John From Albany
johnfromalbany.bsky.social
John From Albany
@johnfromalbany.bsky.social
Upstate Mets Fan - http://metsnewslinks.com - Mets & Mets Minor Leagues

Media Credentials for the Syracuse Mets, Binghamton Rumble Ponies & Brooklyn Cyclones
My New York Mets Top 30 Prospect List: 27 http://dlvr.it/TQqSNB metsnewslinks.com #Mets #LGM #MetsTwitter #27
February 7, 2026 at 9:08 PM
MACK - Top 28 Prospects - 20 - RHRP - Saul Garcia #20
February 7, 2026 at 3:35 PM
MACK - Top 28 Prospects - #20 - RHRP - Saul Garcia
  The excitement about the Mets' prospect pipeline has been building year over year as the team improves their domestic and international scouting.  Many of the Mets' picks are being discussed throughout baseball, so Mack has boiled it down to the top 28 to give the readers a glimpse into the team's future.  This series will run for 28 days, counting down from #28 to #1.  The entire list can be viewed by clicking "2026 Top 28 Prospects" on the top menu bar. 20.    Saul Garcia 2025 -     A+ Brooklyn:   30-apps, 4-2, 1.85, 1.26, 6-SV, 34-IP, 22-BB, 59-K  AA Binghamton:          8-apps, 1-0, 1.32, 1.02, 0-SV, 13.2-IP, 6-BB, 17-K GROK -         Saul García is a right-handed relief pitcher in the New York Mets minor league system.  Born on June 11, 2003, in Naguanagua, Venezuela, he stands at 6’0” and weighs 180 lbs. He will play 2026 as a 23/year old  García signed with the Mets as an international free agent around his 18th birthday and has since emerged as a promising prospect, ranking No. 29 on MLB Pipeline’s Mets Top 30 Prospects list in the 2024-2025 offseason García is considered a late bloomer who has shown significant growth since signing with the Mets. In 2024, he pitched at High-A Brooklyn, where he demonstrated potential as a multi-inning reliever, though the Mets have plans to potentially stretch him out as a starter. His development has focused heavily on improving his command, as strike-throwing is a key area for growth at the lower levels. Mets director of player development Andrew Christie has highlighted García’s work ethic and potential, noting his connection to the Flores family and their shared dedication to the game. In 2024, García’s performance included a 3.86 ERA over an unspecified number of innings, with a focus on refining his pitch arsenal and control. While his ultimate role may be in the bullpen due to his current skill set, the Mets are keeping him in a starter’s role for now to maximize his development. Pitch Repertoire García’s pitching arsenal consists of three primary pitches, with his fastball and slider being his standout offerings: Fastball: Described as a “real interesting” pitch, García’s fastball sits in the mid-to-high 90s and is noted for its ability to “get above barrels very well,” indicating good life and deception. This pitch is considered Major League average or better when he’s at his best, making it a key weapon in his arsenal. Slider: His slider, thrown in the low-80s, features a sweeping break and is also rated as a Major League average pitch. It complements his fastball well, generating swings and misses when executed properly. The slider’s movement and velocity make it a strong secondary pitch. Changeup: García’s changeup is less developed compared to his fastball and slider. It’s described as a work in progress, but he’s been working to refine it, adding depth to his repertoire as he develops. Outlook    García’s current profile suggests a future as a high-leverage reliever, though the Mets are still exploring his potential as a starter. His ability to throw strikes consistently will be critical to his progression, as command issues are a common challenge for young pitchers. His fastball-slider combination gives him a solid foundation. As of 2025, he’s likely to continue climbing the Mets’ minor league ladder, potentially reaching Triple-A Syracuse if he maintains his trajectory. MACK – I’m a big fan of the reliever no one writes about. I expect Saul to be done with his minor league career by the end of next season and be ready to join the Mets pen come opening day 2027.   11-6-2025 Tom Brennan/MM 19. RHP Saul Garcia Saul here was a hard throwing wild man pre-2025.  Would he harness it in 2025?  YES!  Still on the wild side, but improving, righty Saul Garcia was 5-2 in AA and High A, with a 1.70 ERA and a .173 BAA.  He walked 28, but fanned 76 in 48 innings, and 6 of 7 in saves. The 22 year old 6’0, 180 Garcia from Venezuela has fanned 325 in 236 career innings.  The Mets always need pen arms, and he should debut with the Mets some time in 2026, one would think.   