Grimm Global Macro Advisory
ggma.bsky.social
Grimm Global Macro Advisory
@ggma.bsky.social
More than 25 years of experience on the buy/sell-side in #FX,#FI, #Macro & #Quant | PhD in #FX Forecasting with #Neural #Nets | Posts are in my own capacity.
🚨 Market Open: Key Headlines
📊 Markets: US tech stocks under pressure on margin concerns
🇨🇭 Swiss consumer prices fell 0.1% in January
🏦 Fed's Miran: Policy is tighter than thought, inflation not a problem
🇺🇸 Trump plans to roll back some tariffs on steel & aluminium—FT reports
February 13, 2026 at 9:31 AM
🚨 Market Open: Key Headlines

📊 "Buy Japan" trade lifts yen
💵 Fed rate pause bolstered by jobs data
📈 US budget deficit to rise from tax cuts & tariffs
💶 Euro-Zone wage growth set to pick up
🇨🇦 US House votes to end Canada tariffs
February 12, 2026 at 8:47 AM
🚨 Market Open: Key Headlines

📊 Markets: 💵 US Dollar still under pressure

⚡ Geopolitics: 🛢️ US weighs seizing Iranian oil tankers to pressure Tehran

🏛️ Politics: Trump Tariffs Face Rebuke as Johnson Fails to Block Votes
February 11, 2026 at 8:15 AM
Tomorrow’s Macro Roadmap: ECB, BOE, BOC & Fed Speak, US NFP

🇪🇺 ECB's Schnabel (most hawkish member) speaks
Big shift: went from "comfortable with rate hike" (Dec '25) to "rates expected at current levels for extended period" (Jan '26). Watch for her reaction to euro strength 💶
February 10, 2026 at 6:09 PM
🚨 Market Open: Key Headlines

🇯🇵 Yen firms and JGB yields decline
🇺🇸 Fed's Miran: Data suggests Americans aren't shouldering tariff hit
🇺🇸 Trump claims Fed nominee Warsh could boost economic growth to 15%
🇯🇵 Japan PM’s landslide election win points to looser fiscal policy
February 10, 2026 at 8:05 AM
🚨 Market Open: Key Headlines

📉 Tech stocks under pressure over AI fears
💬 Fed’s Cook says central bank must maintain inflation credibility
🇬🇧 Starmer's premiership faces crisis after dramatic day in parliament
🇦🇺 Will the RBA hike again in May?
February 5, 2026 at 7:58 AM
🚨 Market Open: Key Headlines | Feb 4, 2026

[🇺🇸 Markets:] Stocks consolidate after yesterday’s sell-off.
[🇺🇸 Politics:] House approves measure to end partial government shutdown.
[🇺🇸 Fed Watch:] Investors increase wagers on a steeper yield curve with Warsh as top Fed chair candidate.
February 4, 2026 at 8:31 AM
🚨 Market Open: Key Headlines
📈 Markets: Risk assets keep rallying
🇦🇺 RBA hikes interest rate to curb inflation
🇺🇸🤝🇮🇳 Trump, Modi reach trade deal that cuts tariffs on Indian goods to 18%
🇺🇸🇮🇷 U.S., Iran to meet in Istanbul; Trump issues warning
February 3, 2026 at 8:36 AM
🚨 Market Open: Key Headlines

🇺🇸 Trump’s Fed pick shakes markets — Warsh’s return renews debate over the Fed’s $6.6T QE legacy.

🏛️ House showdown complicates effort to end partial shutdown.

🇯🇵 BoJ signals urgency for timely rate hikes; Yen dips after Takaichi’s remarks.
February 2, 2026 at 8:03 AM
🚨 **Market Open: Key Headlines**

🇨🇳 Markets: Copper & AUDUSD rally on China hopes

🇺🇸 Fed keeps rates unchanged as chance for another Powell cut narrows

🇺🇸 Bessent touts a strong dollar after Trump brushed off its drop
January 29, 2026 at 7:33 AM
🚨 Market Open: Key Headlines
🇺🇸 Markets: US Dollar falls sharply on Trump comments
🇪🇺 ECB policymaker concerned about euro strength
🇯🇵 BoJ members agree on the need to continue raising rates
🇦🇺 Australia monthly inflation beats estimate, lifts rate-hike case
January 28, 2026 at 8:57 AM
U.S. population growth slows
The economic implications:PIIE and Brookings estimate reduced migration could lower real GDP growth by 0.2–0.3 percentage points annually in 2025–26.
Worth watching: how wages and employment-to-population evolve even as headline job growth slows.
h/t Adam Posen @DeItaone
January 27, 2026 at 4:32 PM
🚨 Market Open: Key Headlines
📈 Stocks rally despite tariff threat – gold breaks $5,000
🇺🇸 Trump raises tariffs on South Korea to 25% (autos, lumber, pharma)
🇯🇵 Japan wage negotiations in focus as business lobby warns of tariff impact
January 27, 2026 at 8:07 AM
🧵 MARKET OPEN - January 22, 2026

