Gernot Wagner
@gwagner.com
Voting with their feet, still the most powerful vote
November 15, 2025 at 12:41 PM
Voting with their feet, still the most powerful vote
That movie clip of Selena Gomez explaining the AI bubble to us is going to be lit
November 14, 2025 at 3:10 PM
That movie clip of Selena Gomez explaining the AI bubble to us is going to be lit
How to Measure Climate Progress
Yes, it's about CO₂, CH₄, W/m², and every ±0.1°C.
But yes, moving off oil, coal, and gas is about improving economic competitiveness and human prosperity for decades to come.
My latest for @projectsyndicate.bsky.social
www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/m...
Yes, it's about CO₂, CH₄, W/m², and every ±0.1°C.
But yes, moving off oil, coal, and gas is about improving economic competitiveness and human prosperity for decades to come.
My latest for @projectsyndicate.bsky.social
www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/m...
November 13, 2025 at 6:58 PM
How to Measure Climate Progress
Yes, it's about CO₂, CH₄, W/m², and every ±0.1°C.
But yes, moving off oil, coal, and gas is about improving economic competitiveness and human prosperity for decades to come.
My latest for @projectsyndicate.bsky.social
www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/m...
Yes, it's about CO₂, CH₄, W/m², and every ±0.1°C.
But yes, moving off oil, coal, and gas is about improving economic competitiveness and human prosperity for decades to come.
My latest for @projectsyndicate.bsky.social
www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/m...
“America’s Future Is Being Sacrificed for Short-Term 'Wins',” with “Wins” in quotation marks in the title.
Ouch.
@ianbremmer.com for @projectsyndicate.bsky.social: prosyn.org/gDQDuXV
Ouch.
@ianbremmer.com for @projectsyndicate.bsky.social: prosyn.org/gDQDuXV
November 13, 2025 at 8:51 AM
“America’s Future Is Being Sacrificed for Short-Term 'Wins',” with “Wins” in quotation marks in the title.
Ouch.
@ianbremmer.com for @projectsyndicate.bsky.social: prosyn.org/gDQDuXV
Ouch.
@ianbremmer.com for @projectsyndicate.bsky.social: prosyn.org/gDQDuXV
The nutty bit — other than the full plastic wrap, that is: I walked by this bowl ~8hrs ago. Looks untouched.
Perhaps wrapping perfectly fine apples in an impenetrable layer of petrochemicals is…hear me out: off-putting?! 🍎🍏
Perhaps wrapping perfectly fine apples in an impenetrable layer of petrochemicals is…hear me out: off-putting?! 🍎🍏
November 10, 2025 at 10:12 PM
The nutty bit — other than the full plastic wrap, that is: I walked by this bowl ~8hrs ago. Looks untouched.
Perhaps wrapping perfectly fine apples in an impenetrable layer of petrochemicals is…hear me out: off-putting?! 🍎🍏
Perhaps wrapping perfectly fine apples in an impenetrable layer of petrochemicals is…hear me out: off-putting?! 🍎🍏
Ominous picture for an ominous moment
November 10, 2025 at 2:52 AM
Ominous picture for an ominous moment
November 9, 2025 at 9:07 PM
Can confirm: technology and design have both improved in past 25 years.
Though we did end up with 2 gadgets instead of 1, to achieve the same thing: @npr.org + alarm.
Though we did end up with 2 gadgets instead of 1, to achieve the same thing: @npr.org + alarm.
November 9, 2025 at 8:17 PM
Can confirm: technology and design have both improved in past 25 years.
Though we did end up with 2 gadgets instead of 1, to achieve the same thing: @npr.org + alarm.
Though we did end up with 2 gadgets instead of 1, to achieve the same thing: @npr.org + alarm.
25-year-old radio alarm clock this morning.
Feels like it's time for a replacement.
Feels like it's time for a replacement.
November 9, 2025 at 6:37 PM
25-year-old radio alarm clock this morning.
Feels like it's time for a replacement.
Feels like it's time for a replacement.
Ok, fine. I wasn't quite.
November 8, 2025 at 11:58 PM
Ok, fine. I wasn't quite.
Am I doing this right?
November 8, 2025 at 11:46 PM
Am I doing this right?
Electrify 50% of your industry, save €250bn/year on fossil fuel imports.¹
Relatedly: the EU sends €380bn/year to autocratic regimes for its fossil fuel addiction.
¹ @jamiesmythft.bsky.social's @financialtimes.com Energy Source newsletter
Relatedly: the EU sends €380bn/year to autocratic regimes for its fossil fuel addiction.
¹ @jamiesmythft.bsky.social's @financialtimes.com Energy Source newsletter
November 8, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Electrify 50% of your industry, save €250bn/year on fossil fuel imports.¹
Relatedly: the EU sends €380bn/year to autocratic regimes for its fossil fuel addiction.
¹ @jamiesmythft.bsky.social's @financialtimes.com Energy Source newsletter
Relatedly: the EU sends €380bn/year to autocratic regimes for its fossil fuel addiction.
¹ @jamiesmythft.bsky.social's @financialtimes.com Energy Source newsletter
There's clearly some bad news here, too.
But now, natural gas won't be ascendant for much longer, or stay there through the end of the century.
The forces driving down climate tech costs are just too strong.
But now, natural gas won't be ascendant for much longer, or stay there through the end of the century.
The forces driving down climate tech costs are just too strong.
November 7, 2025 at 8:34 PM
There's clearly some bad news here, too.
But now, natural gas won't be ascendant for much longer, or stay there through the end of the century.
The forces driving down climate tech costs are just too strong.
But now, natural gas won't be ascendant for much longer, or stay there through the end of the century.
The forces driving down climate tech costs are just too strong.
November 7, 2025 at 8:31 PM
In short, once clean techs are in the money and the world starts going down the path of decarbonization, change won't be linear.
It never is.
Even the least ambitious Shell scenario reaches near-zero emissions by 2100(!)
It never is.
Even the least ambitious Shell scenario reaches near-zero emissions by 2100(!)
November 7, 2025 at 8:29 PM
In short, once clean techs are in the money and the world starts going down the path of decarbonization, change won't be linear.
It never is.
Even the least ambitious Shell scenario reaches near-zero emissions by 2100(!)
It never is.
Even the least ambitious Shell scenario reaches near-zero emissions by 2100(!)
Compare it to this collection of paths, pulling from IPCC, IEA, and Shell(!).
Forget the title for now and zero in on the paths.
There's IPCC SSP3-7.0 — @climateactiontracker.org says that one won't happen. Good.
But more importantly, look at *all* the others, including Shell's most pessimistic.
Forget the title for now and zero in on the paths.
There's IPCC SSP3-7.0 — @climateactiontracker.org says that one won't happen. Good.
But more importantly, look at *all* the others, including Shell's most pessimistic.
November 7, 2025 at 8:27 PM
Compare it to this collection of paths, pulling from IPCC, IEA, and Shell(!).
Forget the title for now and zero in on the paths.
There's IPCC SSP3-7.0 — @climateactiontracker.org says that one won't happen. Good.
But more importantly, look at *all* the others, including Shell's most pessimistic.
Forget the title for now and zero in on the paths.
There's IPCC SSP3-7.0 — @climateactiontracker.org says that one won't happen. Good.
But more importantly, look at *all* the others, including Shell's most pessimistic.
This graph, based on @climateactiontracker.org's latest projections, has global CO₂ₑ emissions peak right now-ish and then decline by 2100.
Good, but look at the slope of the decline. It's basically a slow linear decline.
That's...not how the world works.
²/ₙ
Good, but look at the slope of the decline. It's basically a slow linear decline.
That's...not how the world works.
²/ₙ
November 7, 2025 at 8:23 PM
This graph, based on @climateactiontracker.org's latest projections, has global CO₂ₑ emissions peak right now-ish and then decline by 2100.
Good, but look at the slope of the decline. It's basically a slow linear decline.
That's...not how the world works.
²/ₙ
Good, but look at the slope of the decline. It's basically a slow linear decline.
That's...not how the world works.
²/ₙ
Great dissection of where the world stands on climate 10 years after Paris: better than ever; worse than needed.
Start here: www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
But lemme quibble a bit with the CO₂ₑ emissions pathways painted here.
A quick 🧵
Start here: www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
But lemme quibble a bit with the CO₂ₑ emissions pathways painted here.
A quick 🧵
November 7, 2025 at 8:23 PM
Great dissection of where the world stands on climate 10 years after Paris: better than ever; worse than needed.
Start here: www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
But lemme quibble a bit with the CO₂ₑ emissions pathways painted here.
A quick 🧵
Start here: www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
But lemme quibble a bit with the CO₂ₑ emissions pathways painted here.
A quick 🧵
Vorsicht. Das alles ist dann schon radikal, mit den roten Bällen die da überall herum hängen.
