Ivan Svetunkov
@isvetunkov.bsky.social
There is no such thing as an “assumption-free approach”.
One thing that bothers me when I read posts on social media or papers in peer-reviewed journals is the claim that a proposed approach is “assumption-free.” In forecasting, this is never true. Here’s why: openforecast.org/2025/01/07/t...
One thing that bothers me when I read posts on social media or papers in peer-reviewed journals is the claim that a proposed approach is “assumption-free.” In forecasting, this is never true. Here’s why: openforecast.org/2025/01/07/t...
January 7, 2025 at 4:43 PM
There is no such thing as an “assumption-free approach”.
One thing that bothers me when I read posts on social media or papers in peer-reviewed journals is the claim that a proposed approach is “assumption-free.” In forecasting, this is never true. Here’s why: openforecast.org/2025/01/07/t...
One thing that bothers me when I read posts on social media or papers in peer-reviewed journals is the claim that a proposed approach is “assumption-free.” In forecasting, this is never true. Here’s why: openforecast.org/2025/01/07/t...
Why zeroes happen: a post discussing what is and what isn't intermittent demand and why it is important to tell the difference: openforecast.org/2024/11/18/w...
#forecasting #datascience #machinelearning
#forecasting #datascience #machinelearning
November 18, 2024 at 11:15 AM
Why zeroes happen: a post discussing what is and what isn't intermittent demand and why it is important to tell the difference: openforecast.org/2024/11/18/w...
#forecasting #datascience #machinelearning
#forecasting #datascience #machinelearning
Are all forecasts wrong?
You’ve probably heard the phrase “all forecasts are wrong”, suggesting that the future is unpredictable and that no forecast will ever match the actual outcome. Well, this phrase is not entirely correct, and here’s why: openforecast.org/2024/08/20/a...
You’ve probably heard the phrase “all forecasts are wrong”, suggesting that the future is unpredictable and that no forecast will ever match the actual outcome. Well, this phrase is not entirely correct, and here’s why: openforecast.org/2024/08/20/a...
November 7, 2024 at 10:52 AM
Are all forecasts wrong?
You’ve probably heard the phrase “all forecasts are wrong”, suggesting that the future is unpredictable and that no forecast will ever match the actual outcome. Well, this phrase is not entirely correct, and here’s why: openforecast.org/2024/08/20/a...
You’ve probably heard the phrase “all forecasts are wrong”, suggesting that the future is unpredictable and that no forecast will ever match the actual outcome. Well, this phrase is not entirely correct, and here’s why: openforecast.org/2024/08/20/a...