FPL Twikael
@fpltwikael.bsky.social
Sports enthusiast and Marketing analyst. Former fullback at Finnish 🇫🇮 6th division. ⚽️ XG forecast model building 23-25 📈🔮HJK Helsinki & MUTD👹, CM 01-02
#FPL #GW14 xg predictions: 🔮
Quick turnaround and defense is bad for this gw, but rolling the transfer at 372k 🌍. If over 500k, would go for Bruno or Saka cap v 🤖. Hope by the weekend we have a bit more clarity on Ars defense/Saliba. More opportunities/upside for transfers in 15 I believe. GL! ✨⚽️
Quick turnaround and defense is bad for this gw, but rolling the transfer at 372k 🌍. If over 500k, would go for Bruno or Saka cap v 🤖. Hope by the weekend we have a bit more clarity on Ars defense/Saliba. More opportunities/upside for transfers in 15 I believe. GL! ✨⚽️
December 2, 2025 at 2:03 PM
November 28, 2025 at 10:18 PM
Fwd line is ready for next week + roll in the cards prior IB.
November 4, 2025 at 3:30 PM
Fwd line is ready for next week + roll in the cards prior IB.
Some luck (read xg modelling involved), but WC8 doing decent business so far even with a slightly suboptimal setup (Eze/own vs Saka, Mbeumo/own vs Bruno)
November 4, 2025 at 1:54 PM
Some luck (read xg modelling involved), but WC8 doing decent business so far even with a slightly suboptimal setup (Eze/own vs Saka, Mbeumo/own vs Bruno)
Paq to Sarr was a close one for me.. (likely might have benched anycase this gw even if rolling/the ”wants a transfer out” rumours spooked me slightly, but in the end Paq/Nuno seem to have taken those to their advantage)
November 3, 2025 at 6:39 AM
Paq to Sarr was a close one for me.. (likely might have benched anycase this gw even if rolling/the ”wants a transfer out” rumours spooked me slightly, but in the end Paq/Nuno seem to have taken those to their advantage)
#FPL #GW10 🔮 pxg predictions:
CRP-BRE 2.17-1.55 (Mateta 0,97pxg, Sarr 0,51)
LIV-AVL 2.03-0.57
MCI-BOU 2.03-1.1 (🤖🇳🇴 1,14pxg)
BUR-ARS 0.94-1.94
NFO-MUTD 0.63-2.01
WHU-LEE 1.74-1.82 (Woltemode 0,58pxg)
BRI-LEE 1.42-1.04
FUL-WOL 1.33-0.7
TOT-CHE 1.04-1.4
SUN-EVE 0.84-1.54
GL!🎃
🌍 r 1,2M
1ft Paq->Sarr
CRP-BRE 2.17-1.55 (Mateta 0,97pxg, Sarr 0,51)
LIV-AVL 2.03-0.57
MCI-BOU 2.03-1.1 (🤖🇳🇴 1,14pxg)
BUR-ARS 0.94-1.94
NFO-MUTD 0.63-2.01
WHU-LEE 1.74-1.82 (Woltemode 0,58pxg)
BRI-LEE 1.42-1.04
FUL-WOL 1.33-0.7
TOT-CHE 1.04-1.4
SUN-EVE 0.84-1.54
GL!🎃
🌍 r 1,2M
1ft Paq->Sarr
October 31, 2025 at 9:25 PM
Wood vs DCL decision last year went great gw5, current WC 8 draft is here, bit of modelling/tinkering still to do (would not recommend going against the 🤖🇳🇴), but game theory with 180-190 on cap could posit that an oppportunity in the making could be budding…
October 11, 2025 at 8:15 PM
Wood vs DCL decision last year went great gw5, current WC 8 draft is here, bit of modelling/tinkering still to do (would not recommend going against the 🤖🇳🇴), but game theory with 180-190 on cap could posit that an oppportunity in the making could be budding…
#FPL #GW6 Moves made: 2ft, these are based on pxg model Twikael xg/outcome ⚽️predictions 🔮
Gakpo->B. Fernandes
Thiago-> Kroupi Jr
BRE-UTD 0.91-1.78 (1-2)
CHE-BRI 1.45-1.28 (1-1)
CRP-LIV 1.20-1.78 (1-2)
LEE-BOU 1.04-1.37 (1-1)
MCI-BUR 2.84-0.67 (3-0)
Good luck champs! 💫
🌏 rank 956k
Gakpo->B. Fernandes
Thiago-> Kroupi Jr
BRE-UTD 0.91-1.78 (1-2)
CHE-BRI 1.45-1.28 (1-1)
CRP-LIV 1.20-1.78 (1-2)
LEE-BOU 1.04-1.37 (1-1)
MCI-BUR 2.84-0.67 (3-0)
Good luck champs! 💫
🌏 rank 956k
September 26, 2025 at 8:44 PM
Did not go for United defenders this week because of Bruun Larsen 😅 was predicted to start, this is why predicted ⚽️ xg modelling can be fun sometimes 🔮 #FPL #Analytics #Predictive
August 30, 2025 at 5:40 PM
Did not go for United defenders this week because of Bruun Larsen 😅 was predicted to start, this is why predicted ⚽️ xg modelling can be fun sometimes 🔮 #FPL #Analytics #Predictive
Nice one, BB1 full of dices as expected, happy to have Eva vs Wolves..
August 15, 2025 at 9:25 PM
Nice one, BB1 full of dices as expected, happy to have Eva vs Wolves..
Not on FH, but think this is the plan for 38 for now.. (frontline and midfield at least semi differential)
May 21, 2025 at 8:35 PM
Not on FH, but think this is the plan for 38 for now.. (frontline and midfield at least semi differential)
No chips left, but team looking ok for 34. Plan to do a few leftfield punts at about 500k, maybe eg N Jackson..
April 23, 2025 at 10:16 AM
No chips left, but team looking ok for 34. Plan to do a few leftfield punts at about 500k, maybe eg N Jackson..
Yeah, reached that in gw 30, then started doing very suboptimal things… (now back in modelling mode) so perhaps downhill again..
April 21, 2025 at 5:46 PM
Yeah, reached that in gw 30, then started doing very suboptimal things… (now back in modelling mode) so perhaps downhill again..
Yup, was set on FH 29, but now ended on WC28 yesterday after it was looking like a worst case scenario of field 10 for a -8 this gw…
March 7, 2025 at 7:11 AM
Yup, was set on FH 29, but now ended on WC28 yesterday after it was looking like a worst case scenario of field 10 for a -8 this gw…
