Strength In Numbers
@gelliottmorris.skystack.xyz
Independent, data-driven analysis of politics, public opinion, and elections. A place for thinking smarter with data.
This is an automated Substack Account of https://gelliottmorris.substack.com
Discover more/Create at: @skystack.xyz
This is an automated Substack Account of https://gelliottmorris.substack.com
Discover more/Create at: @skystack.xyz
52 percent of U.S. adults say Trump has made the economy worse • Three major polls this week show Americans remain deeply pessimistic about affordability, opportunity, and their economic future. Your weekly political data roundup for February 8, 2026.
52 percent of U.S. adults say Trump has made the economy worse
Three major polls this week show Americans remain deeply pessimistic about affordability, opportunity, and their economic future. Your weekly political data roundup for February 8, 2026.
www.gelliottmorris.com
February 8, 2026 at 1:22 PM
52 percent of U.S. adults say Trump has made the economy worse • Three major polls this week show Americans remain deeply pessimistic about affordability, opportunity, and their economic future. Your weekly political data roundup for February 8, 2026.
What Americans actually want done about ICE • Democratic proposals for reform earn supermajority support among U.S. voters
What Americans actually want done about ICE
Democratic proposals for reform earn supermajority support among U.S. voters
www.gelliottmorris.com
February 6, 2026 at 1:26 PM
What Americans actually want done about ICE • Democratic proposals for reform earn supermajority support among U.S. voters
Yes, Democrats should run on ICE • Elliott and David Nir talk about 2026 strategy, the special election in Texas, and, voters' anxieties about the economy and democracy
Yes, Democrats should run on ICE
Elliott and David Nir talk about 2026 strategy, the special election in Texas, and, voters' anxieties about the economy and democracy
www.gelliottmorris.com
February 6, 2026 at 1:26 AM
Yes, Democrats should run on ICE • Elliott and David Nir talk about 2026 strategy, the special election in Texas, and, voters' anxieties about the economy and democracy
More evidence that a large share of "moderates" are non-ideologues • A reader replicated my analysis of political ideology using alternative data
More evidence that a large share of "moderates" are non-ideologues
A reader replicated my analysis of political ideology using alternative data
www.gelliottmorris.com
February 3, 2026 at 1:26 PM
More evidence that a large share of "moderates" are non-ideologues • A reader replicated my analysis of political ideology using alternative data
The Texas special election and 2026 political environment • Recapping Taylor Rehmet’s win in Texas last Saturday, immigration polling, and what's in store for 2026
The Texas special election and 2026 political environment
Recapping Taylor Rehmet’s win in Texas last Saturday, immigration polling, and what's in store for 2026
www.gelliottmorris.com
February 2, 2026 at 10:26 PM
The Texas special election and 2026 political environment • Recapping Taylor Rehmet’s win in Texas last Saturday, immigration polling, and what's in store for 2026
Democrats hit historic high in Fox News Poll as GOP loses ground on key issues • Plus: Trump's approval among independents falls to a record low, and the issue landscape shifts ahead of 2026. Your weekly political data roundup for February 1, 2026.
Democrats hit historic high in Fox News Poll as GOP loses ground on key issues
Plus: Trump's approval among independents falls to a record low, and the issue landscape shifts ahead of 2026. Your weekly political data roundup for February 1, 2026.
www.gelliottmorris.com
February 1, 2026 at 1:26 PM
Democrats hit historic high in Fox News Poll as GOP loses ground on key issues • Plus: Trump's approval among independents falls to a record low, and the issue landscape shifts ahead of 2026. Your weekly political data roundup for February 1, 2026.