11-16-25 – John From Albany/MM RHP Saul Garcia went 5-2 with a 1.70 ERA for Brooklyn and Binghamton in 2025,  He had 76 Ks in 47.2 innings.  In September, Baseball America had him on their list of 10 best performing fastballs in 2025. They noted: "Pitching from a lower release height, Garcia sits 94-96 mph with more than 2500 rpm of spin on average."  If he doesn't get added to the 40-Man or the Syracuse Roster to keep him out of the minor league portion, there is a good chance he will be selected.   12-2-2025 Steve Sica/MM RHP Saul García: When looking at the entire Met system in 2025, you’d be hard-pressed to find a better season than the one that Saul García put together. Across High-A and Double-A, García made 38 appearances, pitched in 47 innings, and had an ERA of just 1.70. He faced a total of 202 batters and allowed a home run to just three of them. His 1.32 ERA for Binghamton helped the team win its first Eastern League title in over a decade. This season was a revelation for García, who, up until 2025, had struggled in the Minors since joining the Mets system in 2021. However, this year, the Mets opted to use him as a reliever instead of a starter, and the experiment couldn’t have gone better. The Mets left him unprotected in next week’s draft, and now will have to wait and see if García’s turnaround continues in their organization, or if they will have to watch his next chapter on another franchise.   12-2-2025 Ernest Dove      @ernestdove My ongoing concern is losing RP Saul Garcia. I continue to see him as a Dedniel Nunez/Jerrys Familia type pen arm at his best. Command is the obvious concern.   1-17-2026 MACK/MM Saul Garcia – a recent addition to the 40, I expect Garcia to mirror Lambert and be a mainstay at Syracuse in 2026, the difference being they should not give him a promotion at any time in 2026 to Queens. 2027 is the year of Garcia.
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February 7, 2026 at 3:31 PM
How the Mets rank in playoff wins since 1998 http://dlvr.it/TQqClZ metsnewslinks.com #Mets #LGM #MetsTwitter
February 7, 2026 at 3:13 PM
Today's NY Back Pages and Mets Headlines: 2/7/26 http://dlvr.it/TQqBV1 metsnewslinks.com #Mets #LGM #MetsTwitter
February 7, 2026 at 2:46 PM
Today's NY Back Pages and Mets Headlines: 2/7/26
  Good Morning.  Happy Birthday Benny Ayala, Charlie Puleo, and Endy Chavez.  Mets News: SNY on YouTube: Tobias Myers on going the Mets 2/6/26 * Hernandez re-ups with SNY's Mets booth for next 3 seasons (MLB.com) * What are the Mets getting in Robert? Three numbers explain it (MLB.com) * Which teams have the best 1-2 punches atop their rotations? (MLB.com) * Francisco Lindor among those left off Puerto Rico's World Baseball Classic roster over insurance coverage (Newsday) Born on this date: * Benny Ayala (1951) * Charlie Puleo (1955) * Endy Chavez (1978) * Ty Adock (1997) Transactions: New York Mets traded Hank Webb and Richard Sander to the Los Angeles Dodgers for Rick Auerbach on February 7, 1977. Mickey Lolich announced his retirement on February 7, 1977. New York Mets released Ross Jones on February 7, 1986. New York Mets claimed David Lamb on waivers from the Tampa Bay Devil Rays on February 7, 2000. Seattle Mariners signed Kelly Shoppach of the New York Mets as a free agent on February 7, 2013. New York Mets signed free agent Todd Frazier of the New York Yankees on February 7, 2018. Pittsburgh Pirates signed Chasen Shreve of the New York Mets as a free agent on February 7, 2021. National Pastime.com:  1979 Jesse Orosco becomes 'the player to be named later' in the Mets' trade of Jerry Koosman to the Twins. The left-handed reliever will spend 24 seasons in the major leagues, setting the record for appearances with 1,252. Baseball Reference.com: 2010 - The Leones del Escogido, representing the Dominican League, win the 2010 Caribbean Series with a 7 - 4 victory over the Leones del Caracas of the Venezuelan League in La Asunción, Nueva Esparta, Venezuela. Escogido finishes the tournament with a 5-1 record and Mets OF prospect Fernando Martinez is named the Series' MVP after hitting .348 with 2 homers and 4 RBI. It is Escogido's third Caribbean championship and first since 1990. 2/7/2018 Todd Frazier signs a two-year, $16 million contract with the Mets. In his first stint in Queens, Fraizer hit .233 with 39 home runs in 248 games.@FlavaFraz21 pic.twitter.com/BmqBKZw0E3— This Day in Mets History (@NYMhistory) February 7, 2022
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February 7, 2026 at 2:40 PM
Press Release: Binghamton Rumble Ponies To Play As Southern Tier Scoop Scoundrels http://dlvr.it/TQq9fK metsnewslinks.com #Mets #LGM #MetsTwitter
February 7, 2026 at 2:19 PM
RVH - Reading the Season: The Mechanics and Rhythms of 162
