Ireland Election Projections
@irishelection.bsky.social
Good spot, we agree that seems pretty unlikely!
As you can imagine, projecting parties in places they didn't stand last time is very tricky!
We're going to keep working on it to make it as accurate as possible, although it'll never be perfect.
As you can imagine, projecting parties in places they didn't stand last time is very tricky!
We're going to keep working on it to make it as accurate as possible, although it'll never be perfect.
November 26, 2025 at 12:31 PM
Good spot, we agree that seems pretty unlikely!
As you can imagine, projecting parties in places they didn't stand last time is very tricky!
We're going to keep working on it to make it as accurate as possible, although it'll never be perfect.
As you can imagine, projecting parties in places they didn't stand last time is very tricky!
We're going to keep working on it to make it as accurate as possible, although it'll never be perfect.
Currently we have Connolly, Humphreys, Gavin, Sinn Féin and Other as options.
We'll update if anyone else is nominated and when SF pick a candidate, or decide not run.
We'll update if anyone else is nominated and when SF pick a candidate, or decide not run.
September 13, 2025 at 1:48 PM
Currently we have Connolly, Humphreys, Gavin, Sinn Féin and Other as options.
We'll update if anyone else is nominated and when SF pick a candidate, or decide not run.
We'll update if anyone else is nominated and when SF pick a candidate, or decide not run.
If you leave the Transfer Friendliness on 1x it uses the numbers from 2024 for that party (or similar independents).
Dialling them up or down has a huge effect
Here's Humphreys on the same first preferences but double the Transfer Friendliness:
Dialling them up or down has a huge effect
Here's Humphreys on the same first preferences but double the Transfer Friendliness:
September 13, 2025 at 1:48 PM
If you leave the Transfer Friendliness on 1x it uses the numbers from 2024 for that party (or similar independents).
Dialling them up or down has a huge effect
Here's Humphreys on the same first preferences but double the Transfer Friendliness:
Dialling them up or down has a huge effect
Here's Humphreys on the same first preferences but double the Transfer Friendliness: