach Europa gingen. Das Problem droht auch beim russisch-ukrainischen Krieg.
Dagegen setzen wir beim @table.media auf regelmäßige Updates zur militärischen Situation in der Ukraine (und zur humanitären sowieso). Auf einen Blick oder ...
Dagegen setzen wir beim @table.media auf regelmäßige Updates zur militärischen Situation in der Ukraine (und zur humanitären sowieso). Auf einen Blick oder ...
July 16, 2025 at 11:16 AM
diese dann aus Verzweiflung nach Europa gingen. Das Problem droht auch beim russisch-ukrainischen Krieg.
Dagegen setzen wir beim @table.media auf regelmäßige Updates zur militärischen Situation in der Ukraine (und zur humanitären sowieso). Auf einen Blick oder ...
Dagegen setzen wir beim @table.media auf regelmäßige Updates zur militärischen Situation in der Ukraine (und zur humanitären sowieso). Auf einen Blick oder ...
Given the divisiveness of Ukraine policy within the Republican Party, whose members include both outspoken supporters and enemies of Ukrainian resistance to Russian aggression, we can unfortunately expect this dynamic to play out again and again
July 13, 2025 at 10:12 AM
Given the divisiveness of Ukraine policy within the Republican Party, whose members include both outspoken supporters and enemies of Ukrainian resistance to Russian aggression, we can unfortunately expect this dynamic to play out again and again
This leads to a contradictory mess that is ultimately adjudicated by a vibe-obsessed executive who, frankly, is not particularly interested in policy wonkery outside of a few core issues, most notably tariffs and immigration.
July 13, 2025 at 10:12 AM
This leads to a contradictory mess that is ultimately adjudicated by a vibe-obsessed executive who, frankly, is not particularly interested in policy wonkery outside of a few core issues, most notably tariffs and immigration.
The result is an administration where every ambitious member of Trumpworld competes to put their own agenda on top of the same Christmas tree.
July 13, 2025 at 10:12 AM
The result is an administration where every ambitious member of Trumpworld competes to put their own agenda on top of the same Christmas tree.
What we are seeing is just one example of a weirdly schizophrenic administration, whose officials range from old school Reaganites like Marco Rubio to newly-minted Republicans like Tulsi Gabbard and RFJ Jr who joined the party strictly for MAGA’s indulgence of conspiracy theories.
July 13, 2025 at 10:12 AM
What we are seeing is just one example of a weirdly schizophrenic administration, whose officials range from old school Reaganites like Marco Rubio to newly-minted Republicans like Tulsi Gabbard and RFJ Jr who joined the party strictly for MAGA’s indulgence of conspiracy theories.
Even Trump denied knowing anything about the stoppage, telling a reporter: “I don’t know. Why don’t you tell me?” when asked who had ordered the shipments paused.
July 13, 2025 at 10:12 AM
Even Trump denied knowing anything about the stoppage, telling a reporter: “I don’t know. Why don’t you tell me?” when asked who had ordered the shipments paused.
The cancellation of Ukraine aid, which was made on the grounds of low U.S. stockpiles, appears to be his thus far most successful attempt to shape actions on the ground, leaving everyone else in Washington blindsided.
July 13, 2025 at 10:12 AM
The cancellation of Ukraine aid, which was made on the grounds of low U.S. stockpiles, appears to be his thus far most successful attempt to shape actions on the ground, leaving everyone else in Washington blindsided.
Among other things, according to a Politico article, he told a British delegation to call back a carrier strike group from Asia Pacific, telling them that “we don’t want you there,” while also calling for a review of AUKUS, intended primarily to counter China.
July 13, 2025 at 10:12 AM
Among other things, according to a Politico article, he told a British delegation to call back a carrier strike group from Asia Pacific, telling them that “we don’t want you there,” while also calling for a review of AUKUS, intended primarily to counter China.
Now that he’s in a position to do more than quarrel online, he has aggressively tried using his office in the Pentagon to play an outsized role in top policymaking. These days, he appears to be leaning all the way into isolationism, even with regards to China.
July 13, 2025 at 10:12 AM
Now that he’s in a position to do more than quarrel online, he has aggressively tried using his office in the Pentagon to play an outsized role in top policymaking. These days, he appears to be leaning all the way into isolationism, even with regards to China.
Colby, grandson of the legendary former CIA head Wiliam Colby, spent much of the Biden presidency complaining on social media that the U.S. was doing too much to help Ukraine and not enough to help Taiwan defend against China
July 13, 2025 at 10:12 AM
Colby, grandson of the legendary former CIA head Wiliam Colby, spent much of the Biden presidency complaining on social media that the U.S. was doing too much to help Ukraine and not enough to help Taiwan defend against China