📈 Risk sentiment improves after Trump announces Greenland deal framework—no new tariffs imposed

🇦🇺 Australia unemployment drops to 4.1% in December (unexpected)

🏦 Trump narrows Fed Chair selection: "Down to maybe one"
January 22, 2026 at 7:31 AM
🚨 Tomorrow's Macro Roadmap 📊

Early start ahead! UK labour market data drops at 08:00 CET 🇬🇧

👀 Key watch: Wage numbers

Softer-than-expected wage growth = higher odds of a Bank of England rate cut 📉

Also on deck: SNB's Schlegel speaks 🇨🇭
January 19, 2026 at 4:07 PM
1/3 🚨 MARKET OPEN: Risk Aversion Reigns
🇺🇸 Fed & USD: Fed turmoil threatens Dollar supremacy; BlackRock’s Rick Rieder gains support for Chair.
🇪🇺 Trade: Trump tariff threats roil markets. DB says Euro pain limited by US asset exposure.
January 19, 2026 at 8:39 AM
Nikkei reports that TEPCO will restart one of its reactors at the Kashiwazaki-Kariwa nuclear power plant. Contrast that to Germany, which has switched them all off and then look at EURJPY :-)
January 18, 2026 at 8:02 AM
🚨 **MARKET OPEN: Friday Headlines** 🚨

Mixed signals across global markets this morning. Here's what's moving:

🇯🇵 Japan: Yields ↑ | BOJ sources hint at rate hike scope | Verbal intervention continues | Snap election update
January 16, 2026 at 8:13 AM
🚨 Market Open | Key Headlines

🇺🇸 Oil drops after Trump’s Iran remarks
🇺🇸 Trump aims for “swift & decisive” military action in Iran.
🇺🇸 No plans to remove Powell despite probe — Trump tells Reuters.
🇺🇸 US sets 25% tariff on select chip sales tied to Nvidia deal.
January 15, 2026 at 8:42 AM
🚨 Market Open: Key Headlines

🇯🇵 JPY strengthens on verbal intervention.
🏦 BOJ’s Ueda signals rate-hike path remains intact as election chatter builds.
💬 JP Morgan’s Dimon: Trump’s Fed attacks could push inflation higher.
🇮🇷 Trump urges Iranians to keep protesting, says “help is on its way.”
January 14, 2026 at 10:09 AM
🚨 Market Open | Jan 13, 2026

🇯🇵 Yen slides while JGB yields climb — BOJ may face pressure for an April hike.
🇺🇸 Trump hits nations linked to Iran with a 25% tariff.
🏦 Fed’s Williams signals no near-term rate moves as Powell faces Justice probe backlash.
January 13, 2026 at 7:32 AM
🚨 MARKET OPEN: Key Headlines 📊

📈 Dollar & commodities gaining momentum ahead of US NFP

🔴 Russia rejects Trump's 20-point Ukraine peace plan, calling it "forming a true axis of war" as tensions escalate

💼 Fed's Miran pushes for 150 bps cuts in 2026 to boost employment & support growth
January 9, 2026 at 7:19 AM
🚨 Market Open Brief | Jan 8, 2026

🇯🇵 Japan: Wages fell sharply in November.
🇺🇸 US: Trump reportedly wants oil prices at $50 a barrel.
🇺🇸 US: Trump’s proposal to block corporate homebuying surprised Wall Street.
🇺🇸 US: Trump calls for a 50% increase in defence spending by 2027.
January 8, 2026 at 7:25 AM
Tomorrow’s Macro Roadmap: Swiss CPI, SNB minutes, US Jobless claims & productivity in focus
Full post at: ggma-app.com/articles
January 7, 2026 at 5:43 PM
🚨 MARKET OPEN: 5 Things to Know
🇦🇺 Australia: Core inflation slows → RBA hold case strengthens.
🛢️ Oil: Slides after Pres. Trump announces Venezuelan oil exports to US.
⚖️ Tariffs: SCOTUS sets Friday for key rulings on Trump's trade policies.
January 7, 2026 at 7:57 AM