Mark Gubrud
Mark Gubrud
@gubrud.bsky.social
Physicist, teacher, analyst & advocate in tech, arms control & human security. Idea man. Your broken Overton window is blighting the neighborhood. Dr./Dude/Dad
It was 76.4 M to 73.7 M. Neither number comes close to the historic 81.3 M who voted to fire Trump in 2020.

Fascism only wins if we believe the Big Spin and if we don't fight hard from right now until MAGA is defeated.
bsky.app/profile/nvre...
Gene Sharp taught that to fight dictatorship you need to identify its pillars of support.

Right now the main pillar of support for the nascent MAGA dictatorship is the false narrative that America "shifted" to the right in this election and gave Trump a mandate.

Stop believing and repeating it.
November 17, 2024 at 1:48 PM
Threads's fatal problem is that it is owned by a psychopathic zillionaire only slightly less virulent than Elmo.
November 17, 2024 at 1:32 PM
The country did not shift. Blue just didn't get its voters out like in 2020. And that's basically because Biden sucks, and Harris didn't distance herself from him. Probably couldn't. But that's why only 73M showed up to vote for her while 81 M voted to fire Trump in 2020.
bsky.app/profile/nvre...
Every time a MAGA pol or nominee is pressed on the extremism and violence they promise to unleash on America, their answer is to claim that the people have given them a mandate.

What they mean is, they believe they have the power to do as they wish and that nobody can stop them.
November 15, 2024 at 7:27 AM
I am blocking you now and I do hope you do feel censored.
November 15, 2024 at 7:19 AM
This is basically Lysenko, Great Leap Forward stuff. This is dictator stuff. Dictators do big, insane things, ranging from sparrow holocausts to human ones. bsky.app/profile/nvre...
Every time a MAGA pol or nominee is pressed on the extremism and violence they promise to unleash on America, their answer is to claim that the people have given them a mandate.

What they mean is, they believe they have the power to do as they wish and that nobody can stop them.
November 15, 2024 at 7:12 AM
This was the ambition of decoherence theory I believe but it remains an incomplete project, or so is my understanding. Einselection seems to explain classicality but collapse itself remains unexplained.
November 15, 2024 at 6:54 AM
I don't know how you recover any coherent notion of branching from this.

Rather, I think that a web of elementary interactions that spreads at the speed of light in some DoF (slower in others) collapses all wave functions into one local, collective reality.
November 15, 2024 at 6:54 AM
Every molecular collision must entail some uncertainty, which combines with chaos to ensure total alteration of futures at human scale some time further, not only from each interaction, but from all of them together at once, so that the background of classical & quantum noise is truly impenetrable.
November 15, 2024 at 6:48 AM
blocked
November 15, 2024 at 4:42 AM
Blame Biden. Blame Biden and everything he stands for: the mediocrity, the compromise, the delusion, the absence. The support for genocide. The half-halfway leadership on climate. The continuing misery of covid and no leadership toward mitigation of airborne infectious disease. The nothing. Biden.
November 15, 2024 at 4:41 AM
More have died of covid under Biden than under Trump. Biden's public health policy has been thoroughly miserable, an utter dereliction of duty for dim-witted political convenience.

Harris lost because Biden sucks. In many ways. In all the ways that he sucks. That's why she lost. Because he sucks.
November 15, 2024 at 4:34 AM
Way to open the door for MAGA. I mean, don't. Just don't. It's hard enough to pass any Constitutional amendment in normal times. We need to resist MAGA's attempt to establish a dictatorship and protect our Constitution. Not open it up for rewriting by Trump & Elmo.
November 13, 2024 at 8:35 PM
Right, and that would be a continuum. I know that some people claim to know how to count worlds in MWI. I don't know if there is any consensus about this, or whether it requires some additional assumptions.
November 24, 2023 at 10:51 PM
Does it make sense to speak of being "constantly thrown to random places within the timeline"? This seems to require the assumption of a kind of super-time, which isn't the normal "timeline" but rather the sequence of parts of it that we would be visiting.
November 16, 2023 at 10:43 PM
I can't make sense of the notion that time isn't real. But I also can't make sense of the notion that it is flowing. Rather, things exist, and events happen, causing things to change, and that is what we call the flow of time, but time isn't doing anything.
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November 16, 2023 at 10:41 PM
But QM is not the same as saying things just happen without cause. If a nucleus decays, that is because there was an unstable nucleus. The probability of decay in any time interval can be measured or calculated and known with high precision.
November 16, 2023 at 10:31 PM
But if you look at what happens before that, you see semantic computation using the vector representation of meaning. This is learned from the prediction task, but it is not in the form of statistics, and its structure will be the structure of meaning, knowledge, features, not of words on paper.
November 16, 2023 at 10:22 PM
Again, LLMs do not work by compiling or learning statistics of words. That is a denialist canard.

If you look at the last stage of the neural computation, out pops something that can be interpreted as a probability estimate over words, or tokens, actually.
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November 16, 2023 at 10:22 PM
So, the absoute void is not a possible alternative to the existence of... something. And perhaps one day we will have enough understanding in physics to be able to say that the kind of universe we live in is the only kind that is possible, that actually makes sense.
November 15, 2023 at 6:39 AM
Indeed. But I think I have an answer to that one. Try to consider the alternative: nothing existing. At all. Ever. Anywhere. We may think we can imagine this, but then we would be there, beholding this void. How could it, on its own, *be* so?
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November 15, 2023 at 6:38 AM
Seems to me that time as I experience it is the happening, is the decision of what happens out of the range of possibilities. This seems the only way to construct the notion of a now. (Which is necessarily only a local construct.)

Why is it so hard to accept (constrained) randomness?
November 15, 2023 at 6:33 AM