Jason Weeden
jasonweeden.bsky.social
Jason Weeden
@jasonweeden.bsky.social
Psychologist interested in modern sex/fertility patterns (how they reflect trade-offs, how they relate to religiosity, etc.); demographics of party identification and voting.
A big-picture look at large-scale fertility patterns across U.S. cohorts, current trends, and drivers of individual differences.
chartyarps.substack.com/p/the-basics...
The Basics of U.S. Fertility
A big-picture look at large-scale patterns across cohorts, current trends, and drivers of individual differences.
chartyarps.substack.com
October 18, 2025 at 7:04 PM
Reposted by Jason Weeden
This week we talk to Dan Williams about belief. Is it veridical or social or both or neither?

youtu.be/vBzPtPNbcz8

www.podbean.com/ew/pb-ehzhx-...

podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/b...
Belief with Dan Williams
YouTube video by Evolutionary Psychology (The Podcast)
youtu.be
September 23, 2025 at 12:19 PM
I look at how recent trends in fertility relate to shifts in education and marriage at different ages.

open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...
Recent U.S. Fertility Trends
Age, education, marriage, and childbearing in the 21st century
open.substack.com
September 23, 2025 at 12:32 PM
Reposted by Jason Weeden
Extreme views are heavily over-represented on social media

Social platforms’ tendency to reward hostile content creates incentives that systematically reward simplistic messages and extreme positions and this fuels populism www.ft.com/content/9251... via @jburnmurdoch.ft.com
September 8, 2025 at 10:02 PM
I don't know who produced this or what model they used, but this is an unsettlingly good AI summary of my book. It's not perfect, but it's hard to imagine that many human undergrads could do a better job.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=-DBu...
The Hidden Agenda Of The Political Mind - Jason Weeden, Robert Kurzban | Book Summary
YouTube video by Bamboo Books – Concise Summaries
www.youtube.com
August 29, 2025 at 3:15 PM
Reposted by Jason Weeden
🚨🚨🚨 The Cooperative Election Study's 2024 vote validation data is now available!
Microdata: doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...

Or easy interactive analysis of the data on...
vote choice: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/VoteTrends/
demographics of voters: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/votercomp/
doi.org
August 19, 2025 at 5:17 PM
Thoughts on why some claim God’s authority while others deny the existence of Big Gods.
chartyarps.substack.com/p/some-strat...
Some strategic functions of religious belief and unbelief
A quick sketch of a cynical take
chartyarps.substack.com
August 13, 2025 at 12:04 PM
An estimate of both levels and distributions of surviving offspring over time.
open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...
Offspring Surviving to Adulthood in the U.S. since the 1800s
An estimate of both levels and distributions of surviving offspring over time.
open.substack.com
July 26, 2025 at 7:18 PM
Reposted by Jason Weeden
Do you use our NPORS survey to weigh your data? Our 2025 numbers are out now. www.pewresearch.org/...
National Public Opinion Reference Survey (NPORS)
NPORS is an annual survey of U.S. adults conducted by the Pew Research Center used to to produce benchmark estimates for several topics.
www.pewresearch.org
July 25, 2025 at 4:30 PM
A look at both levels and distributions of fertility over time.
open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...
U.S. Fertility Since the 1800s
A look at both levels and distributions of childbearing over time.
open.substack.com
July 20, 2025 at 3:54 PM
Reposted by Jason Weeden
Nicolas Baumard & Jean-Baptiste Andre’s “ecological view of culture” provides an exciting new perspective that links Behavioral Ecology, Evolutionary Psychology, & Cultural Evolution. Read more in their HBES blog post: www.hbes.com/reconciling-...
Reconciling Our Three Traditions: Human Behavioral Ecology, Evolutionary Psychology, and Cultural Evolution - HBES
– by Nicolas Baumard & Jean-Baptiste André The evolutionary social sciences are grounded in the idea that evolutionary theory provides a unified framework to explain human behavior, including social n...
www.hbes.com
June 30, 2025 at 1:36 PM
I discuss the most impactful frequently measured demographics driving the 2024 presidential electorate.
open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...
Real-Life Differences between Harris and Trump Voters
A look at some of the features that drove the 2024 U.S. coalitions
open.substack.com
June 17, 2025 at 2:02 AM
AP VoteCast, Cooperative Election Studies, and Edison exit polls each has a dramatically different take on what happened with young White men in 2024.

