Ike Namura
ikenamura.bsky.social
Ike Namura
@ikenamura.bsky.social
Striking isn't it that a treaty the UK negotiated and signed isn't enough to make sure the UK actually does what it promised.
True for EU citizen rights, NI protocol and even fishing rights to a degree.
December 8, 2025 at 7:04 AM
Forgot about De Gaulle? Turns out he was right to say no twice.
I don't think EU leaders will cower away from saying NO to UK's face. But in a diplomatic sauce.
December 7, 2025 at 3:27 PM
Moldova didn't leave in a huff, cause massive costs for EU businesses, strutted around taunting "EU need us more than we need them", drag the process out for years, had to be forced to treat EU citizens resident in UK decently, signed the NI protocol then immediately claimed they would renege...etc
December 7, 2025 at 2:24 PM
Try to join when the majority of parties are really pro EU. When 80% of the electorate wants to build EU together. Not just the whining "we are so poor, we need to join the EU" crap.
Then charm the EU electorate and member states.

Long road.
December 7, 2025 at 12:34 PM
- All the talk of "leading Europe", small countries will say no
- Countless times leaders in UK threatened EU or EU states
- Massive Russian influence in press and politics

Want me to go on?

EU won't be stronger with UK, you just consider money. They don't
December 7, 2025 at 12:30 PM
- UK is no longer a competitor in the EU market, benefitting EU companies
- UK doesn't have a collaborative outlook, it is transactional mindset
- 40 years of whining for opt outs and holding progress back
- 40 years of toxic misinformation in UK press that hasn't been addressed
- Brexit drama
December 7, 2025 at 12:28 PM
It will be rejected on political grounds a few times. Just like the first time.
December 7, 2025 at 12:25 PM
The EU won't say no because they don't have the power to say no OR yes. That power rests with the EU council.
As you know, the EU council is the elected leaders of the EU member states.

Like I said, member states decide what happens in the EU, including the start of accession.
December 7, 2025 at 12:22 PM
But art 49 is the process description. Basically like saying what forms to fill in and where to file them. It doesn't mean you will get in.

EU member states decide what happens in the EU. Something the UK public never really understood.

I have seen no effort to win the hearts of the EU electorate
December 7, 2025 at 9:02 AM
UK didn't even conform to all EU law as a member. Famous for the multiple opt outs. Remember all the ECJ cases for pollution etc. Accession rules have changed in the last 40 years too. The gap is wider than you think.

But most of the hurdles are simply an incompatible outlook and attitude.
December 7, 2025 at 8:47 AM
Barnier didn't and doesn't speak for the EU.

You need ALL EU member states to agree at multiple stages before you are in. None want the UK drama right now.

Nothing has changed in the UK attitude in the last 10 years. It will take many more years to get a "yes" from all members.
December 7, 2025 at 8:42 AM
Most Taliban are in their late teen or early twenties.
3 quarters of Somali rebels like Al-Shabaab are under 30
Most of the Red Guard in China during the Cultural Revolution were teenagers.

Progressive liberal ideas are not always considered progress by the new generation.
December 7, 2025 at 8:26 AM
UK would not benefit of EU trade agreements. See Turkey.
December 6, 2025 at 6:48 PM
It will have to be a customs union like Turkey. UK cannot join THE EU customs union. That's limited to EU members.
December 6, 2025 at 11:29 AM
Not about the vote. Most of UK still believed post Brexit that UK could get anything it wanted from foreigners because it was just SO important.
UK sees foreigners as either compliant or rebelling.
They can't have their own agenda and priorities while also completely indifferent to UK.
December 4, 2025 at 8:01 AM
The only culture smashing that you can see here is the fact 2/3 speak English as a first language.

I'm also assuming Reform hates British colonialism then.
December 4, 2025 at 7:48 AM
Absolutely. Barnier was patiently educating. Most in the UK just assumed he was the French waiter offering the menu. Unimaginable that foreigners are telling you what you can't have because you are not part of their club.
December 4, 2025 at 4:42 AM
Not really.
Article 50 means leaving all the treaties, that includes the single market.
The future relationship negotiations could only happen AFTER UK had left.
After brexit UK could have attempted to negotiate back into SM. (maybe in a transition period) But UK never had the option to "stay in".
December 3, 2025 at 8:35 PM
You liked the headline so much you decided to use it 3 times?
December 3, 2025 at 4:28 PM
3
November 29, 2025 at 7:35 AM
The EU have never said that. France and Germany offered no such deal and if they had it wouldn't even be in their power to grant.

You are misinformed. This shows how badly EU is understood in UK.

There is no fast-track to join the EU, there is only article 49 and every member state has a veto.
November 28, 2025 at 7:38 AM
Like a petulant teenager grabbing his stuff to live in the garden shed. Still reliant on electricity, water to shower and nagging his mother to make him a pizza every five minutes. But his insta says "I broke free! Sticking it to the BIG parental units everywhere!"
November 27, 2025 at 2:01 PM
SM isn't for sale. You don't just pay and join. It is a negotiation, a complex one at that. Setting up a SM for UK (not EU, not EFTA) takes years too. And will need a lot of UK concessions. The way UK is handling one EU ask (youth mobility) or simply paying for SPS (UK is haggling) doesn't bode well
November 27, 2025 at 11:53 AM
Pretty sure the UK needs to adjust to the current situation first. Stabilize the economy (smaller) by abandoning any business models that relied on easy access to the EU.
Can't last another decade wishing brexit didn't happen, while application runs its course.
November 27, 2025 at 10:57 AM
People need to be more realistic with their slogans.
Brexit cannot be reversed.

UK (or labour) cannot rejoin or even join the EU.

The only thing UK can do is apply to join the EU.

Be clear to avoid unrealistic expectations. The UK public is easily manipulated and deceived. Brexit proves that.
November 27, 2025 at 9:47 AM