Once you even start thinking about how to process its implications, that is, any way you slice it, a pretty insane place for the American conversation to be headed right now.

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Reading a "yes" answer as an affirmation of Trump's guilt, at least by association, it would seem that a full 57% of 18-29-year-olds think POTUS sex trafficker, the largest majority of "yes" answers in any age group.

Majorities of people from ages 18-44 think this, in fact.

The July 25-28 poll suggests only 28% of 18-29-year-olds now think Trump is doing a good job as President, a significant decrease from the 2024 election, while only 18% think that he is not involved in crimes with Jeffrey Epstein.

The variation by age is particularly interesting in the context of a recent G Elliott Morris analysis suggesting significant decrease in Trump support among 18-29-year-olds.

The variation by race seems superficially interesting, but, when you take into account the strong correlation between race, party affiliation and yes/no answers, it starts to make sense.

just guessing by view counts & average activity level in the "long tail" (the 95% or so of users who don't get thousands of views/interactions)

I'd be surprised if there's actually a *lot* of bots on here yet

good question

no I haven't

let me know if you find something :)

I'd argue Israel has "been in a continuous, generally winning information war with multiple asymmetric relationships (with adversaries as well as aid-donor states) since its inception."

And part of what happened is that as good as they are, someone screwed up.
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Stupid question, smart answer time: why is this public perception happening now, of all times?

Why weren't previous accusations of intentional starvation as a tactic of war (in 2023 no less) successful?

What made now different?

Virtually the entire recent decline is caused by significant drops (16% each) with Democratic and independent-identifying respondents; approval of Israel's actions amongst Republicans has actually gone up.

As of July 29 2025, Gallup polling data published today suggests just 32% of Americans support Israel’s military action in Gaza.

It was, in fact, a House Representative notable for groping cardboard cutouts of Trump and claiming the existence of “Jewish space lasers”, U.S. Rep. Marjorie Taylor-Green; and it arrives just two days after Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu argued “there is no starvation in Gaza”.

Disinformational beliefs so pervasive that they detach an entire political faction and its elected representatives from reality altogether."

Full post, free, on Patreon:

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...all potentially portend the collapse of the Pax Americana, as Hal Brands argues.

To these three it seems natural to suggest a fourth supplementary and perhaps even alternative causation of international order collapse:

'...or through the collapse of respect for its guiding rules and norms.'

Respectively, the possibility of losing a war to China, the extreme rise in U.S. federal debt service costs, and Trump’s “might makes right” disruption of the basic concepts of sovereignty underlying international law...

BlueSky: What if Twitter wasn't late-stage enshittified by Nazis

Twitter blue-check: I pay the richest man in the world a monthly fee for an imaginary product on a free service. For some reason, this makes me feel important.

Facebook blue-check: I feel like my voice is reaching more people than it does and it doesn't occur to me that it's the algorithm making me think that.

Instagram: I feel like I'm into all the latest most important developments on Instagram no one else knows about, and it doesn't occur to me that the algorithm makes me think that.