Jakob Terp-Hansen
@jakobterp.bsky.social
USA-kommentator. Redaktør, USAPol.dk. Skribent på POV International. Find ugentligt nyhedsbrev her: https://usapol.dk/nyhedsbrev
Stort nederlag for Trump og guvernør Mike Braun i Indiana:
Breaking news: The redistricting effort in Indiana fails as Republican lawmakers deliver a rare rebuke of President Trump, as some GOP state senators sided with Democrats to kill a plan to alter Indiana’s voting map.
Trump’s redistricting effort fails in Indiana as GOP lawmakers deliver rare rebuke
Republicans hold a 40-10 advantage in the state senate but still rejected Trump’s pressure. ‘Hoosiers are very independent.’
wapo.st
December 11, 2025 at 9:56 PM
Stort nederlag for Trump og guvernør Mike Braun i Indiana:
Reposted by Jakob Terp-Hansen
It's inconvenient for people interested in Dem factional fights, or Obama 2012 veterans trying to get consulting work. But we have known since several days after the election that Trump gained fewer votes from 2020-2024 in swing states that were exposed to campaign messages than in other states. /1
December 11, 2025 at 4:21 PM
It's inconvenient for people interested in Dem factional fights, or Obama 2012 veterans trying to get consulting work. But we have known since several days after the election that Trump gained fewer votes from 2020-2024 in swing states that were exposed to campaign messages than in other states. /1
Talte tidligere på morgenen med Radio IIII om FE’s seneste risikovurdering og opfattelsen af, at USA nu også er andet end en allieret:
Morgen - Torsdag d. 11. december kl. 6-7
(02:00): FT-kandidat mener, politikere bør straffes for fejl i socialsager, men kan han nævne én konkret gang, det burde ske? Medvirkende: Ole Lynggaa
radio4.dk
December 11, 2025 at 7:13 AM
Talte tidligere på morgenen med Radio IIII om FE’s seneste risikovurdering og opfattelsen af, at USA nu også er andet end en allieret:
Shapiro siger til USAPol, at strategien på Kinaområdet “afspejler Trump ret godt. Den beskriver en økonomisk konkurrence, men nedtoner den geostrategiske konkurrence, hvilket er meget anderledes fra 2017 og fra Biden-administrationen.”
Analyse af Trumps sikkerhedsstrategi:
Jeg har interviewet Jeremy Shapiro fra European Council on Foreign Relations og James Skinner, der arbejdede i det nationale sikkerhedsråd under Trump 1.
Vi se på den vestlige hemisfære, Europa og den republikanske fløj der vandt udformningen af dokumentet:
Jeg har interviewet Jeremy Shapiro fra European Council on Foreign Relations og James Skinner, der arbejdede i det nationale sikkerhedsråd under Trump 1.
Vi se på den vestlige hemisfære, Europa og den republikanske fløj der vandt udformningen af dokumentet:
Nu kender vi Trumps strategiske vision for verden – USAPol.dk
usapol.dk
December 9, 2025 at 12:10 PM
Shapiro siger til USAPol, at strategien på Kinaområdet “afspejler Trump ret godt. Den beskriver en økonomisk konkurrence, men nedtoner den geostrategiske konkurrence, hvilket er meget anderledes fra 2017 og fra Biden-administrationen.”
Analyse af Trumps sikkerhedsstrategi:
Jeg har interviewet Jeremy Shapiro fra European Council on Foreign Relations og James Skinner, der arbejdede i det nationale sikkerhedsråd under Trump 1.
Vi se på den vestlige hemisfære, Europa og den republikanske fløj der vandt udformningen af dokumentet:
Jeg har interviewet Jeremy Shapiro fra European Council on Foreign Relations og James Skinner, der arbejdede i det nationale sikkerhedsråd under Trump 1.
Vi se på den vestlige hemisfære, Europa og den republikanske fløj der vandt udformningen af dokumentet:
Nu kender vi Trumps strategiske vision for verden – USAPol.dk
usapol.dk
December 9, 2025 at 10:10 AM
Analyse af Trumps sikkerhedsstrategi:
Jeg har interviewet Jeremy Shapiro fra European Council on Foreign Relations og James Skinner, der arbejdede i det nationale sikkerhedsråd under Trump 1.
Vi se på den vestlige hemisfære, Europa og den republikanske fløj der vandt udformningen af dokumentet:
Jeg har interviewet Jeremy Shapiro fra European Council on Foreign Relations og James Skinner, der arbejdede i det nationale sikkerhedsråd under Trump 1.
