JLRay
@jlray.bsky.social
Texas. Senior director of polling at YouGov. Adviser to Young Men Research Initiative.
johnlray.github.io
johnlray.github.io
These ads play on local country radio here in central Texas pretty much constantly and it's hard to appreciate how blatant the corruption is without hearing them (I sometimes see them on YouTube, but mostly experience them as audio). They're just Presidential campaign ads.
youtu.be/hezXQvjzCkQ?...
youtu.be/hezXQvjzCkQ?...
November 20, 2025 at 5:10 AM
These ads play on local country radio here in central Texas pretty much constantly and it's hard to appreciate how blatant the corruption is without hearing them (I sometimes see them on YouTube, but mostly experience them as audio). They're just Presidential campaign ads.
youtu.be/hezXQvjzCkQ?...
youtu.be/hezXQvjzCkQ?...
I know this isn't the point but it's funny that every single news story involving the DOJ seems to be rife with quotes from judges and other legal experts to the effect that "everyone on Trump's legal team is a fucking moron"
open.substack.com/pub/thedownb...
open.substack.com/pub/thedownb...
November 20, 2025 at 1:10 AM
I know this isn't the point but it's funny that every single news story involving the DOJ seems to be rife with quotes from judges and other legal experts to the effect that "everyone on Trump's legal team is a fucking moron"
open.substack.com/pub/thedownb...
open.substack.com/pub/thedownb...
This is more or less verbatim how Trump said ICE would be able to act under his presidency - including when breaking state or local laws in pursuit of Trump's agenda. Seems noteworthy how Trump empowers pedophiles wherever he possibly can.
An ICE employee was among 16 men arrested after trying to solicit a minor for sex in Bloomington, Minnesota, police say
"When he was arrested, he said, 'I'm ICE, boys,'" Bloomington Police Chief Booker Hodges said during a press conference. "Well, unfortunately for him, we locked him up."
"When he was arrested, he said, 'I'm ICE, boys,'" Bloomington Police Chief Booker Hodges said during a press conference. "Well, unfortunately for him, we locked him up."
November 19, 2025 at 6:06 PM
This is more or less verbatim how Trump said ICE would be able to act under his presidency - including when breaking state or local laws in pursuit of Trump's agenda. Seems noteworthy how Trump empowers pedophiles wherever he possibly can.
Reposted by JLRay
ICE employee among 16 men arrested in Bloomington sex trafficking sting, police say.
"When he was arrested, he said, 'I'm ICE, boys,'" Hodges said during a press conference Tuesday. "Well, unfortunately for him, we locked him up."
"When he was arrested, he said, 'I'm ICE, boys,'" Hodges said during a press conference Tuesday. "Well, unfortunately for him, we locked him up."
ICE employee among 16 men arrested in Bloomington sex trafficking sting, police say
According to Bloomington Police Chief Booker Hodges, officers started the three-day sting on Nov. 5. They used several methods to find people who were attempting to solicit a 17-year-old girl for sex.
www.cbsnews.com
November 18, 2025 at 11:59 PM
ICE employee among 16 men arrested in Bloomington sex trafficking sting, police say.
"When he was arrested, he said, 'I'm ICE, boys,'" Hodges said during a press conference Tuesday. "Well, unfortunately for him, we locked him up."
"When he was arrested, he said, 'I'm ICE, boys,'" Hodges said during a press conference Tuesday. "Well, unfortunately for him, we locked him up."
The latest from @ymriofficial.bsky.social -- some conspicuous silence, and notable noise, on which parts of the manospnere are talking about Epstein and which aren't.
open.substack.com/pub/youngmen...
open.substack.com/pub/youngmen...
November 17, 2025 at 11:45 PM
The latest from @ymriofficial.bsky.social -- some conspicuous silence, and notable noise, on which parts of the manospnere are talking about Epstein and which aren't.
open.substack.com/pub/youngmen...
open.substack.com/pub/youngmen...
