GreylokSparrowHawk
@greyloksparrowhawk.bsky.social
Designer, Maker, Thinker, Skeptical Optimist.
"AI’s magic starts at the edge of our own stupidity."
Great article on this topic:
jurgengravestein.substack.com/p/preprint-h...
Great article on this topic:
jurgengravestein.substack.com/p/preprint-h...
Preprint: Human Ignorance Is All You Need
Drawing upon the foundational work of Dunning and Kruger (1999).
jurgengravestein.substack.com
November 23, 2025 at 9:48 PM
"AI’s magic starts at the edge of our own stupidity."
Great article on this topic:
jurgengravestein.substack.com/p/preprint-h...
Great article on this topic:
jurgengravestein.substack.com/p/preprint-h...
2 things can be true at once:
1) Current AI is overhyped and its capabilities oversold.
2) If true AGI is possible, it will require immense investment, and will be the most powerful tool ever created.
But we're not close at all to AGI. Investors do not understand LLMs fundamental limitations.
1) Current AI is overhyped and its capabilities oversold.
2) If true AGI is possible, it will require immense investment, and will be the most powerful tool ever created.
But we're not close at all to AGI. Investors do not understand LLMs fundamental limitations.
November 23, 2025 at 9:48 PM
2 things can be true at once:
1) Current AI is overhyped and its capabilities oversold.
2) If true AGI is possible, it will require immense investment, and will be the most powerful tool ever created.
But we're not close at all to AGI. Investors do not understand LLMs fundamental limitations.
1) Current AI is overhyped and its capabilities oversold.
2) If true AGI is possible, it will require immense investment, and will be the most powerful tool ever created.
But we're not close at all to AGI. Investors do not understand LLMs fundamental limitations.
Trump is so transparent: thin skinned and scared to death to answer any questions related to Epstein files.
An innocent man has no fear of the truth. Why are you so afraid, Donny?
An innocent man has no fear of the truth. Why are you so afraid, Donny?
November 21, 2025 at 6:42 PM
Trump is so transparent: thin skinned and scared to death to answer any questions related to Epstein files.
An innocent man has no fear of the truth. Why are you so afraid, Donny?
An innocent man has no fear of the truth. Why are you so afraid, Donny?
But still really compelling point, our stable climate is very unique in the earth's history.
If our civilization is to continue to evolve, providing we don't destroy ourselves sooner, adaptation to increasingly unstable climate is vital.
If our civilization is to continue to evolve, providing we don't destroy ourselves sooner, adaptation to increasingly unstable climate is vital.
November 19, 2025 at 6:31 PM
But still really compelling point, our stable climate is very unique in the earth's history.
If our civilization is to continue to evolve, providing we don't destroy ourselves sooner, adaptation to increasingly unstable climate is vital.
If our civilization is to continue to evolve, providing we don't destroy ourselves sooner, adaptation to increasingly unstable climate is vital.
One correction: ice age cycles are driven by "orbital forcing", i.e. the earth's wobble, tilt, precession, & orbital shape, which changes how much/little sunlight is concentrated on certain areas of the earth's surface.
Increased albedo is contributing factor
See:
scitechdaily.com/ice-ages-fol...
Increased albedo is contributing factor
See:
scitechdaily.com/ice-ages-fol...
Ice Ages Follow a Hidden Pattern, and Scientists Just Cracked It
Glacial cycles aren’t random; they follow a predictable rhythm dictated by Earth’s orbit. A study analyzing climate records from the past 800,000 years found that specific alignments of Earth's wobble...
scitechdaily.com
November 19, 2025 at 6:28 PM
One correction: ice age cycles are driven by "orbital forcing", i.e. the earth's wobble, tilt, precession, & orbital shape, which changes how much/little sunlight is concentrated on certain areas of the earth's surface.
Increased albedo is contributing factor
See:
scitechdaily.com/ice-ages-fol...
Increased albedo is contributing factor
See:
scitechdaily.com/ice-ages-fol...
Bondi is corrupt enough that I don't doubt she would/is heavily obscuring the full files, but outright destruction of digital files is not likely.
Bondi is smart enough to know Trump won't live forever, and she will do only enough to appease his delusions while saving her own ass.
Bondi is smart enough to know Trump won't live forever, and she will do only enough to appease his delusions while saving her own ass.
November 19, 2025 at 1:54 AM
Bondi is corrupt enough that I don't doubt she would/is heavily obscuring the full files, but outright destruction of digital files is not likely.
Bondi is smart enough to know Trump won't live forever, and she will do only enough to appease his delusions while saving her own ass.
Bondi is smart enough to know Trump won't live forever, and she will do only enough to appease his delusions while saving her own ass.
Trump directs Bondi to investigate democrats with Epstein connections, creates pretense for selective release of files and redaction.
Trump's long resistance and sudden pivot can only mean he feels in control of the information now, and that he is desperately afraid of what it might reveal.
Trump's long resistance and sudden pivot can only mean he feels in control of the information now, and that he is desperately afraid of what it might reveal.
November 19, 2025 at 1:54 AM
Trump directs Bondi to investigate democrats with Epstein connections, creates pretense for selective release of files and redaction.
Trump's long resistance and sudden pivot can only mean he feels in control of the information now, and that he is desperately afraid of what it might reveal.
Trump's long resistance and sudden pivot can only mean he feels in control of the information now, and that he is desperately afraid of what it might reveal.
Try SCE to AUX?
November 18, 2025 at 4:52 PM
Try SCE to AUX?
Insufferable, pathological narcissist.
November 18, 2025 at 2:21 AM
Insufferable, pathological narcissist.
Typical fascist, imperial, authoritarian activities.
a black and white photo of a star destroyer that says ' empire ' on the side
ALT: a black and white photo of a star destroyer that says ' empire ' on the side
media.tenor.com
November 15, 2025 at 8:59 PM
Typical fascist, imperial, authoritarian activities.
But an underlying question is left unexplored: how do/can we measure "learning" and "rigor" in both students and teachers in higher ed.? What does success look like?
This will always be impossible and imperfect, but how can we expand our definitions and metrics for success more holistically?
This will always be impossible and imperfect, but how can we expand our definitions and metrics for success more holistically?
November 15, 2025 at 8:33 PM
But an underlying question is left unexplored: how do/can we measure "learning" and "rigor" in both students and teachers in higher ed.? What does success look like?
This will always be impossible and imperfect, but how can we expand our definitions and metrics for success more holistically?
This will always be impossible and imperfect, but how can we expand our definitions and metrics for success more holistically?
...and this article only suggests ways to push AI out of the classroom, not how to critically engage with AI. Already, AI is taking jobs of young adults at higher rates than other age groups.
Rather than dismissing it, teachers should provide students with critical tools for understanding AI.
Rather than dismissing it, teachers should provide students with critical tools for understanding AI.
November 15, 2025 at 8:33 PM
...and this article only suggests ways to push AI out of the classroom, not how to critically engage with AI. Already, AI is taking jobs of young adults at higher rates than other age groups.
Rather than dismissing it, teachers should provide students with critical tools for understanding AI.
Rather than dismissing it, teachers should provide students with critical tools for understanding AI.
As this article suggests, AI has contributed to a dilution of rigor and learning in higher ed, but this is a symptom of a deeper systemic problem: teachers are not evaluated in meaningful ways, held to consistent standards, or valued for their teaching ability.
AI is poorly understood I general...
AI is poorly understood I general...
November 15, 2025 at 8:33 PM
As this article suggests, AI has contributed to a dilution of rigor and learning in higher ed, but this is a symptom of a deeper systemic problem: teachers are not evaluated in meaningful ways, held to consistent standards, or valued for their teaching ability.
AI is poorly understood I general...
AI is poorly understood I general...
A lot to unpack here.
Using GPA is not a reliable metric for student knowledge or how rigorous college is over time. It's far too subjective, observer-biased, and subject matter dependant.
AI has drastically changed how knowledge is accessed and how both students and instructors cheat themselves
Using GPA is not a reliable metric for student knowledge or how rigorous college is over time. It's far too subjective, observer-biased, and subject matter dependant.
AI has drastically changed how knowledge is accessed and how both students and instructors cheat themselves
November 15, 2025 at 8:33 PM
A lot to unpack here.
Using GPA is not a reliable metric for student knowledge or how rigorous college is over time. It's far too subjective, observer-biased, and subject matter dependant.
AI has drastically changed how knowledge is accessed and how both students and instructors cheat themselves
Using GPA is not a reliable metric for student knowledge or how rigorous college is over time. It's far too subjective, observer-biased, and subject matter dependant.
AI has drastically changed how knowledge is accessed and how both students and instructors cheat themselves
Don't break the law, and your country might become an authoritarian regime.