Blue wave watch: Democrat flips Trump +17 Texas Senate seat in 32-point swing • A nerdy look at precinct-level data from the TX SD-9 special election
Blue wave watch: Democrat flips Trump +17 Texas Senate seat in 32-point swing
A nerdy look at precinct-level data from the TX SD-9 special election
www.gelliottmorris.com
February 1, 2026 at 7:26 AM
Blue wave watch: Democrat flips Trump +17 Texas Senate seat in 32-point swing • A nerdy look at precinct-level data from the TX SD-9 special election
Americans voted for Trump, but never supported Trumpism • Donald Trump's policies have always been less popular than his promises
Americans voted for Trump, but never supported Trumpism
Donald Trump's policies have always been less popular than his promises
www.gelliottmorris.com
January 30, 2026 at 1:26 PM
Americans voted for Trump, but never supported Trumpism • Donald Trump's policies have always been less popular than his promises
The ICE shootings are a tipping point • Donald Trump's approval on immigration has dropped 18 points since taking office, and support for abolishing Immigration and Customs Enforcement has swung 50 points since Sept. 2024
The ICE shootings are a tipping point
Donald Trump's approval on immigration has dropped 18 points since taking office, and support for abolishing Immigration and Customs Enforcement has swung 50 points since Sept. 2024
www.gelliottmorris.com
January 27, 2026 at 1:26 PM
The ICE shootings are a tipping point • Donald Trump's approval on immigration has dropped 18 points since taking office, and support for abolishing Immigration and Customs Enforcement has swung 50 points since Sept. 2024
New Abolish ICE polling and the end of the Trump “realignment” • Your weekly political data roundup for January 25, 2026.
New Abolish ICE polling and the end of the Trump “realignment”
Your weekly political data roundup for January 25, 2026.
www.gelliottmorris.com
January 25, 2026 at 1:26 PM
New Abolish ICE polling and the end of the Trump “realignment” • Your weekly political data roundup for January 25, 2026.
The consent of the governed has been withdrawn • One year into his second term, Trump has suffered the largest approval collapse of any modern president (except the one who resigned in disgrace). He is underwater on every major policy area.
The consent of the governed has been withdrawn
One year into his second term, Trump has suffered the largest approval collapse of any modern president (except the one who resigned in disgrace). He is underwater on every major policy area.
www.gelliottmorris.com
January 23, 2026 at 1:25 PM
The consent of the governed has been withdrawn • One year into his second term, Trump has suffered the largest approval collapse of any modern president (except the one who resigned in disgrace). He is underwater on every major policy area.
Trump’s terrible polls, one year in • New polling shows the president losing voters on his signature issue. What that looks like at the local level, and what it means for 2026
Trump’s terrible polls, one year in
New polling shows the president losing voters on his signature issue. What that looks like at the local level, and what it means for 2026
www.gelliottmorris.com
January 23, 2026 at 1:25 AM
Trump’s terrible polls, one year in • New polling shows the president losing voters on his signature issue. What that looks like at the local level, and what it means for 2026
A very detailed map of Trump's job approval • Explore our new interactive map of Trump's job approval, powered by 12,000 survey interviews conducted in 2025 and 2026
A very detailed map of Trump's job approval
Explore our new interactive map of Trump's job approval, powered by 12,000 survey interviews conducted in 2025 and 2026
www.gelliottmorris.com
January 22, 2026 at 1:25 PM
A very detailed map of Trump's job approval • Explore our new interactive map of Trump's job approval, powered by 12,000 survey interviews conducted in 2025 and 2026
New poll: Trump loses ground on immigration; Dems lead 2026 House vote by 8 points • The new Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll finds Democrats start 2026 with their biggest lead yet on the 2026 House vote, while the GOP loses ground on immigration, the economy, and public safety
New poll: Trump loses ground on immigration; Dems lead 2026 House vote by 8 points
The new Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll finds Democrats start 2026 with their biggest lead yet on the 2026 House vote, while the GOP loses ground on immigration, the economy, and public safety
www.gelliottmorris.com
January 21, 2026 at 1:25 PM
New poll: Trump loses ground on immigration; Dems lead 2026 House vote by 8 points • The new Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll finds Democrats start 2026 with their biggest lead yet on the 2026 House vote, while the GOP loses ground on immigration, the economy, and public safety
Backlash to Trump has been more severe in his second term • Gallup's latest data shows Republican party identification down 6 points in Trump's second term — three times the decline in 2017
Backlash to Trump has been more severe in his second term
Gallup's latest data shows Republican party identification down 6 points in Trump's second term — three times the decline in 2017
www.gelliottmorris.com
January 16, 2026 at 1:26 PM
Backlash to Trump has been more severe in his second term • Gallup's latest data shows Republican party identification down 6 points in Trump's second term — three times the decline in 2017
Trump has made ICE a 70-30 issue — for Democrats • By using brutal force in public, ICE has given Democrats a chance to change how voters think about immigration policy. Will they take it?