If you're boarding at gate 12 you could walk past gates 9, 10, 11 and see a sign that says "gate 12 is right around the corner, it's always been there, right between 11 and 13" but by god the gate simply doesn't exist until you do a slow stroll past it yourself. i don't make the rules.
November 17, 2025 at 6:32 PM
If you're boarding at gate 12 you could walk past gates 9, 10, 11 and see a sign that says "gate 12 is right around the corner, it's always been there, right between 11 and 13" but by god the gate simply doesn't exist until you do a slow stroll past it yourself. i don't make the rules.
For just $7,999,999,999.99 I will help Rick Caruso ask people whether they are liberal, moderate, or conservative
Rick Caruso is worth $8 billion and yet he hires this type of person to write survey questions for him. Money well spent, my dude!
Ok buddy
November 17, 2025 at 6:28 PM
For just $7,999,999,999.99 I will help Rick Caruso ask people whether they are liberal, moderate, or conservative
still thinking about this spam from a Democratic Senator that told me Mikie Sherrill (+8 over 2024, +11 over 2021) and Abigail Spanberger (+11 over 2024 +18 over 2021) were "not particularly strong candidates" and that I should give to Graham Platner instead
November 15, 2025 at 11:44 PM
still thinking about this spam from a Democratic Senator that told me Mikie Sherrill (+8 over 2024, +11 over 2021) and Abigail Spanberger (+11 over 2024 +18 over 2021) were "not particularly strong candidates" and that I should give to Graham Platner instead
About 1 in 3 Trump voters now express "regret" or "disappointment." Weakest MAGA has ever been.
November 15, 2025 at 4:56 PM
About 1 in 3 Trump voters now express "regret" or "disappointment." Weakest MAGA has ever been.
Reposted by JLRay
The latest from @ymriofficial.bsky.social : The "debate me!" format is fun to watch but likely unproductive, lathering rhetorical gloss over actually talking about what we're talking about. Making disagreement spectacle makes persuasion harder
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/online-deb...
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/online-deb...
Online Debates Are Warping Gen Z's Civil Discourse
From Jubilee to college campuses, the back-and-forth debate format has become distorted
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com
November 14, 2025 at 2:40 PM
The latest from @ymriofficial.bsky.social : The "debate me!" format is fun to watch but likely unproductive, lathering rhetorical gloss over actually talking about what we're talking about. Making disagreement spectacle makes persuasion harder
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/online-deb...
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/online-deb...
thinking about how the president with the highest approval ratings in the history of reliable measurement of such, saw the nation through its worst terrorist attack, devastated the opposition's core coalition in reelection, wasn't even invited to his party's nominating convention the next term
Not enough people realizing we are in the lame duck years now.
Trump un-endorses Marjorie Taylor Greene
November 15, 2025 at 2:11 AM
thinking about how the president with the highest approval ratings in the history of reliable measurement of such, saw the nation through its worst terrorist attack, devastated the opposition's core coalition in reelection, wasn't even invited to his party's nominating convention the next term
Statistically, the voters who are at around peak persuadability on the basis of the Epstein scandal were not alive when Bill Clinton was President. Imagine telling a mid-2000s Millennial that a scandal could bring down George Bush but they'd also lose dear old Truman.
November 15, 2025 at 12:17 AM
Statistically, the voters who are at around peak persuadability on the basis of the Epstein scandal were not alive when Bill Clinton was President. Imagine telling a mid-2000s Millennial that a scandal could bring down George Bush but they'd also lose dear old Truman.
Reposted by JLRay
A majority of Americans disapprove of ICE. More Americans approve of protests against ICE than disapprove of them. Why? Maybe because many Americans think ICE is too forceful and are worried ICE could mistreat someone they know.
New article at @today.yougov.com: today.yougov.com/politics/art...
New article at @today.yougov.com: today.yougov.com/politics/art...
November 14, 2025 at 8:58 PM
A majority of Americans disapprove of ICE. More Americans approve of protests against ICE than disapprove of them. Why? Maybe because many Americans think ICE is too forceful and are worried ICE could mistreat someone they know.