open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...
Age, race, and gender in the 2024 and 2020 presidential elections
I combine the major available surveys (AP VoteCast, CES, Edison exit polls, and ANES)
open.substack.com
May 10, 2025 at 9:41 PM
I combined the 2024 AP VoteCast and Cooperative Election Study samples to look at the role of various demographic gaps.
open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...
The Demographics of the Two-Party Vote in 2024
Age, gender, race, education, income, religion, sexual orientation, guns, and urban/rural
open.substack.com
April 30, 2025 at 12:46 PM
Reposted by Jason Weeden
NEW -

Does Reason-Giving Affect Political Attitudes? - cup.org/4lMuN1x

"I find that reason-giving has very limited effects on the constraint, stability, or polarization of the public’s political attitudes"

- Jack Blumenau

#OpenAccess
April 21, 2025 at 9:40 AM
Reposted by Jason Weeden
Excited to share a new Pew Research Center report I led on "religious switching" in 36 countries around the world!

pewrsr.ch/4hK1ucL

A few key takeaways below! 👇

1/n
Around the World, Many People Are Leaving Their Childhood Religions
In many places surveyed, 20% or more of all adults have left their childhood religious group. Christianity and Buddhism have had especially large losses. Pew Research Center.
pewrsr.ch
March 26, 2025 at 5:56 PM
Here's my attempt to fit CES/ANES/GSS data regarding turnout patterns onto the known popular vote in recent presidential elections.

open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...
The complex changes in turnout from election to election
Modelling the big picture of how voters have shifted in recent presidential elections
open.substack.com
March 14, 2025 at 8:14 PM
Reposted by Jason Weeden
NEW: The third-ever Religious Landscape Study, the single largest survey done by Pew Research Center (n=36,908)

Survey provides detailed information about the religious composition of the United States at the national, state and metro level. Dive in:
Decline of Christianity in the U.S. Has Slowed, May Have Leveled Off
After years of decline, the U.S. Christian share now shows signs of leveling off. The new Religious Landscape Study explores trends in identity, beliefs and practices. Pew Research Center.
www.pewresearch.org
February 26, 2025 at 12:48 PM
Reposted by Jason Weeden
Our research on Need for Chaos was focused on how some voters wanted to watch the world burn: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

With DOGE it now seems to be official government strategy from Trump & Musk

But the goal seems the same: Burning down existing structures for selfish status gain
The “Need for Chaos” and Motivations to Share Hostile Political Rumors | American Political Science Review | Cambridge Core
The “Need for Chaos” and Motivations to Share Hostile Political Rumors - Volume 117 Issue 4
www.cambridge.org
February 25, 2025 at 11:42 AM
The highest-impact demographic splits in the 2024 ANES pre-election data: race, religion, sexual orientation, education, guns, and church. open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...
The highest-impact demographic splits in the 2024 ANES pre-election data
Race, religion, sexual orientation, education, guns, and church
open.substack.com
February 25, 2025 at 2:15 PM
Reposted by Jason Weeden
Every time I see this I wonder why most all the writing I see is on the unique politics and circumstance of young men and not on what's going on for young women. The variation is so much more interesting to explain!
stonks
February 12, 2025 at 2:55 PM
Taking a look at the new ANES data. chartyarps.substack.com/p/a-prelimin...
A preliminary look at preliminary 2024 ANES pre-election data
It’s all very preliminary.
chartyarps.substack.com
February 23, 2025 at 8:40 PM
Splitting the 2020 presidential electorate into 81 demographic groups, and putting them on a single chart. open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...
Splitting the 2020 presidential electorate into 81 demographic groups
And putting them on a single chart.
open.substack.com
February 13, 2025 at 9:14 PM
In getting ready to digest new data on the 2024 election, I take a look at the major ways in which the demographics of presidential voting have changed since the mid-20th century. chartyarps.substack.com/p/75-years-o...
75 Years of Shifting Party Coalitions
Subtle realignments and demographic change
chartyarps.substack.com
January 31, 2025 at 7:56 PM
In this one, I look at how info at age 21 predicts number of children at age 39 for typical college-educated women in the NYLSY97 sample.
open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...
How many kids will college women likely end up having?
Impacts of religiosity, sociosexuality, and race.
open.substack.com
January 11, 2025 at 3:12 PM