ICE showed up to kidnap lawn workers and nannies today in my sleepy Chicago North Shore neighborhood. So disgusted

🧠⚙️ Interested in decision theory+cogsci meets AI? Want to create methods for rigorously designing & evaluating human-AI workflows?

I'm recruiting PhDs to work on:
🎯 Stat foundations of multi-agent collaboration
🌫️ Model uncertainty & meta-cognition
🔎 Interpretability
💬 LLMs in behavioral science

JID does God in Chicago

So excited

No one tells you that full professor really means full return to your high school self, but that’s basically what it is

Think of how much better off we'd be if every established researcher got in the habit of writing papers entitled "Second thoughts on [thing I'm famous for]"

I had forgotten about Alice Notley but this essay reminded me www.poetryfoundation.org/articles/171...

Elsewhere, in an interview: "I have no activism in me. I can’t do things in a group. I can’t do things that imply that I know better than everybody else." 🔥

Well, if everyone (aka two people I follow) are doing this, I guess I will too

Huh? On the bright side, at least Hinton didn’t garble the cringey AI mother analogy like he garbled whatever he was trying to say here.

I often wonder whether the prospective grad students who contact me understand what they are signing up for. I hope this does the trick.

Congrats to Dr. @abhsarma.bsky.social on a successful Ph.D. thesis defense!

"Designing Interactive Systems for Reasoning with Ontological Uncertainty in Data Analysis"

Advised by @mjskay.com and me with Darren Gergle and Fanny Chevalier also on the committee.

Plato on clinical versus statistical prediction. Prefiguring modern debates on AI/ML for decision-making by 2000+ years

(from Tasioulas, The Rule of Algorithm and the Rule of Law)

Decision-making studies appear in HCI, vis, & increasingly AI/ML, but how “good decision” is defined is often ad-hoc

My #CHI2025 talk today will answer Qs like:
What's a decision problem?
What's the best possible performance on a decision problem?
What minimum info must participants be given?

1/2

Wait, are the AnthropicAI people seriously claiming to “unlock a rich theoretical landscape” for AI evaluation by proposing the use of…. error bars? And this secret trove of deep statistical insight starts with “use the Central Limit Theorem”?

Befuddling

If you're at #CSCW2024, check out Dongping Zhang's talk (today 4:30pm)

We look at how presenting uncertainty & display error affects strategic decisions in a congestion game (taxis choosing where to go), & see tradeoffs btw designs that help specific grps vs overall welfare arxiv.org/abs/2310.10858

I hadn't planned anything, but an opportunity to celebrate becoming full professor presented itself. Highly recommended for your next promotion.

We created a guide to artifacts in fake images from Firefly, Midjourney, & Stable Diffusion, informed by large experiments on human detection

Makes it easy to test your skills & get better at spotting them!

arxiv.org/pdf/2406.08651

Manski on why arguments for the primacy of internal validity in estimating treatment effects fall flat when effect heterogeneity is the rule, not the exception.

a.k.a. why I'm over the use of controlled experiments on convenience samples to argue about real world effect sizes, or even direction.

My summer just-for-fun project is a plea to stop holding up generative AI output to some ill-defined human ideal (aka aestheticized Turing test)

Rather than exposing the "true" significance of generative AI we inherit all the usual contradictions of aesthetic judgment
https://tinyurl.com/2prbtvu6