New article at @today.yougov.com: today.yougov.com/politics/art...
New article at @today.yougov.com: today.yougov.com/politics/art...
Family only allowed to do this for me if they're remaking the Itchy & Scratchy perpetual murder cycle
November 14, 2025 at 8:44 PM
Family only allowed to do this for me if they're remaking the Itchy & Scratchy perpetual murder cycle
Seems like Glenn Youngkin should probably be made to waste his retirement years being hauled in front of a committee and humiliated for his role in all this. Absolute snake of a human being, who degraded his state's higher ed institutions to appease a loser who hates him, to no productive end for VA
Former UVA president Jim Ryan, who resigned over the summer due to pressure from the Trump Administration, just shared this 12-page letter with the Faculty Senate, detailing his experience with the Board of Visitors and DOJ.
It's a surreal--and troubling--read.
drive.google.com/file/d/1Is6x...
It's a surreal--and troubling--read.
drive.google.com/file/d/1Is6x...
November 14, 2025 at 3:52 PM
Seems like Glenn Youngkin should probably be made to waste his retirement years being hauled in front of a committee and humiliated for his role in all this. Absolute snake of a human being, who degraded his state's higher ed institutions to appease a loser who hates him, to no productive end for VA
The latest from @ymriofficial.bsky.social : The "debate me!" format is fun to watch but likely unproductive, lathering rhetorical gloss over actually talking about what we're talking about. Making disagreement spectacle makes persuasion harder
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/online-deb...
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/online-deb...
Online Debates Are Warping Gen Z's Civil Discourse
From Jubilee to college campuses, the back-and-forth debate format has become distorted
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com
November 14, 2025 at 2:40 PM
The latest from @ymriofficial.bsky.social : The "debate me!" format is fun to watch but likely unproductive, lathering rhetorical gloss over actually talking about what we're talking about. Making disagreement spectacle makes persuasion harder
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/online-deb...
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/online-deb...
Reposted by JLRay
I am contractually obligated to add that Jay Powell chairs the Fed because Trump felt Janet Yellen was too short for the job. www.washingtonpost.com/politics/tru...
November 14, 2025 at 1:34 PM
I am contractually obligated to add that Jay Powell chairs the Fed because Trump felt Janet Yellen was too short for the job. www.washingtonpost.com/politics/tru...
Reposted by JLRay
Really fascinating conversation with @cgaldieri.bsky.social about New Hampshire - great in-depth analysis of why NH "sends Democrats to DC and Republicans to Concord."
It is, unfortunately, prefaced by some pollster running his mouth about survey experiments.
It is, unfortunately, prefaced by some pollster running his mouth about survey experiments.
We've got a jam-packed podcast this week!
First up is @jlray.bsky.social to discuss a fascinating polling experiment we conducted w/YouGov Blue.
Then we talk to @cgaldieri.bsky.social about all things New Hampshire, including the already nasty GOP Senate primary.
Listen here!
First up is @jlray.bsky.social to discuss a fascinating polling experiment we conducted w/YouGov Blue.
Then we talk to @cgaldieri.bsky.social about all things New Hampshire, including the already nasty GOP Senate primary.
Listen here!
The inside scoop on The Downballot's new polling
Listen now | And a deep dive into New Hampshire politics with Chris Galdieri
www.the-downballot.com
November 13, 2025 at 5:22 PM
Really fascinating conversation with @cgaldieri.bsky.social about New Hampshire - great in-depth analysis of why NH "sends Democrats to DC and Republicans to Concord."
It is, unfortunately, prefaced by some pollster running his mouth about survey experiments.
It is, unfortunately, prefaced by some pollster running his mouth about survey experiments.
Reposted by JLRay
We've got a jam-packed podcast this week!
First up is @jlray.bsky.social to discuss a fascinating polling experiment we conducted w/YouGov Blue.
Then we talk to @cgaldieri.bsky.social about all things New Hampshire, including the already nasty GOP Senate primary.
Listen here!
First up is @jlray.bsky.social to discuss a fascinating polling experiment we conducted w/YouGov Blue.