Und bei Armani kommen sie gar nicht mit der Umverteilung nach. 🙃
Und bei Armani kommen sie gar nicht mit der Umverteilung nach. 🙃
November 5, 2025 at 7:53 AM
Vorsicht. Das alles ist dann schon radikal, mit den roten Bällen die da überall herum hängen.
Und bei Armani kommen sie gar nicht mit der Umverteilung nach. 🙃
Und bei Armani kommen sie gar nicht mit der Umverteilung nach. 🙃
Heck, public housing comes with rooftop pools.
NYC Democratic Socialist, meet Vienna's Social Democrats
www.npr.org/2025/05/13/n... @juliaradio.bsky.social @chairnohorsekey.bsky.social @abrahamczik.bsky.social
NYC Democratic Socialist, meet Vienna's Social Democrats
www.npr.org/2025/05/13/n... @juliaradio.bsky.social @chairnohorsekey.bsky.social @abrahamczik.bsky.social
November 5, 2025 at 5:12 AM
Heck, public housing comes with rooftop pools.
NYC Democratic Socialist, meet Vienna's Social Democrats
www.npr.org/2025/05/13/n... @juliaradio.bsky.social @chairnohorsekey.bsky.social @abrahamczik.bsky.social
NYC Democratic Socialist, meet Vienna's Social Democrats
www.npr.org/2025/05/13/n... @juliaradio.bsky.social @chairnohorsekey.bsky.social @abrahamczik.bsky.social
Happy Mamdani Day, NYC!
Checking out socialist Vienna tonight, the cathedral does seem to have a red hue.
But the trains run on time, housing is plentiful, and the CEO of the local gas utility is working to get Viennese off gas entirely by 2040, induction stoves, geothermal heat pumps and all.
Checking out socialist Vienna tonight, the cathedral does seem to have a red hue.
But the trains run on time, housing is plentiful, and the CEO of the local gas utility is working to get Viennese off gas entirely by 2040, induction stoves, geothermal heat pumps and all.
November 5, 2025 at 5:01 AM
Happy Mamdani Day, NYC!
Checking out socialist Vienna tonight, the cathedral does seem to have a red hue.
But the trains run on time, housing is plentiful, and the CEO of the local gas utility is working to get Viennese off gas entirely by 2040, induction stoves, geothermal heat pumps and all.
Checking out socialist Vienna tonight, the cathedral does seem to have a red hue.
But the trains run on time, housing is plentiful, and the CEO of the local gas utility is working to get Viennese off gas entirely by 2040, induction stoves, geothermal heat pumps and all.
Viennese bakery: "Buy a loaf of bread, help set aside 2 m² of soil."
Offsets even @lastweektonight.com can get behind.
Offsets even @lastweektonight.com can get behind.
November 4, 2025 at 5:38 PM
Viennese bakery: "Buy a loaf of bread, help set aside 2 m² of soil."
Offsets even @lastweektonight.com can get behind.
Offsets even @lastweektonight.com can get behind.
Just sayin'… Austrian trains are next level.
Imagine New York trains with freshly ground & brewed espresso. (Yes, I already voted in tomorrow's election 🗳️)
My week, starting tomorrow gwagner.com/cces-2025
Wednesday gwagner.com/platon-ki
Night train to Amsterdam
Thursday gwagner.com/tinbergen-csu
Imagine New York trains with freshly ground & brewed espresso. (Yes, I already voted in tomorrow's election 🗳️)
My week, starting tomorrow gwagner.com/cces-2025
Wednesday gwagner.com/platon-ki
Night train to Amsterdam
Thursday gwagner.com/tinbergen-csu
November 3, 2025 at 2:06 PM
Just sayin'… Austrian trains are next level.
Imagine New York trains with freshly ground & brewed espresso. (Yes, I already voted in tomorrow's election 🗳️)
My week, starting tomorrow gwagner.com/cces-2025
Wednesday gwagner.com/platon-ki
Night train to Amsterdam
Thursday gwagner.com/tinbergen-csu
Imagine New York trains with freshly ground & brewed espresso. (Yes, I already voted in tomorrow's election 🗳️)
My week, starting tomorrow gwagner.com/cces-2025
Wednesday gwagner.com/platon-ki
Night train to Amsterdam
Thursday gwagner.com/tinbergen-csu
Another solar power spill inconveniencing hard-working, down-to-earth drivers
November 2, 2025 at 3:06 PM
Another solar power spill inconveniencing hard-working, down-to-earth drivers