Vi se på den vestlige hemisfære, Europa og den republikanske fløj der vandt udformningen af dokumentet:
En pointe om den nationale sikkerhedsstrategi:
I 2017 blev “Trump“ nævnt 6 gange, mest som formelle henvisninger.
I 2025 nævnes “Trump” 28 gange.
Diverse metodiske ting at diskutere ved en sådan opgørelse, men ønsket om at fremhæve præsidenten selv synes klart større nu end for otte år siden.
I 2017 blev “Trump“ nævnt 6 gange, mest som formelle henvisninger.
I 2025 nævnes “Trump” 28 gange.
Diverse metodiske ting at diskutere ved en sådan opgørelse, men ønsket om at fremhæve præsidenten selv synes klart større nu end for otte år siden.
December 8, 2025 at 11:30 AM
En pointe om den nationale sikkerhedsstrategi:
I 2017 blev “Trump“ nævnt 6 gange, mest som formelle henvisninger.
I 2025 nævnes “Trump” 28 gange.
Diverse metodiske ting at diskutere ved en sådan opgørelse, men ønsket om at fremhæve præsidenten selv synes klart større nu end for otte år siden.
I 2017 blev “Trump“ nævnt 6 gange, mest som formelle henvisninger.
I 2025 nævnes “Trump” 28 gange.
Diverse metodiske ting at diskutere ved en sådan opgørelse, men ønsket om at fremhæve præsidenten selv synes klart større nu end for otte år siden.
“(..) in conversations with three former DHS officials—who served in both the Biden and Trump administrations and are still in touch with current staff—it was made clear that Trump is indeed considering moving on from Noem.”
🚨SCOOP: I’ve got inside information on Noem’s perilous job security, and sources who tell me her time heading DHS could be coming to an end soon.
www.thebulwark.com/p/trump-dhs-... only via @thebulwark.com
www.thebulwark.com/p/trump-dhs-... only via @thebulwark.com
Trump Weighs Moving on From Noem
The DHS secretary has overseen the president’s most controversial domestic initiative. But her future is increasingly in doubt.
www.thebulwark.com
December 6, 2025 at 10:48 PM
“(..) in conversations with three former DHS officials—who served in both the Biden and Trump administrations and are still in touch with current staff—it was made clear that Trump is indeed considering moving on from Noem.”
I maj interviewede jeg Alexander Gray, der arbejdede som stabschef i NSC i Trumps første periode, om præsidentens udenrigspolitik. Set i lyset af den nye nationale sikkerhedsstrategi er hans pointer og definition af Trumpdoktrinen måske værd at genbesøge (jeg skriver mere om strategien senere):
Er der en Trump-doktrin? Ja, siger tidligere rådgiver til USAPol.dk – USAPol.dk
usapol.dk
December 6, 2025 at 1:43 PM
I maj interviewede jeg Alexander Gray, der arbejdede som stabschef i NSC i Trumps første periode, om præsidentens udenrigspolitik. Set i lyset af den nye nationale sikkerhedsstrategi er hans pointer og definition af Trumpdoktrinen måske værd at genbesøge (jeg skriver mere om strategien senere):
I den seneste tid har Donald Trump givet det endnu et forsøg at få afsluttet krigen i Ukraine. Men tættere på fred eller en afslutning er vi alligevel slet ikke kommet, vurderer @jkaarsbo.bsky.social, der er gæst i årets sidste podcast fra USAPol.
Lyt med:
podcasts.apple.com/dk/podcast/u...
Lyt med:
podcasts.apple.com/dk/podcast/u...
December 5, 2025 at 9:56 AM
I den seneste tid har Donald Trump givet det endnu et forsøg at få afsluttet krigen i Ukraine. Men tættere på fred eller en afslutning er vi alligevel slet ikke kommet, vurderer @jkaarsbo.bsky.social, der er gæst i årets sidste podcast fra USAPol.
Lyt med:
podcasts.apple.com/dk/podcast/u...
Lyt med:
podcasts.apple.com/dk/podcast/u...
