Hey Saskia, the Press Release of the Commission summarizes the categories of the different countries in a precise way: ec.europa.eu/commission/p...

I had a bit of a mix up with countries so I created a new one today. It also includes new information...

👀 Let’s hope this outcome is avoided. The next steps in operationalising the Solidarity Mechanism will require close attention and political finesse. The stakes for EU asylum responsibility-sharing are high. 🇪🇺✨

🔁 Some capitals have floated another condition: they might only accept relocations if 🇮🇹 Italy and 🇬🇷 Greece resume taking more Dublin transfers.

This could lead to zero-sum exchanges of migrants rather than genuine burden-sharing — hardly the goal of solidarity. ⚖️

➕ All in all, 18 Member States are experiencing some form of pressure — while 9 are not.

But here comes the political crunch: several governments, notably 🇭🇺 Hungary, strongly oppose relocations. So will the Council be able to assemble meaningful solidarity pledges? 🧠

So who remains? 🟢 Nine states are reported to have no migratory pressures: 🇩🇰 Denmark, 🇭🇺 Hungary, 🇱🇺 Luxembourg, 🇲🇹 Malta, 🇵🇹 Portugal, 🇷🇴 Romania, 🇸🇰 Slovakia, 🇸🇮 Slovenia, 🇸🇪 Sweden.

🔄 Four countries sit in both categories: 🇧🇬 Bulgaria, 🇪🇪 Estonia, 🇭🇷 Croatia and again 🇵🇱 Poland.

They are simultaneously “at risk” and already facing “significant” challenges. These states can seek deductions and qualify for financial support. 🧰

🧮 Six Member States — among them 🇦🇹 Austria and 🇨🇿 Czechia — are classified as facing a significant migratory situation.

They can request deductions from their contributions to the Solidarity Pool. That means that they may not offer relocations, but financial contributions remain expected. 💼

💶 These states may access financial support, and their situation will be reassessed relatively quickly.

Twelve others — including major players like 🇩🇪 Germany, 🇫🇷 France and 🇵🇱 Poland — are labelled at risk of migratory pressures.

This can stem from high arrivals, overstretched reception systems, or concerns about the weaponisation of migration. ⚠️

🌊 Four states are officially under migratory pressure: 🇬🇷 Greece, 🇨🇾 Cyprus, 🇪🇸 Spain and 🇮🇹 Italy.

They can tap into the full set of EU solidarity tools: relocations, financial aid, and operational or technical assistance. 🤝

I have to correct myself here: Bulgaria, Estonia, Croatia and Poland are counted for both categories (risk and significant situation). The total is then not 22 but 14. Apologies for the error.

Here is the link to the full report: home-affairs.ec.europa.eu/document/dow...

If that happens, solidarity stays a paper tiger 🐯 — more rhetoric than reality.

Next up: turning solidarity into action. ⚙️

But here’s the catch — real, tangible support will rely on a small group of states carrying most of the weight.

Two big risks ahead:
1️⃣ Solidarity contributions may fall short of making a real difference 💶
2️⃣ Key member states might refuse to play along ❌

That’s very likely far more than the Commission initially hoped for — reflecting intense 🇪🇺 lobbying by governments eager for formal recognition of migratory pressures. Who is exactly on the list was probably a main reason why the publication of this report was delayed for about a month.

🟡 18 others face the "risk of migratory pressures" or a "significant migration situation".
➡️ That’s 22 member states entitled to solidarity or to reduce their contributions regarding solidarity for others.

📊 4 countries officially under “migratory pressure”: 🇬🇷 Greece, 🇨🇾 Cyprus, 🇪🇸 Spain, 🇮🇹 Italy