New TX map has 8 safe D seats. The other five Dem seats all become red-leaning:
-Gonzalez & Cuellar have Trump +10 seats to defend in South Texas
-Johnson in Trump +18 seat, could run vs Veasey (D) in majority-Latino TX-33
-Dem vs Dem primaries possible in new TX-37 & TX-18

Using AP estimates on what's outstanding, there might be ~20k votes left in Richmond City, more than any other locality. Just how much better — or not — Stoney does among the outstanding votes in the city he leads could prove decisive in the LG primary result. #VAprimary

Most Congressional Republicans have pledged not to raise taxes, but some are considering a tax hike for their own budget deal. 85% have signed Americans for Tax Reform's no-tax pledge, down from 95% after the 2010 Tea Party election.
nationalbeargarden.substack.com/p/in-a-world...

Are Canadians supposed to write in Trump’s name in every riding or something?

nationalbeargarden.substack.com/p/on-this-el...

My latest post on Substack: What Wisconsin's election might say about what's to come in 2025 and 2026. Turnout practically mirrored a midterm, and trended higher in left-leaning places. nationalbeargarden.substack.com/p/what-wisco...

Sometimes headline writers are just tired and figure, hey whatever. (From p. 4 of the Sept. 11, 1976, edition of the Deseret News.)

Shocked, SHOCKED that Senate Republicans are finding their way to yes on all of Trump's Cabinet nominees. abcnews.go.com/538/trumps-c...

Sounds like Darren Bailey is going to challenge to Rep. Mike Bost in the IL-12 GOP primary. This map gives some geographical reasoning for Bailey’s decision. https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/darren-bailey-expected-to-announce-primary-to-rep-mike-bost