En god samtale og interessante analyser af Tucker Carlson, Epsteinsagen, spørgsmålet om “peak Trump” med mere i The Rachman Review:
Splits in the Maga movement
Why America’s Trump supporters are falling out
www.ft.com
December 4, 2025 at 12:07 PM
En god samtale og interessante analyser af Tucker Carlson, Epsteinsagen, spørgsmålet om “peak Trump” med mere i The Rachman Review:
Van Epps (R) vinder specialvalget i Tennessee. En sejr på cirka 9 procentpoint er mere end de 5, jeg gættede på, men afspejler stadig en klar demokratisk overpræstation i distriktet.
Tennessee Seventh Congressional District Special Election Results 2025: Behn vs. Van Epps
Get live results and maps from the 2025 Tennessee congressional special election.
www.nytimes.com
December 3, 2025 at 8:17 AM
Van Epps (R) vinder specialvalget i Tennessee. En sejr på cirka 9 procentpoint er mere end de 5, jeg gættede på, men afspejler stadig en klar demokratisk overpræstation i distriktet.
Lidt om det forestående specialvalg i Tennessee og mine forventninger:
I dag skal Republikanerne undgå en katastrofe i Tennessee – USAPol.dk
usapol.dk
December 2, 2025 at 10:12 AM
Lidt om det forestående specialvalg i Tennessee og mine forventninger:
Reposted by Jakob Terp-Hansen
ICYMI — Inside Elections moved TN-07 from Solid Republican to Lean Republican two weeks ago. New poll last week from Emerson shows a dead heat in the Trump +22 seat. www.insideelections.com/news/article...
December 1, 2025 at 1:41 PM
ICYMI — Inside Elections moved TN-07 from Solid Republican to Lean Republican two weeks ago. New poll last week from Emerson shows a dead heat in the Trump +22 seat. www.insideelections.com/news/article...
Skrev for et par dage siden om, hvordan Trump har mistet opfattelsen af hans økonomiske håndtering som væsentligt trumfkort:
Trump har mistet væsentligt trumfkort – USAPol.dk
usapol.dk
November 27, 2025 at 12:42 PM
Skrev for et par dage siden om, hvordan Trump har mistet opfattelsen af hans økonomiske håndtering som væsentligt trumfkort:
Republikansk favoritværdighed endnu, men skulle Demokraterne vinde (og dermed erobre en plads i Repræsentanternes Hus), må det betegnes som en katastrofe eller noget nær dette for Republikanerne.
Emerson poll | 11/22-11/24 LV
Tennessee’s 7th congressional special election (Trump +22)
(Leaners pushed)
🟥Matt Van Epps 49.4%
🟦Aftyn Behn 47.0%
Others 3.5%
emersoncollegepolling.com/tennessee-7t...
Tennessee’s 7th congressional special election (Trump +22)
(Leaners pushed)
🟥Matt Van Epps 49.4%
🟦Aftyn Behn 47.0%
Others 3.5%
emersoncollegepolling.com/tennessee-7t...
Tennessee 7th District 2025 Special Election Poll: Republican Van Epps and Democrat Behn Locked In Tight Race - Emerson Polling
Voters Split on Trump’s Job Performance as Economic Issues Top Voters’ Concerns A new Emerson…Full Release & Results
emersoncollegepolling.com
November 26, 2025 at 3:02 PM
Republikansk favoritværdighed endnu, men skulle Demokraterne vinde (og dermed erobre en plads i Repræsentanternes Hus), må det betegnes som en katastrofe eller noget nær dette for Republikanerne.
Stor juridisk nyhed: “A federal judge dismissed the indictments against former FBI Director James Comey and New York Attorney General Letitia James on Monday.”
Judge throws out cases against Trump political enemies James Comey and Letitia James, citing unlawful appointment of Lindsey Halligan.
https://cnn.it/4rk3deF
https://cnn.it/4rk3deF
November 24, 2025 at 5:59 PM
Stor juridisk nyhed: “A federal judge dismissed the indictments against former FBI Director James Comey and New York Attorney General Letitia James on Monday.”
Ifølge NOTUS udtrykker en “kilde tæt på Trump” om Texas-senator Ted Cruz: “(…) he’s used his role to stifle Trump’s priorities. Ted is quickly going the way of MTG, and I can only imagine what fresh nickname Trump comes up with now to end Ted’s career for the second time.“
The White House Believes Ted Cruz Is Working to Undermine Trump Due to His 2028 Ambitions
The administration sees the positions Cruz has taken as Commerce Committee chair as directly tied to a possible presidential run and as ways to distinguish himself from a potential 2028 rival, Vice Pr...
www.notus.org
November 20, 2025 at 11:26 AM
Ifølge NOTUS udtrykker en “kilde tæt på Trump” om Texas-senator Ted Cruz: “(…) he’s used his role to stifle Trump’s priorities. Ted is quickly going the way of MTG, and I can only imagine what fresh nickname Trump comes up with now to end Ted’s career for the second time.“
Reposted by Jakob Terp-Hansen
Is studying and teaching about US House procedure, ie leadership tools and "negative agenda control", really worth a career? Sometimes I wonder. But then a footnote of congressional procedure can flip the governing party on its head on a scandal that is increasingly defining this White House.