Read the article, the sheriff's office did not provide details of the charges.
Trump et al. are provoking escalation by sending national guard to democratic cities that have historically low crime rates. Authoritarian.
Read the article, the sheriff's office did not provide details of the charges.
Trump et al. are provoking escalation by sending national guard to democratic cities that have historically low crime rates. Authoritarian.
November 15, 2025 at 2:40 AM
Don't break the law, and your country might become an authoritarian regime.
Read the article, the sheriff's office did not provide details of the charges.
Trump et al. are provoking escalation by sending national guard to democratic cities that have historically low crime rates. Authoritarian.
Read the article, the sheriff's office did not provide details of the charges.
Trump et al. are provoking escalation by sending national guard to democratic cities that have historically low crime rates. Authoritarian.
Jfc, we have 3 more years of this fucking bullshit...
November 15, 2025 at 1:34 AM
Jfc, we have 3 more years of this fucking bullshit...
Still can't forgive Rian for what he did to Luke's character. 😵💫
a man with long hair and a beard is holding a gun in front of the ocean
ALT: a man with long hair and a beard is holding a gun in front of the ocean
media.tenor.com
November 14, 2025 at 10:14 PM
Still can't forgive Rian for what he did to Luke's character. 😵💫
November 14, 2025 at 6:02 PM
Lol I know what you mean.
It's a strange business model to say in one breath "this is the greatest technology humanity has ever created and we might be doomed. Also, this is a good investment."
Speaking of, this article is a good read: jurgengravestein.substack.com/p/preprint-h...
It's a strange business model to say in one breath "this is the greatest technology humanity has ever created and we might be doomed. Also, this is a good investment."
Speaking of, this article is a good read: jurgengravestein.substack.com/p/preprint-h...
Preprint: Human Ignorance Is All You Need
Drawing upon the foundational work of Dunning and Kruger (1999).
jurgengravestein.substack.com
November 14, 2025 at 5:44 PM
Lol I know what you mean.
It's a strange business model to say in one breath "this is the greatest technology humanity has ever created and we might be doomed. Also, this is a good investment."
Speaking of, this article is a good read: jurgengravestein.substack.com/p/preprint-h...
It's a strange business model to say in one breath "this is the greatest technology humanity has ever created and we might be doomed. Also, this is a good investment."
Speaking of, this article is a good read: jurgengravestein.substack.com/p/preprint-h...
Generally, I agree, seems like Anthropic's framing of this hacking effort is both overstating its success and Anthropic's safety measures.
I haven't found 3rd party verification/evidence.
Still, this hacking campaign using agentic AI should raise alarm in the AI/AGI safety+alignment community.
I haven't found 3rd party verification/evidence.
Still, this hacking campaign using agentic AI should raise alarm in the AI/AGI safety+alignment community.
November 14, 2025 at 4:53 PM
Generally, I agree, seems like Anthropic's framing of this hacking effort is both overstating its success and Anthropic's safety measures.
I haven't found 3rd party verification/evidence.
Still, this hacking campaign using agentic AI should raise alarm in the AI/AGI safety+alignment community.
I haven't found 3rd party verification/evidence.
Still, this hacking campaign using agentic AI should raise alarm in the AI/AGI safety+alignment community.
Are there any other legal pathways to force the release of the Epstein files?
Even if the House bill to release the files passes both the House and Senate, Trump will undoubtedly veto it.
What other options exist?
Even if the House bill to release the files passes both the House and Senate, Trump will undoubtedly veto it.
What other options exist?
November 14, 2025 at 1:43 AM
Are there any other legal pathways to force the release of the Epstein files?
Even if the House bill to release the files passes both the House and Senate, Trump will undoubtedly veto it.
What other options exist?
Even if the House bill to release the files passes both the House and Senate, Trump will undoubtedly veto it.
What other options exist?
Lmao! 🤣 My immediate thought too, Kramer would be proud.
November 13, 2025 at 5:46 PM
Lmao! 🤣 My immediate thought too, Kramer would be proud.
Imperialism at work.
a black and white photo of a star destroyer that says ' empire ' on the side
ALT: a black and white photo of a star destroyer that says ' empire ' on the side
media.tenor.com
November 11, 2025 at 4:42 PM
Imperialism at work.
Absolute power corrupts absolutely.
November 11, 2025 at 4:36 PM
Absolute power corrupts absolutely.