Raghav Agrawal @[email protected]
impactology.bsky.social
Raghav Agrawal @[email protected]
@impactology.bsky.social
Former Diamond Dealer | Independently explored research in design, education, and cognitive science; now bringing those ideas to life via UX

https://twitter.com/impactology
i.e their work is good only when they create unexpected insights which is what makes people laugh
November 19, 2025 at 5:33 PM
What work requires decision-making that is literally anti-Bayesian because value emerges only when you violate assumptions that make probability theory work?

I think its standup comedian, a joke is funny because its unexpected
November 19, 2025 at 5:32 PM
Its not asking what jobs AI can’t do but rather what work requires breaking statistical axioms to deliver value

Non-ergodic work : work where outcomes aren’t predictable averages and where your returns depend on rare events, work that exists in anti-statistical space
November 19, 2025 at 4:54 PM
What work is high paying that is statistically impossible to even model because it goes against the nature and theories of bayesian inference

Work that violates statistical axioms so fundamentally that modeling it destroys its value
November 19, 2025 at 4:53 PM
What can be quantified & correlated easily?

That which has plenty of eg of what recurs, co-occurs, that can be generalized across many examples

So a question to ask in a job that is being LLMed is to ask what kind of work problems, techniques, situations hardly recur and are not generalizeable?
November 19, 2025 at 4:52 PM
LLMs convert your words into statistical space, a probability cloud & so can only express what is statistically probable

Its always asking what is the most coherent next token? Every prompt is a statistical scaffolding

What is easy to model statistically? That which can be quantified & correlated
November 19, 2025 at 4:51 PM
Very true! Whenever I have experienced a particularly tense situation where I felt my body shiver, a walk with some music has always helped process it
November 18, 2025 at 12:47 PM
Agreed
November 17, 2025 at 4:07 AM
His research

Towards a Heuristics of Post-Capitalist Digital Design Practice

"Explores the barriers that UX practitioners face in trying to incorporate long-term perspectives into their work"

alexwright.com/docs/Wright_...
November 14, 2025 at 8:20 AM
"For such a young profession, the tools of the trade seem surprisingly stale...If the UX field is going to adapt and evolve, it’s going to need to expand its repertoire and vocabulary of methods. The old playbook feels tired"
November 14, 2025 at 8:19 AM
Oh you got a bug? You failed, rewrite the entire codebase from scratch all over again and until you do you can't make changes (that's what summative assesments in school and college exams are like)
November 10, 2025 at 2:33 PM
Yeah you are right, any examples of such OGs that pounced on parts of the above's grand visions?
November 10, 2025 at 2:28 PM
I think almost every single radical opinion I've had has undergone change when thinking about how it would apply and deliver outcomes predictably at scale in a routinized 9-5 workflow for tired, short on attention span people
November 9, 2025 at 10:55 AM
Isn't this a standard question PMs think about? I thought that was the job requirement
November 9, 2025 at 10:40 AM