Then we talk to @cgaldieri.bsky.social about all things New Hampshire, including the already nasty GOP Senate primary.
Listen here!
The inside scoop on The Downballot's new polling
Listen now | And a deep dive into New Hampshire politics with Chris Galdieri
www.the-downballot.com
November 13, 2025 at 4:48 PM
We've got a jam-packed podcast this week!
First up is @jlray.bsky.social to discuss a fascinating polling experiment we conducted w/YouGov Blue.
Then we talk to @cgaldieri.bsky.social about all things New Hampshire, including the already nasty GOP Senate primary.
Listen here!
First up is @jlray.bsky.social to discuss a fascinating polling experiment we conducted w/YouGov Blue.
Then we talk to @cgaldieri.bsky.social about all things New Hampshire, including the already nasty GOP Senate primary.
Listen here!
Really fascinating conversation with @cgaldieri.bsky.social about New Hampshire - great in-depth analysis of why NH "sends Democrats to DC and Republicans to Concord."
It is, unfortunately, prefaced by some pollster running his mouth about survey experiments.
It is, unfortunately, prefaced by some pollster running his mouth about survey experiments.
We've got a jam-packed podcast this week!
First up is @jlray.bsky.social to discuss a fascinating polling experiment we conducted w/YouGov Blue.
Then we talk to @cgaldieri.bsky.social about all things New Hampshire, including the already nasty GOP Senate primary.
Listen here!
First up is @jlray.bsky.social to discuss a fascinating polling experiment we conducted w/YouGov Blue.
Then we talk to @cgaldieri.bsky.social about all things New Hampshire, including the already nasty GOP Senate primary.
Listen here!
The inside scoop on The Downballot's new polling
Listen now | And a deep dive into New Hampshire politics with Chris Galdieri
www.the-downballot.com
November 13, 2025 at 5:22 PM
Really fascinating conversation with @cgaldieri.bsky.social about New Hampshire - great in-depth analysis of why NH "sends Democrats to DC and Republicans to Concord."
It is, unfortunately, prefaced by some pollster running his mouth about survey experiments.
It is, unfortunately, prefaced by some pollster running his mouth about survey experiments.
The latest from YouGov (n~4.6k) -- pretty much everyone thinks Trump knew Epstein. And almost no one thinks he knew "nothing" about what Epstein was doing. By a +12 margin, people think Trump was involved.
today.yougov.com/topics/overv...
today.yougov.com/topics/overv...
November 13, 2025 at 2:13 PM
The latest from YouGov (n~4.6k) -- pretty much everyone thinks Trump knew Epstein. And almost no one thinks he knew "nothing" about what Epstein was doing. By a +12 margin, people think Trump was involved.
today.yougov.com/topics/overv...
today.yougov.com/topics/overv...
Reposted by JLRay
New from @ymriofficial.bsky.social - we're building new social listening tools to track the manosphere so you don't have to.
Why did young people blame "both sides" for the shutdown? They got news from guys who aren't exactly process experts.
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/what-young...
Why did young people blame "both sides" for the shutdown? They got news from guys who aren't exactly process experts.
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/what-young...
November 12, 2025 at 4:07 PM
New from @ymriofficial.bsky.social - we're building new social listening tools to track the manosphere so you don't have to.
Why did young people blame "both sides" for the shutdown? They got news from guys who aren't exactly process experts.
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/what-young...
Why did young people blame "both sides" for the shutdown? They got news from guys who aren't exactly process experts.
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/what-young...
glad to see the "breathlessly asserting Democrats caved on the shutdown for no gain" to "reposting every piece of Epstein news now flying into the brains of every social media user in America thanks to Democrats putting the session to use" pipeline at full blast, its a thing of beauty
November 12, 2025 at 5:30 PM
glad to see the "breathlessly asserting Democrats caved on the shutdown for no gain" to "reposting every piece of Epstein news now flying into the brains of every social media user in America thanks to Democrats putting the session to use" pipeline at full blast, its a thing of beauty