February 7, 2026 at 2:05 PM
RVH - Reading the Season: The Mechanics and Rhythms of 162
  The 2026 baseball season is rapidly approaching, with less than two weeks until pitchers and catchers report to Spring Training. For fans, this is usually the time of year dominated by “What if?” and “Who’s next?” We argue over roster spots and projected win totals, trying to predict the unpredictable. But as we transition into a new season, it’s worth stepping back and examining the actual mechanics, rhythms, and characteristics of a 162-game MLB season. To understand what we are about to watch, we first have to understand the instrument itself. --- An Organic Evolution: America’s Summertime Rhythm The 162-game schedule isn’t a historical accident or a dusty relic of the radio era. It is an organic evolution, shaped by how the sport is played and how it has always been consumed. Unlike other sports built around scarcity and once-a-week spectacles, baseball evolved as a daily cadence. The three-game series, the local club, the routine of checking in night after night — these weren’t design flaws. They were features. The series is the smallest unit that allows variance to breathe. Biomechanically, baseball’s lower per-game intensity made daily repetition possible. Culturally, that repetition turned the game into America’s summertime rhythm — a steady presence that doesn’t demand full attention all at once, but instead provides a continuous signal over six months. --- The Truth in the Volume: A Variance-Resolution Machine Why 162 games? Because baseball is a high-variance, low-intensity (per game) sport that requires an enormous sample size just to know what’s true. In short bursts, luck — or ignition — can win. Over 162 games, the random bounces, weather effects, and late-inning bloops eventually flatten out. The season functions as a variance-resolution machine. Variance doesn’t fade gradually. It collapses. That collapse is the Variance Cliff. A .300 hitter still fails 70% of the time. Even an elite .400 OBP player fails 60% of the time. Baseball is a game of constant failure, and the marathon isn’t designed to avoid it — it’s designed to exhaust luck until only structural reality remains. --- The Three Buckets of a Season Every year, regardless of team quality, the 162 games naturally settle into three analytical buckets. These aren’t precise league constants, but they’re remarkably stable year to year and extremely useful for diagnosis. For simplicity, think of a 30 / 30 / 40 split: * One-Run Games (≈30%) Roughly 48–50 games. This is the coin-flip bucket, dominated by late-inning variance. * Blowouts (5+ Runs) (≈30%) Another 48–50 games. This is the separation bucket, where talent gaps and system dominance show up most clearly. * Competitive Games (2–4 Runs) (≈40%) About 65 games per season. This is the grind — the largest segment and the true test of roster depth, execution, and organizational health. --- Successful vs. Unsuccessful Seasons The difference between a playoff-competitive team and a non-playoff team isn’t just the final record. It’s how the team performs inside these buckets. Game Type Successful Seasons (2022, 2024 Avg) Non-Playoff Seasons (2021, 2023, 2025 Avg) Blowouts (5+ Runs) .602 .528 One-Run Games .610 .470 Competitive Games .558 .457 The key insight isn’t the blowouts or the coin flips. It’s the Competitive Middle. Notice where the widest separation lives: games where neither team ever pulls away. --- Why the Competitive Middle Is the Diagnostic Core Blowouts are about talent. You can win them because your ace dominates or your star hits two home runs. One-run games are about variance. Even elite teams rarely sustain high winning percentages in these without luck. The Competitive Middle is different. These games are won because your fourth starter gives you six innings, your middle relief bridges the gap, and your lineup executes without relying on heroics. A three-run lead in the seventh inning isn’t a coin flip. It’s a test of structure and process. If the season is a variance-resolution machine, the middle 40% is its primary filter. --- The “So What”: Why the Season Demands a Grind-Capable Roster If the 162-game season is a variance-resolution machine, then the Competitive Middle is where that machine actually does its work. Blowouts reveal talent ceilings. One-run games magnify luck. But the 2–4 run games — the middle 40% of the season — are where rosters are stress-tested for structural integrity. These games don’t reward brilliance or magic. They reward depth, redundancy, and mistake tolerance. This is where the idea of a system-complete roster matters. A grind-capable roster doesn’t need everything to go right. It needs the capacity to absorb what inevitably goes wrong — a short start from the fourth starter, a middle-relief arm having an off week, a lineup that has to win without its stars carrying the night. In the Competitive Middle, teams win because the system can survive a mistake without cascading into failure. This is also where seasons quietly unravel. When the Competitive Middle collapses, the roster turns into a consumptive sink. Losses stop being isolated events and begin to compound. The team is forced to win nearly every coin-flip one-run game just to stay afloat — a biological and statistical impossibility over six months. This is how competitive seasons become survival tests. The core takeaway isn’t that elite talent doesn’t matter. It’s that talent alone can’t carry the grind. Over 162 games, the season demands a roster built not just for upside, but for durability under continuous stress. That’s the lens this series will use to evaluate 2026 — not whether the Mets can reach a theoretical ceiling, but whether they are finally constructed to avoid the structural failures that have undone recent seasons. --- The Competitive Middle as the Floor Playoff teams use the Competitive Middle as their floor. In the 101-win 2022 season, the Mets won .645 of these games. In the unsuccessful 2023 season, that number collapsed to .406. Strong teams don’t need everything to break right in one-run games to survive. They consistently win enough of the 2–4 run grinds that a bad week of coin flips doesn’t derail the season. They “gate” losses, typically staying above .500 in all three buckets at the same time. That’s the difference between noise and structure. --- What Comes Next As we get closer to Opening Day, this series will return to these three buckets repeatedly — not to judge streaks or early standings, but to diagnose how the 2026 roster absorbs stress across a full season. In April, the standings often just reflect which way the coin flipped. The truth of a baseball season takes much longer to show its face.
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February 7, 2026 at 2:01 PM
SAVAGE VIEWS – Projected vs Actual 2025
February 7, 2026 at 12:35 PM
SAVAGE VIEWS – Projected vs Actual 2025
     At the start of every year, I do a projection as to how well individual players will fare during the upcoming season. I fully expected the 2025 team to field a dynamic hitting group of position players that would break previous records, especially with the addition of Juan Soto. Truth be told, the team, as a whole, underperformed my projections.  Let’s take a look.   PROJECTED 2025 ACTUAL 2025 PLAYER  BA HRS RBI PLAYER  BA HRS RBI Francisco Lindor      0.280 34 108 Francisco Lindor   0.267 31 86 Mark Vientos      0.265 38 96 Mark Vientos   0.233 17 61 Juan Soto      0.292 42 120 Juan Soto   0.263 43 105 Pete Alonso      0.262 45 126 Pete Alonso   0.272 38 126 Brandon Nimmo      0.285 23 72 Brandon Nimmo   0.262 25 92 Francisco Alvarez      0.256 35 85 Francisco Alvarez   0.256 11 32 Jeff McNeil      0.312 18 72 Jeff McNeil   0.243 13 54 Winkler Marte      0.240 15 60 Winkler Marte   0.254 10 54 Taylor Seri      0.230 21 62 Taylor Seri   0.207 9 35 Torres Acuna      0.250 8 48 Torres Acuna   0.229 5 37 Brett Baty   0.254 18 50 Others 4 14 TOTALS 279 849 224 746   What’s funny is that although I forecast the Mets as having a strong offensive year, I did not feel confident that they were playoff bound. I had too many concerns about the pitching staff. In the end that turned out to be the case. However, the lack of consistent offensive production was a major factor in us missing the playoffs.  Looking back, I was especially disappointed in the regression of the “baby Mets”. None of Baty, Alvarez or Vientos took the next step forward, If the Mets are to be successful in 2026, at least two of these three need to make a major contribution. Only Soto, Alonso and Nimmo met or exceeded projections last year. My next post in two weeks will be a projection of how well I expect our hitters to do this upcoming season. Ray February 7, 2026
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February 7, 2026 at 12:32 PM
Reese Kaplan --- Mets News and Blues Heading to Port St. Lucie
February 7, 2026 at 11:05 AM
Reese Kaplan --- Mets News and Blues Heading to Port St. Lucie
Well, the folks who somehow held onto this fantasy that the Mets were going to make an 11th hour deal to bring uber pitcher Tarik Skubal to Queens got a nasty gut punch on Thursday when it was revealed that he shattered the arbitration record by obtaining a $32 million salary for the 2026 season.  So now obtaining Skubal would require not only a huge passel of players in trade as well as a major payroll commitment while not receiving any guarantee of anything other than a one-year teammate who obviously will seek to smash the existing payroll records for a young free agent in 2027.  Sometimes it’s best simply to let a dream die. It’s interesting to see players like Miguel Andujar, Luis Arraez, Eugenio Suarez and Austin Hays all signed free agent contracts to play for new employers while the Mets with their glaring holes in left field and at DH have done nothing.  What David Stearns is doing while awaiting last minute bargains has thus far resulted in a severely dwindling marketplace of available players while others who make last minute deals like Framber Valdez push the annual pay rate higher than was anticipated.  Patience is a good thing sometimes.  Other times it appears to be passivity while more active teams improve their rosters. The big Pittsburgh rumor that surfaced this week had one of Brett Baty or Mark Vientos moving onto the Steel City in exchange for some heretofore unknown pitcher options.  While the idea of breaking up the ill fitting and positionless player mix on the Mets makes sense, the ongoing frustration of the fans and media with the lack of movement in roster improvement resulted in a maelstrom of enthusiastic and hopeful coverage of something from nothing finally happening.  It is really irritating that the fans have succumbed to the anything is better than nothing approach given how the roster holes are still not addressed with Spring Training starting on Wednesday.  Roster battles to watch include the great left field experiment.  As it stands right now in addition to the never-before corner infielder evaluation you have to wonder who is going to patrol next to newcomer Luis Robert, Jr.  People have heard Brett Baty’s name surface more than once given his former homes at 3B and 2B now taken by newcomers.  He’s not played any outfield at all in the past but force feeding players into new positions is being considered not so much out of need caused by emergency injuries but through lack of planning.  If not Baty, then plan B would appear to be light hitting Tyrone Taylor or AAA veteran of just 90 ABs, Carson Benge.  Then there’s the ongoing question about the 6+ man starting rotation.  Right now you have Freddy Peralta, Kodai Senga, Sean Manaea, Clay Holmes, David Peterson and Nolan McLean.  In addition you have youngsters like Jonah Tong and Christian Scott waiting in the wings.  It would seem that the club is likely better than they have been in the recent past yet at the same time many advocate the Mets trade for another difference-maker starting pitcher.  The selected five or six handling this duty is yet not crystal clear.  In the bullpen injuries and ineffectiveness make the last few choices somewhat unclear.  Right now you would have to pencil in a hopefully healthy A.J. Minter, Brooks Raley, Devin Williams, Tobias Myers and Luke Weaver for sure.  Then it gets a bit murkier.  One name on a minor league deal is future Cooperstown plaque owner Craig Kimbrel in camp on a minor league deal.   Assuming he is healthy that’s six pitchers already.  After that you have 39 year old veteran Luis Garcia, former Marlin Huascar Brazoban and a variety of AAAA types including Austin Warren, Justin Hagenman, Joey Gerber and Alex Carillo.  You also have never-before-promoted older rookie Dylan Ross.  It’s possible another formidable arm could supplant one or more of this final collection of seven possibilities but that is work still undone as trucks have already left from New York to Florida.  Then there are the bench possibilities.  No one is sure what will become of Baty and Vientos, but it also leaves Ronny Mauricio in roster limbo.  Newcomer Vidal Brujan is another infielder.  Then there is Jared Young and rookie Nick Morabito.  It would seem some veteran presence here might be needed as insurance should any of the starters have long term injuries.  Again, nothing is floating around in the rumor mill about who might fit in this regard other than the minor league deal given to Austin Barnes who could easily push Hayden Senger and/or Luis Torrens off the roster.  Overall it would seem there’s still a lot of roster work to be done.
dlvr.it
February 7, 2026 at 11:02 AM
My New York Mets Top 30 Prospect List : 28 http://dlvr.it/TQpbdp metsnewslinks.com #Mets #LGM #MetsTwitter #28
February 6, 2026 at 9:32 PM
SNY on YouTube: Tobias Myers on going the Mets 2/6/26 http://dlvr.it/TQpV6p metsnewslinks.com #Mets #LGM #MetsTwitter
February 6, 2026 at 7:21 PM