"I suspect this vote will be, probably, unanimous," Mike Johnson says ahead of the House voting to pass a bill to force DOJ to release its Epstein files -- a bill Mike Johnson has been fighting to block for months.
November 18, 2025 at 7:07 PM
Is studying and teaching about US House procedure, ie leadership tools and "negative agenda control", really worth a career? Sometimes I wonder. But then a footnote of congressional procedure can flip the governing party on its head on a scandal that is increasingly defining this White House.
Skrev i sidste uge om det politiske klima i kølvandet på lokalvalgene. Det er godt for Demokraterne, men hvor godt? Jeg så på forskellige indikatorer:
Hvor godt er det politiske klima for Demokraterne? – USAPol.dk
Billedet af valgnatten var tydeligt, og resultaterne blev selvfølgelig også noteret af Republikanerne.
usapol.dk
November 18, 2025 at 4:14 PM
Skrev i sidste uge om det politiske klima i kølvandet på lokalvalgene. Det er godt for Demokraterne, men hvor godt? Jeg så på forskellige indikatorer:
“A federal magistrate judge said on Monday that the criminal case against James B. Comey, the former F.B.I. director, could be in serious trouble because of a series of apparent errors committed in front of the grand jury by Lindsey Halligan.”
Judge Says Justice Dept. May Have Committed ‘Misconduct’ in Comey Case
www.nytimes.com
November 17, 2025 at 6:47 PM
“A federal magistrate judge said on Monday that the criminal case against James B. Comey, the former F.B.I. director, could be in serious trouble because of a series of apparent errors committed in front of the grand jury by Lindsey Halligan.”
Reposted by Jakob Terp-Hansen
Evidence of racial polarization in Georgia last week. In one race, a White D ran against a Black R; the inverse was true in the other. So, where did the White D over-perform the Black D? In whiter areas.
November 14, 2025 at 8:19 PM
Evidence of racial polarization in Georgia last week. In one race, a White D ran against a Black R; the inverse was true in the other. So, where did the White D over-perform the Black D? In whiter areas.
Reposted by Jakob Terp-Hansen
Ron Paul 2008 was a response to the perceived failures of GWB. Bernie 2016 was a response to the perceived failures of Obama. Presumably there will be an insurgent Republican in 2028 who’s a response to Trump.
November 15, 2025 at 3:36 PM
Ron Paul 2008 was a response to the perceived failures of GWB. Bernie 2016 was a response to the perceived failures of Obama. Presumably there will be an insurgent Republican in 2028 who’s a response to Trump.
“(..) Pete Hegseth, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Dan Caine and other senior officials briefed the president on military options for the coming days, the sources said.”
Scoop: Military officials on Weds presented Trump with updated options for potential operations in Venezuela, including land strikes, per sources. Hegseth, Caine at White House yday afternoon for briefings. No final decision made, two of the sources told @cbsnews.com
www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-v...
www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-v...
Top officials present Trump with military options for Venezuela in the coming days
The potential operations for Venezuela presented to Trump included options for strikes on land, multiple sources said.
www.cbsnews.com
November 13, 2025 at 5:36 PM
“(..) Pete Hegseth, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Dan Caine and other senior officials briefed the president on military options for the coming days, the sources said.”
Demokraterne fik noget ud af regeringsnedlukningen også i meningsmålingerne. Men de målinger er nok glemt om et år. Samtidig fik partiet ingen aftale i forhold til sundhedspolitikken og har nu i stedet fået et nyt internt slagsmål. Det er svært at sige, at afslutningen på forløbet har været god.
November 11, 2025 at 7:47 AM
Demokraterne fik noget ud af regeringsnedlukningen også i meningsmålingerne. Men de målinger er nok glemt om et år. Samtidig fik partiet ingen aftale i forhold til sundhedspolitikken og har nu i stedet fået et nyt internt slagsmål. Det er svært at sige, at afslutningen på forløbet har været god.