Trump has made ICE a 70-30 issue — for Democrats
By using brutal force in public, ICE has given Democrats a chance to change how voters think about immigration policy. Will they take it?
www.gelliottmorris.com
January 15, 2026 at 1:28 PM
Trump has made ICE a 70-30 issue — for Democrats • By using brutal force in public, ICE has given Democrats a chance to change how voters think about immigration policy. Will they take it?
All the poll questions readers suggested we ask in 2026 • The final list from our community question-writing exercise in December
All the poll questions readers suggested we ask in 2026
The final list from our community question-writing exercise in December
www.gelliottmorris.com
January 14, 2026 at 1:28 PM
All the poll questions readers suggested we ask in 2026 • The final list from our community question-writing exercise in December
How early is too early to look at midterm polls? • Early generic ballot polls are directionally useful, but the party out of power historically gains ground between now and November
How early is too early to look at midterm polls?
Early generic ballot polls are directionally useful, but the party out of power historically gains ground between now and November
www.gelliottmorris.com
January 13, 2026 at 1:27 PM
How early is too early to look at midterm polls? • Early generic ballot polls are directionally useful, but the party out of power historically gains ground between now and November
Venezuela polling update: Republicans fall in line on comparatively unpopular action • Your weekly political data roundup for January 11, 2026.
Venezuela polling update: Republicans fall in line on comparatively unpopular action
Your weekly political data roundup for January 11, 2026.
www.gelliottmorris.com
January 11, 2026 at 1:27 PM
Venezuela polling update: Republicans fall in line on comparatively unpopular action • Your weekly political data roundup for January 11, 2026.
Support for abolishing ICE hits a a new high • Americans have turned sharply against Immigration and Customs Enforcement, and say it too often resorts to violence
Support for abolishing ICE hits a a new high
Americans have turned sharply against Immigration and Customs Enforcement, and say it too often resorts to violence
www.gelliottmorris.com
January 9, 2026 at 1:27 PM
Support for abolishing ICE hits a a new high • Americans have turned sharply against Immigration and Customs Enforcement, and say it too often resorts to violence
Pardon my coup • Accurate political journalism requires a bias toward democracy
Pardon my coup
Accurate political journalism requires a bias toward democracy
www.gelliottmorris.com
January 7, 2026 at 4:27 AM
Pardon my coup • Accurate political journalism requires a bias toward democracy
Midterms are a backlash, not a referendum • The best predictor of historical midterm election outcomes is which party is in power, not its performance
Midterms are a backlash, not a referendum
The best predictor of historical midterm election outcomes is which party is in power, not its performance
www.gelliottmorris.com
January 6, 2026 at 1:28 PM
Midterms are a backlash, not a referendum • The best predictor of historical midterm election outcomes is which party is in power, not its performance
Americans do not want war with Venezuela • Military intervention in the country is even more unpopular than Trump’s tariffs and health care cuts
Americans do not want war with Venezuela
Military intervention in the country is even more unpopular than Trump’s tariffs and health care cuts
www.gelliottmorris.com
January 4, 2026 at 1:28 PM
Americans do not want war with Venezuela • Military intervention in the country is even more unpopular than Trump’s tariffs and health care cuts
What voters in every state think about Trump and prices • Using MRP on our 2025 polling, Trump’s overall approval is underwater in 39 states— and his inflation numbers are negative in 49
What voters in every state think about Trump and prices
Using MRP on our 2025 polling, Trump’s overall approval is underwater in 39 states— and his inflation numbers are negative in 49
www.gelliottmorris.com
December 29, 2025 at 1:24 PM
What voters in every state think about Trump and prices • Using MRP on our 2025 polling, Trump’s overall approval is underwater in 39 states— and his inflation numbers are negative in 49
10 new charts that show how Americans feel about prices and health care • Plus: take the 2025 reader survey to steer coverage for the next year! Your weekly political data roundup for December 21, 2025.
10 new charts that show how Americans feel about prices and health care
Plus: take the 2025 reader survey to steer coverage for the next year! Your weekly political data roundup for December 21, 2025.
www.gelliottmorris.com
December 21, 2025 at 1:26 PM
10 new charts that show how Americans feel about prices and health care • Plus: take the 2025 reader survey to steer coverage for the next year! Your weekly political data roundup for December 21, 2025.